ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[KBBOCA]

What an odd season! The first major hurricane has most everybody yawning and this thread hardly any comments - the average invest gets many more pages than Michael has!

[hurricanes1234]

THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE YEAR!!! !!!!!!

[rainstorm]

michael got into the one place in the atlantic thats favorable.

[cycloneye]

Something important to mention about what Michael has done is that is the first completely non-tropical developing major hurricane since Hurricane Claudette in 1991.

(Not developing from a tropical wave)

[Chickenzilla]

NHC pulled the trigger, Michael looked too good. I'm amazed that at one point I thought this Invest that is now a major was nothing at all. Here is the first forecast:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/2100Z 25.6N 42.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 25.8N 42.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 04/1800Z 26.4N 43.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 05/0600Z 27.3N 44.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 05/1800Z 28.0N 44.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 06/1800Z 28.5N 44.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 07/1800Z 29.5N 44.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 08/1800Z 30.5N 44.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

This shows well how tropical cyclones are complex to forecast and that there is still a lot of room for improvement.

Michael is looking good ATM at both visible and infrared images.

[SouthDadeFish]

What a beautiful fish storm:

[brunota2003]

WITH MICHAEL BECOMING THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON EARLIER
TODAY...IT MARKS THE THIRD EARLIEST FORMATION OF THE SEVENTH
HURRICANE IN A YEAR...ONLY BEHIND 1886 AND 1893.

Interesting.

[rainstorm]

Something important to mention about what Michael has done is that is the first completely non-tropical developing major hurricane since Hurricane Claudette in 1991.

(Not developing from a tropical wave)

that says it all about the season. just a few days ago a big time met was disgusted the NHC named another storm in the middle of nowhere, but it turned out to be the best storm of the season by far.

[Janie2006]

He's looking very impressive this morning, and even more so when you look at his means of origin. I agree, a beautiful fish storm indeed. That's the way we like 'em, heading out for a tour of the North Atlantic.

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track remains at 100kts.

AL, 13, 2012090612, , BEST, 0, 299N, 414W, 100, 964, HU

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest

[tolakram]

Live loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... 5&map=none

[tolakram]

Big Picture, from the GOES FTP site.



ftp://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/goeseast/overview2/vis/

[WeatherGuesser]

looks like another system fails to reach Cat 3...

One of the hazards of jumping to conclusions that I see so often here.

[Fyzn94]

I have to say, this is the most impressive RI I've seen in quite a while! Reminds me a bit of Julia.

[CrazyC83]

The eye looks to have cleared out more - I would say 105-110 kt.

[dexterlabio]

I must say this is one impressive hurricane! And I thought Leslie has the shot of becoming the first major cane this year...

[CrazyC83]

If Gordon gets upgraded in post-analysis, it would seem that the eastern subtropical Atlantic is the place to be...

[Tireman4]

I stand corrected. My name did not go poof. LOL

[tolakram]

Latest

13:45Z, 9:45AM EDT

[Macrocane]

I'm proud of Michael, he is the little storm that could, the ugly duckling of the season. And the best thing is that he is a fish storm. Good for him!!!