ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
rainstorm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8001 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:38 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Shell Beach reporting 62 mph sustained winds



where is that?
0 likes   

boomstyk
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 20
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 8:17 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8002 Postby boomstyk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:39 pm

TWC saying that the storm is moving west but then gives a "nod" to the NHC by saying "I guess if you take the average of these wobbles, the average is NW like the NHC is saying"

Key words are "I guess" and "like the NHC is saying" said with disbelief!
0 likes   

CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8003 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:40 pm

Check out this radar loop. Seems to be following the barrier island coastline due west. And better defined.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
0 likes   

monicaei
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 4:58 pm

Re:

#8004 Postby monicaei » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:40 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Mayor of Grand Isle on wwltv.com live says conditions are unbelievable..that gusts of 120mph have been reported. He and the firemen were trying to get out...but as of right now..they are unable to do so. Held up in community center that can withstand much higher winds so he says they are ok. He says if this is a cat 1, he sure doesn't want to see a cat 3.


God i hope this isnt true.

No one on GI who stays for a storm thinks they can "get out" ever, though. If you stay, you stay. Hwy 1 is the only road on or off the island. It floods all the time, this isn't a big mystery. I hope this is media hype. Mayor Carmadelle isn't gonna overstate chit, he was there for K.

I grew up there... god bless the grandest of isles
Last edited by monicaei on Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

boomstyk
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 20
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 8:17 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8005 Postby boomstyk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:42 pm

My question is this for any of you experience amateurs or pro mets.

Lets suppose the track moves west and the eye stays in the water for the most part. Does the fact that the north side of the storm is over land break the storm down?
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8006 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:42 pm

Latest IR.

Cloud tops warming and presentation degrading.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Meteorcane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 6:49 am
Location: North Platte Nebraska

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8007 Postby Meteorcane » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:43 pm

rainstorm wrote:
Meteorcane wrote:Shell Beach reporting 62 mph sustained winds



where is that?



In the middle of St.bernard parish which is that parish which juts out to the east. Also Just north of Grand Isle Galliano is reporting 58 mph sustained winds. So some strong winds coming ashore.
0 likes   

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4080
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

Re: Re:

#8008 Postby gboudx » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:43 pm

monicaei wrote:
SunnyThoughts wrote:Mayor of Grand Isle on wwltv.com live says conditions are unbelievable..that gusts of 120mph have been reported. He and the firemen were trying to get out...but as of right now..they are unable to do so. Held up in community center that can withstand much higher winds so he says they are ok. He says if this is a cat 1, he sure doesn't want to see a cat 3.


God i hope this isnt true.

No one on GI who stays for a storm thinks they can "get out" ever, though. Hwy 1 is the only road on or off the island. It floods all the time, this isn't a big mystery. I hope this is media hype. Mayor Carmadelle isn't gonna overstate chit, he was there for K.

I grew up there... god bless the grandest of isles


It's true. I was watching Wwl when he was being interviewed. But he may have meant they couldn't get out to check the island. Not get off it.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8009 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:46 pm

0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
LSU2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1711
Age: 57
Joined: Sat Sep 11, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Cut Off, Louisiana

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8010 Postby LSU2001 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:47 pm

Mike I am reading this, I don't like it but I am reading it. I have no problem believing Mayor Comardelle I know what we are getting right now is worse than we got during Gustave in Baton Rouge. Winds topped out there at about 91 mph. I walked outside again and you can hear the trees breaking off in the woods and every once in awhile you hear a great roar as something (tornado?) goes over. I figure that I am in the northern eye wall right now. South Lafourche Airport is reporting sustained winds of 58 mph and gusts to 75mph. AS the crow flies this is only about 20 miles from GI. :eek:

Image
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

wxwatcher1999
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:19 am

#8011 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:47 pm

does anyone think isaac could miss houma to the south?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

monicaei
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 4:58 pm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8012 Postby monicaei » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:48 pm

Blinhart wrote:Looks like second landfall might happen South of Grand Isle. Now the million dollar question. Will this be the final landfall or will we have another South of Houma and maybe another on the West side of Vermillion Bay?


How can a landfall occur south of Grand Isle? Other than the previous ship channel landfall, what is south of grand isle?
0 likes   

DukeDevil91
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 62
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 4:04 pm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8013 Postby DukeDevil91 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:48 pm




Man it almost looks like it's drifting due south.
0 likes   

stormreader

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8014 Postby stormreader » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:48 pm

boomstyk wrote:My question is this for any of you experience amateurs or pro mets.

Lets suppose the track moves west and the eye stays in the water for the most part. Does the fact that the north side of the storm is over land break the storm down?


Not much, in my opinion. Storm was in an intensification phase as it approaced the coast. Eye is source of energy. N Eyewall will generally be over damp marsh lands without trees.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8015 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:49 pm

DukeDevil91 wrote:



Man it almost looks like it's drifting due south.


Well, recon just too a hard left while approaching the center ... so I'm wondering that as well.

New obs in NW from previous.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8016 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:52 pm

Took a definite jog sw. See if it corrects itself in a few. He just doesnt want to go inland.

Sorry about earlier post Mark just got a little pumped watching the news here.
0 likes   

User avatar
Meteorcane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2011 6:49 am
Location: North Platte Nebraska

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8017 Postby Meteorcane » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:52 pm

Boothville gusting to 81 now, some good news looked like weakening has finally begun, based on imagery, however, it will be a slow process with such a large slow moving storm, over a marshy area.
0 likes   

crimi481
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 602
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 4:47 pm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8018 Postby crimi481 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:53 pm

Getting that Loopy look. w...wsw...sw, etc
High pressure/ angle of ridge appears to be building in. This is not out of the question

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... X&loop=yes

Not official forecast -just opinion
0 likes   

PauleinHouston
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 102
Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2007 10:23 am
Location: League City, TX
Contact:

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8019 Postby PauleinHouston » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:54 pm

tolakram wrote:
DukeDevil91 wrote:



Man it almost looks like it's drifting due south.


Well, recon just too a hard left while approaching the center ... so I'm wondering that as well.


Agreed...I know it takes some time to load, but this link is last 5 hrs radar loop clearly showing Westward movement since approaching coastline. At end, if you speed up the loop, you can see last few hours has been a definite movement West along the coast, with few end frames showing W/SW. http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KLIX&prod=bref1&bkgr=black&endDate=20120829&endTime=-1&duration=5

EDIT: TWC keeps bringing up the "wobbles"...gotta love it...even said "West"
Last edited by PauleinHouston on Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:56 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of this amateur poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2081
Age: 48
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Hurricane - Discussion

#8020 Postby Blinhart » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:54 pm

monicaei wrote:
Blinhart wrote:Looks like second landfall might happen South of Grand Isle. Now the million dollar question. Will this be the final landfall or will we have another South of Houma and maybe another on the West side of Vermillion Bay?


How can a landfall occur south of Grand Isle? Other than the previous ship channel landfall, what is south of grand isle?


East Timbalier
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests