CPAC: Invest 92C

[somethingfunny]

Issued: Oct 18, 2012 2:00 pm HST

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. A surface trough about 900 miles south of Kauai is moving west slowly. Thunderstorms are flaring up along the trough but there is little sign of a circulation. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday afternoon.

MORRISON

[Kingarabian]

If it had a nice LLC this thing would be at 60% IMO.

[Yellow Evan]

Any shot at becoming Pewa?

[Zanthe]

Any shot at becoming Pewa?

There's probably about a 10% chance, at least in the next couple days.

[Hurricane_Luis]

1. A weak surface low about 900 miles south-southwest of Lihue is moving west slowly. Thunderstorms near the low weakened since last night as the low moved into a higher wind shear environment. While thunderstorms may redevelop, they will likely remain disorganized. There is a low chance, near 0 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

[cycloneye]

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_cp922012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201210191218
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP

[Kingarabian]

What a fail.