WPAC: MALIKSI - Post-Tropical
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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- Category 2
- Posts: 637
- Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2010 3:10 am
- Location: Holbrook, NY (Long Island)
Re: WPAC: MALIKSI - Tropical Storm
Good bye Maliksi, you were a very interesting, large tropical cyclone...thanks for the ACE...
WTPN32 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 31.0N 143.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 32 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N 143.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 37.2N 147.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 39 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 42.9N 155.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 32.6N 144.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 20W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTHEAST
OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME GREATLY SHEARED TO THE NORTH-
EAST, PARTIALLY EXPOSING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE
SAME ANIMATION SHOWS COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ADVECTING INTO THE
LLCC FROM THE NORTHWEST, AN INDICATION OF BAROCLINICITY. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON A 031604Z 37 GHZ TRMM COLOR COMPOSITE AND FROM
THE 031800Z RJTD FIX WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM MULTIPLE AGENCIES. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TS 20W IN NOW WELL NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS
IN AN AREA OF VERY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30-50
KNOTS). IT IS TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-
LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. TS MALIKSI IS NOW UNDERGOING
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND WILL BECOME A COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 12.
THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT WITH THIS
TRACK FORECAST THAT IS LAID WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 21W (GAEMI)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- Hurricane_Luis
- Category 2
- Posts: 723
- Age: 26
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
- Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
- Contact:
Notice: Ex-Maliksi became a typhoon-force extratropical cyclone late on 5 October.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA
AT 46N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
Large.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA
AT 46N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
Large.
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