ATL: KIRK - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[galaxy401]

Don't think I ever saw a best track get revised twice. Kirk is sure intensifying fast!

[hurricanes1234]

Updated again to 55 knots.

L, 11, 2012083000, , BEST, 0, 255N, 479W, 55, 998, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 10, 0, 30, 1014, 150, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, KIRK, M

If this trend continues, we may have Hurricane Kirk by 11 pm!

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[galaxy401]

New advisory says 50 knots not 55. Maybe it was an error?

[Aric Dunn]

I guess i must be missing something ... typically a persistent eye feature normally leads to a hurricane... the discussion however is somewhat the opposite. we have a CDO and a eye.. this is not a 60mph TS. not only that is pretty close to being an annular system.

[Macrocane]

I have the feeling that Kirk could be the first major hurricane of the season, small systems can intensify (or weaken) faster than big ones like 2010 Julia. Kirk has been steadily intensifying in a rather unfavorable environment so it could intensify rapidly when it reaches the favorable conditions.

[rainstorm]

NHC is having a hard time with intensity

[tolakram]

Latest



Loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... 5&map=none

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track up to 60kts.

AL, 11, 2012083012, , BEST, 0, 268N, 492W, 60, 998, TS

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest

[Aric Dunn]

nice clear eye now. been an eye feature since yesterday afternoon..... and likely a hurricane not long after.

[cpdaman]

hurricane, no?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[greenkat]

track looks a little (emphasis on little) like Katia last year. People in Iceland, Scotland, Scandinavia should keep an eye on this system.

[greenkat]

I can see why hurricane hunters are reluctant to fly out there... almost 2000 miles away from Biloxi!

[Extratropical94]

Kirk's a cane now.

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 49.5W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

[KWT]

Tasty little system, eyewall has beefed up big time in the last few hours, RI probably going on at the moment. I think here we have a real candidate for a major hurricane...

[Macrocane]

Tasty little system, eyewall has beefed up big time in the last few hours, RI probably going on at the moment. I think here we have a real candidate for a major hurricane...

I agree with you, like I said yesterday if it finds good conditions it could intensify rapidly as it's a small system.

[Hurricane_Luis]

a nice 16 mile wide eye

[Floridaman]

I had a feeling "Kirk" was going to be a little storm but it is a nice looking storm though.

[ROCK]

I wish I had something to scale it off of....what is the diameter? it looks really tiny...

[Hurricane_Luis]

I wish I had something to scale it off of....what is the diameter? it looks really tiny...

You could measure it on Google earth

[Buck]

I'm not sure how big the cloud canopy is, but the wind field sure is small.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.