ATL: KIRK - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Extratropical94]

Up to 50% again

1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED
ABOUT 1425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES...HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED TODAY. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME TODAY
OR TONIGHT... BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

[colangie]

Ya'll are more professional then I'am, I wonder if this will do anything, the wave behind it looks pretty good too, we will see, < over Isaac>

Not A Professional......so whatever I say Dont Listen

[floridasun78]

their topic about that on talking tropic that could be next invest

[Hurricanehink]

The circulation was exposed earlier, but it has since gone back under the convection. Plausible at getting upgraded at 11.

[cycloneye]

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invest_RENUMBER_al972012_al112012.ren
FSTDA
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U
040
010
0000
201208281902
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP

[cycloneye]

AL, 11, 2012082818, , BEST, 0, 237N, 434W, 30, 1008, TD

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest

[Blinhart]

So we are going to have another Tropical Depression out there.

[Extratropical94]

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invest_RENUMBER_al972012_al112012.ren
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U
040
010
0000
201208281902
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP

This is neat. Maybe we can get another name wasted before the season is over.

[Macrocane]

I noticed this monring that this system had a well defined LLC with good inflow and persistent convection but I thought they were going to wait a little more tu upgrade it.

[Hurricanehink]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972012_al112012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201208281902
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP

This is neat. Maybe we can get another name wasted before the season is over.

Let's see if this can last as a TS longer than Joyce, hah.

[SouthFLTropics]

When this one dies and Bones comes to proclaim it is dead will it be like he is talking to a ghost since this could become Kirk???

SFT

[Extratropical94]

That forecast looks promising.


INIT 28/2100Z 23.8N 43.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 24.1N 45.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 24.3N 47.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 24.6N 49.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 25.3N 51.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 31/1800Z 27.5N 55.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 01/1800Z 32.5N 55.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 02/1800Z 40.0N 48.0W 35 KT 40 MPH

[Windsurfer_NYC]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
500 PM AST TUE AUG 28 2012

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...NO
THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 43.9W
ABOUT 1270 MI...2045 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
ABOUT 1400 MI...2250 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[floridasun78]

but going to be fish storm

[Anthysteg00]

Unbelievable! If I am correct, there was a decent lag of a few days before Tropical Storm lee formed in 2005 after Katrina. Assuming TD 11 will become Kirk, the next 20% area could also become Leslie I believe, that would put us slightly ahead of the 2005 hurricane season with another potentially dangerous storm down the pipe.


Is this ever going to slow down? Nonstop action.

[Extratropical94]

Unbelievable! If I am correct, there was a decent lag of a few days before Tropical Storm lee formed in 2005 after Katrina. Assuming TD 11 will become Kirk, the next 20% area could also become Leslie I believe, that would put us slightly ahead of the 2005 hurricane season with another potentially dangerous storm down the pipe.


Is this ever going to slow down? Nonstop action.

Here's a graphic to show how we're doing so far (marked line is August 28, look at the graphic in full res to see the names properly):

[TheEuropean]

I missed it on the first page here, so I post it now. Here is the link to the discussion of this system in Talkin Tropics:

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113450

May be someone can add it on the first page here in active storms?

[cycloneye]

I missed it on the first page here, so I post it now. Here is the link to the discussion of this system in Talkin Tropics:

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113450

May be someone can add it on the first page here in active storms?

Link is now at first post.

[TheEuropean]

I missed it on the first page here, so I post it now. Here is the link to the discussion of this system in Talkin Tropics:

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113450

May be someone can add it on the first page here in active storms?

Link is now at first post.

Thx

[DESTRUCTION5]

Eleven looks more like Haleys comet than Capt Kirk....lol

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-rb.html