2012 busier than expected

[frederic79]

I was looking at the number of named storms so far and it looks like we are maybe one named storm behind 2005 at this point. That's pretty significant considering how many storms formed in 2005, not to mention the types of storms and landfalls there were back then. I AM NOT suggesting a repeat, but I am simply pointing out that the numbers certainly are adding up quickly. With water temps as high as they are, a large number of named storms make chances of destructive landfalls higher than expected. Just my thoughts...

[Cryomaniac]

Well yeah, the more storms the more chance of a destructive landfall somewhere. There have definitely been a lot of storms this year.

[Patrick99]

I kind of agree. It's just my feeling that some of the dire El Niño predictions have been way overblown. A weak Niño won't really kill hurricane season that much. It'll probably end up being a pretty normal year, possibly even more active than normal.

[HurricaneRyan]

We've already gotten 10 named storms. So if this El Nino really does kick in, it seems to be weak.

We might get the same amount of storms as maybe 1998, 2000, 2001, 2004, or 2007. 14 to 15 sounds alright, if we only get a few more named storms in September and October.

Isaac also could be the big one this year as well and get retired so we'll see.

[Hurricane Alexis]

I think 16 sounds right. 1 more storm in august, 3 in september, and 2 in october.

[jinftl]

In terms of # of storms so far, i don't think anyone would have expected or believed if I said months ago that by September 1st, this season will be ahead of 2005 (and only behind 1995) in the formation date of the 12th named storm.

[rainstorm]

i dont think this season can be compared to 2005 in any way

[jinftl]

Depends how it's being compared, it can't be disputed that we hit the 12th named storm in 2012 before we did in 2005 - the calendar is the calendar.

i dont think this season can be compared to 2005 in any way

[northjaxpro]

Depends how it's being compared, it can't be disputed that we hit the 12th named storm in 2012 before we did in 2005 - the calendar is the calendar.

i dont think this season can be compared to 2005 in any way

It would be tough to compare any season to 2005, the most active Atlantic Basin season in recorded history.

[jinftl]

Not comparing anything about 2005 and 2012 other than the fact that the 12th named storm formed earlier in 2012. It goes no further than that. Making no inference to the actualy storms or damage caused...just formation date. It is a fact that the L storm formed earlier this year than in 2005 (no reference even made to storms that start with anything other than the letter L).

Depends how it's being compared, it can't be disputed that we hit the 12th named storm in 2012 before we did in 2005 - the calendar is the calendar.

i dont think this season can be compared to 2005 in any way

It would be tough to compare any season to 2005, the most active Atlantic Basin season in recorded history.

[northjaxpro]

I get what you are stating jinftl. You make a factual point. But, the comparison to 2005 ends there.

I don't think we will ever see a season like 2005 for who knows how long? Maybe never again. That season still is so incredulous to me.

[NDG]

Yeap, busier than thought by many, but in no way close to 2005.

[cycloneye]

In terms of numbers yes,it has been a bit more than expected,but in terms of quality in terms of ACE so far is below normal. (See ACE thread)