ATL: RAFAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jinftl]

And here comes the eye?

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAFAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172012
1100 PM AST MON OCT 15 2012

...RAFAEL HEADED NORTHWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BE NEAR BERMUDA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 65.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES

[Macrocane]

Impressive convection, look at those black colors!! It seems that the South Indian, East Pacific and Atlantic were in agreement to produce very interesting storms at the same time.

[WeatherGuesser]

...RAFAEL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST... ...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY THIS AFTERNOON...
5:00 AM AST Tue Oct 16
Location: 26.6°N 65.0°W
Moving: NNE at 16 mph
Min pressure: 974 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

[brunota2003]

So far at Buoy 41049:

Highest 1-minute Wind Speed
Time (EDT) 5-day plot - 1-Minute Wind Speed WSPD 5-day plot - 1-Minute Wind Direction WDIR
5:24 am 44.7 kts SE ( 140 deg true )

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41049

[Sanibel]

Seems to be some kind of weird 970-range pressure limit this year.

[Riptide]

Looks pretty legit.

[Hurricane_Luis]

And here comes the eye?

http://imageshack.us/a/img802/3571/rbtopanimated.gif

On the last few frames, you can actually see the convection rotating.

[hurricanefloyd5]

And here comes the eye?

Did it move/wobble to the nnw direction?

[HurricaneAndrew92]

Eye or warm spot?

[WeatherGuesser]

5:00 PM AST Tue Oct 16
Location: 30.6°N 63.8°W
Moving: NNE at 26 mph
Min pressure: 969 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

[WeatherGuesser]

...RAFAEL MOVING FASTER TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...
5:00 AM AST Wed Oct 17
Location: 35.2°N 60.7°W
Moving: NNE at 33 mph
Min pressure: 974 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

[brunota2003]

NOAA42 in the eye of Rafael 10/15/2012



https://twitter.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/sta ... 24/photo/1

[brunota2003]

NOAA42 watches the sunset under the CDO of Rafael 10/15/2012



https://twitter.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/sta ... 00/photo/1

[vbhoutex]

Eye or warm spot?

http://imageshack.us/a/img193/2684/hurricanej.jpg

Looks like a warm spot to me. If there was an eye I would expect it to be SE of that spot.

[wxman57]

Looking more like an occluded low today. Cold air flowing into west side.

[Hurricane_Luis]

Hurricane Rafael

[WeatherGuesser]

Pressure back up to 975

[brunota2003]

A few more images:

#NOAA42 inside the eye of #Rafael with a reflection of the Tail Doppler Radar display in the window 10/16/2012 http://pic.twitter.com/RYavEFzb



#NOAA42 with a rainbow over the wing in #Rafael http://pic.twitter.com/RSUFva5O



A look at the sea state in #Rafael from #NOAA42 http://pic.twitter.com/fIxLo2Bs



Double rainbow from the flight station of #NOAA42 in #Hurricane #Rafael 10/16/2012 http://pic.twitter.com/r6eDdwu0



One more shot from the flight station of #NOAA42 in #Hurricane #Rafael 10/16/2012 http://pic.twitter.com/P8iCOadG



Pretty images!

[Hurricane_Luis]

Last Satillite Image taken