ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7881 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:19 pm

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Re:

#7882 Postby tailgater » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:19 pm

Janie2006 wrote:I'd take a picture of that Accuweather forecast. Currently snowing in New Orleans with an air temperature of 79F and a hurricane. I told you New Orleans had it all. :lol:


Guess I better break out the snow chains. :cold:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7883 Postby Meteorcane » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:19 pm

ravyrn wrote:
Meteorcane wrote:Can anyone tell me where to find those cool wind field maps that are made occasionally? I guess they are called the wind field analysis or something like that.


Is this what you're asking for?


While that is cool, I was thinking of another product which i Know the NHC uses often in reanalysis, it basically shows the wind field dividing it into numerous 10 knot increments, people have brought it out for Isaac, but I just can't seem to find it.

Edit I found them at the Hurricane Research Division page.
Last edited by Meteorcane on Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7884 Postby thatwhichisnt » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:20 pm

Looks like a job to the NW resumes:

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7885 Postby ronjon » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:20 pm

Oil platform west of center reported sustaned winds of 72 kts, gusts to 84 kts. Pressure 28.80 in.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=lopl1&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=-5&time_label=CDT
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Re:

#7886 Postby Buckeye05 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:21 pm

FutureEM wrote:Billy Nungesser the Plaquemines Parish President reported on WWLTV that his house was moving and part of his roof was ripped off. He claimed it was very similar to Katrina, at least with the damage going on around him. Another couple got scared and had to move to a shelter after there house started tilting over.


Geez, that sounds pretty bad.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7887 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:22 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:Looks like a job to the NW resumes:

[ img]http://tinyurl.com/9aewwrd[/img]


looks due west to me
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7888 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:23 pm

Regardless of recon, which probably found the lowest pressure rotating in the center, there was a recent clear move NW. I'm guessing there will be another hook west after this move.
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Re: Re:

#7889 Postby weatherSnoop » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:24 pm

Buckeye05 wrote:
FutureEM wrote:Billy Nungesser the Plaquemines Parish President reported on WWLTV that his house was moving and part of his roof was ripped off. He claimed it was very similar to Katrina, at least with the damage going on around him. Another couple got scared and had to move to a shelter after there house started tilting over.


Geez, that sounds pretty bad.

Just want to point out the residents were in a mobile home in a mandatory evac area. I am in no way down playing the severe weather situation in that area and I pray for Issac to speed up and spare those affected from further torment
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7890 Postby ozonepete » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:26 pm

ROCK wrote:
ozonepete wrote:huricanes always slow down or stall as they move onshore unless they are going more than 20-25 mph, but only for a few hours. From the radar and satellite it really looks like the eastern side of the eye will be over NOLA between 3 and 6AM CDT at the latest. There is nothing in the steering wind strength to suggest a stallout. If there is you need to point it out.


Ok.. I will point it out, please read the last 10 pages of the model thread and you will see what we are talking about.... :wink:


Also if you can show me any factual data that shows hurricanes actually slow down once they hit the coast....That would be a good read for me. I never knew that...


LOL, yeah I don't have enough tasks in multi-task kit to follow it all, but I meant more the consensus and especially NHC. Let's see what the NHC says for the 10PM CDT discussion.

Also, I will definitely get you a link to that material. But I can tell you that it is even in the old classic "Atlantic Hurricanes" by Dunn/Miller from the '60s, one of the first authoritative studies that is still considered a classic.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7891 Postby ravyrn » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:27 pm

Between the vdm fixes @ 23:40z and 1:59z, 9.73mph speed. Definitely a slowdown, but neither a stall nor a crawl.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7892 Postby ronjon » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:27 pm

Steve wrote:Regardless of recon, which probably found the lowest pressure rotating in the center, there was a recent clear move NW. I'm guessing there will be another hook west after this move.


18z GFS indicates a slow west drift the next 24 hrs staying offshore.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7893 Postby TwisterFanatic » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:28 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:Looks like a job to the NW resumes:

http://tinyurl.com/9aewwrd


Looks West
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Re: Re:

#7894 Postby smw1981 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:28 pm

Buckeye05 wrote:
FutureEM wrote:Billy Nungesser the Plaquemines Parish President reported on WWLTV that his house was moving and part of his roof was ripped off. He claimed it was very similar to Katrina, at least with the damage going on around him. Another couple got scared and had to move to a shelter after there house started tilting over.


Geez, that sounds pretty bad.


One of us misheard because I heard him say that residents of a mobile home in the area under mandatory evacuation said THEIR mobile home was moving (swaying) so they are following him out. He called them "followers"...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7895 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:28 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:
thatwhichisnt wrote:Looks like a job to the NW resumes:

http://tinyurl.com/9aewwrd


Looks West

I agree, looks west to me also.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7896 Postby thatwhichisnt » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:30 pm

Well, I am not wearing my glasses...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7897 Postby boomstyk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:30 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:
thatwhichisnt wrote:Looks like a job to the NW resumes:

http://tinyurl.com/9aewwrd


Looks West



Looks WNW to me! :grrr:
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#7898 Postby monicaei » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:31 pm

I'm pretty sure King Billy doesn't live in a mobile home.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7899 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:31 pm

I am thinking he is stuck from land friction and no steering.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#7900 Postby stormreader » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:31 pm

[img]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-swir-long.html[/img

This loop clearly shows the WSW wobble. Looks like a drift to the west accompanied by a wobbling motion.

Just an amateur.
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