Isabel Models at 12Z

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chadtm80

Isabel Models at 12Z

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 7:46 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGHUR.0309061201

Watch Out Islands!!!
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 06, 2003 7:50 am

AS I look at that run there is a split between the tropical models as BAMM and BAMD are fish and LBAR ans A-98 E are west so which is right?
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 06, 2003 7:55 am

The BAMM, and BAMD are very close together ... which would also indicate very little shear and a fairly deep unidirectional steering environment.

SF
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#4 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 7:55 am

Luis.... well.. after that Jog to the NW by the BAM models the Bams then from 96 to 120 hrs have it resuming an almost due West motion, Slightly north of west. Its my understanding that the AE-98 model relies on persistence and Climatology and is of no real forecasting value:):)
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 06, 2003 8:18 am

ameriwx2003 wrote:Luis.... well.. after that Jog to the NW by the BAM models the Bams then from 96 to 120 hrs have it resuming an almost due West motion, Slightly north of west. Its my understanding that the AE-98 model relies on persistence and Climatology and is of no real forecasting value:):)


Yep ... the A98E (NHC98) is a climatology model ...
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