ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5459
- Age: 31
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
IMO this has more than a 20% shot of forming, I'd put the percentage at around 40%. For a disturbance, it's very well organized. The rotation is clear. All it needs is convective cover, and that could happen with a drop of shear and DMAX.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html
0 likes
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
-
- Admin
- Posts: 19182
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
No moisture to work with, from the looks of it, just a barely visible spinning area of clouds now.
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Re:
monicaei wrote:Zombie storm... Is it dead yet? Or should people on the gulf coast still be watching?
I guess we're still waiting for 57 to trot out "Bones". Until then, as dead as it looks, nobody is allowed to officially proclaim it dead.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 31
- Joined: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:06 pm
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:Dry air regime of 2012.
It is a beautiful thing, nothing more enjoyable than seeing a storm with potential to impact my livelihood get ripped apart by shear, and choked off by dry air. This has been a good year so far.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
superstareporter wrote:Sanibel wrote:Dry air regime of 2012.
It is a beautiful thing, nothing more enjoyable than seeing a storm with potential to impact my livelihood get ripped apart by shear, and choked off by dry air. This has been a good year so far.
I think this is a really big thing that a lot of people don't think about when they hope for a major hurricane to hit somewhere.
0 likes
I'm no expert, everything I say should be taken with a large amount of salt. I could easily be very, very wrong.
~Zanthe Go Coyotes~
~Zanthe Go Coyotes~
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Zanthe wrote:superstareporter wrote:Sanibel wrote:Dry air regime of 2012.
It is a beautiful thing, nothing more enjoyable than seeing a storm with potential to impact my livelihood get ripped apart by shear, and choked off by dry air. This has been a good year so far.
I think this is a really big thing that a lot of people don't think about when they hope for a major hurricane to hit somewhere.
Ah. Freaking. Men.
Even the slow moving Cat 1 can be catostrophic in its own way. Ask the few thousand people from Laplace and Lower Jeff... Isaac was not so much fun for them.
I'm in BR, and still have a debris pile taller than me from half an oak that DIDN'T hit the house. Some weren't so lucky. It's all fun and games til the generator needs refueling and everyones
screwed.
Eff a major, if you wish for it, you have never lived it. Take that to the bank. The "itching for a disaster" only comes from people who see it on tv. No one wants to be here the days or weeks after.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 503
- Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2010 12:11 pm
- Location: Southport, NC
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
monicaei wrote:Ah. Freaking. Men.
Even the slow moving Cat 1 can be catostrophic in its own way. Ask the few thousand people from Laplace and Lower Jeff... Isaac was not so much fun for them.
I'm in BR, and still have a debris pile taller than me from half an oak that DIDN'T hit the house. Some weren't so lucky. It's all fun and games til the generator needs refueling and everyones
screwed.
Eff a major, if you wish for it, you have never lived it. Take that to the bank. The "itching for a disaster" only comes from people who see it on tv. No one wants to be here the days or weeks after.
Preach it brother! I am right there with you.
0 likes
Diana X2 (look it up), Bertha, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, Dennis, Charley, Ophelia, Ernesto, Irene, Matthew, And Florence
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Replacing Lanai screens is a pain.
I'm worried this early chill and dry will be rebounded with one good storm.
I'm worried this early chill and dry will be rebounded with one good storm.
0 likes
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re:
LaBreeze wrote:How far is this front expected to push? Into the GOM? Sometimes things spin up along fronts that only make it into the GOM - just wondering and waiting for the lower humidities.
This current front is forecast to stall out across South Florida and across through the Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday. Yes, sometimes the tail-end of fronts this time of year which stall-out over the Gulf of Mexico can spawn development of tropical cyclones if the upper level environment is conducive. It is something to monitor next week, but for the time being no hint of such event happening from the models. But, things can change very quickly and models often do not pick up on systems developing. Michael is a good example of this that comes to mind and Humberto as tropical cyclones which can develop suddenly and intensify rapidly before the models pick up on them.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
- Emmett_Brown
- Category 5
- Posts: 1343
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
- Location: Sarasota FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Un-poof. Looks better the last few frames. It has run out of time though, so it won't matter.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al902012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209081658
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
invest_DEACTIVATE_al902012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209081658
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2904
- Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
- Location: Trinidad and Tobago
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Goodbye 90L. Destroyed by harsh conditions. That's good though, because Florida would have gotten a stronger system.
0 likes
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Could be that El Nino is settling in or the Atlantic is like the 1981 season...
Frank2
Frank2
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests