Going Greek? (2012 edition)

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Hurricanehink
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Going Greek? (2012 edition)

#1 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:04 pm

We are currently at Kirk, the 11th named storm of the season. Since 1995 (which is the commonly listed point as the beginning of the active era), there have been an average of 9 storms forming after this point. However, that is merely the average. If this season has the activity from now through December 31st as what happened in 2000, 2001, 2005, and 2010, this season would have over 21 named storms, which would be 4 out of 17 times, or about 24%. The average from this point onward would bring 2012 to 20 named storms. We shall see what will happen, especially with the continued busy tropical wave train.
Last edited by Hurricanehink on Wed Aug 29, 2012 3:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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HurrMark
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Re: Going Greek? (2012 edition)

#2 Postby HurrMark » Wed Aug 29, 2012 7:37 am

If we weren't getting an impending El Nino, I would say there would be a good shot. But I think the season will shut down in mid-September this year.
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#3 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 29, 2012 7:38 am

I think we will finish around 17 named storms.
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#4 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 29, 2012 9:00 am

Seems like a 1936/2007 type season, high numbers of storms but very little in the way of quality systems (though 2007 did have 2 beasts)
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TheStormExpert

#5 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 29, 2012 2:50 pm

I think the chances of going Greek are very low compared to the last two years due to the strengthening El Niño.
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#6 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Aug 29, 2012 2:57 pm

Possibly but I think the season will rapidly quiet down starting the second half of September due to El Nino.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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