ATL: TONY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

#41 Postby **Extratropical94** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:38 pm

AL, 19, 2012102218, , BEST, 0, 218N, 517W, 30, 1006, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, M,

Looks like it won't go straight to TS status.

#42 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:39 pm

Still, this looks closer to a TS than 99L, and IMO could start RI'ing given its much, much smaller size.

As Steely Dan says, Hey Nineteen!

#43 Postby **Extratropical94** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:41 pm

Remember Michael guys, he was supposed to fizzle out, barely making it to TD status, but he became our only (?) major this season.

#44 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:44 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:Remember Michael guys, he was supposed to fizzle out, barely making it to TD status, but he became our only (?) major this season.

That is very true, you never know what can happen!

#45 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:44 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 19, 2012102218, , BEST, 0, 218N, 517W, 30, 1006, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, M,

Looks like it won't go straight to TS status.

Yeah, I guess there's no rush given it's not going to affect land. But still think it has a decent chance at grabbing Sandy before 99L. What I like about it going to TD is that CIMSS will start doing Dvorak numbers now.

galaxy401 · #46 Postby **galaxy401** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 3:06 pm

Interesting we have this storm that is sneaking on past us while we focus on 18. Should stay at sea but I got a feeling this could pull a Michael.

#47 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 3:34 pm

...SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE DAY FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

#48 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 3:36 pm

Too bad it didn't go straight to TS status - having two storms named at the same time would create a naming dilemma, who would be Sandy and who would be Tony.

Hurricaneman · #49 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 3:37 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Too bad it didn't go straight to TS status - having two storms named at the same time would create a naming dilemma, who would be Sandy and who would be Tony.

Sandy would go to the one with the lower number, formed first

WeatherGuesser · #50 Postby **WeatherGuesser** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 3:58 pm

Uhhhhh, why is 19 missing from the map above?

#51 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 4:25 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:Uhhhhh, why is 19 missing from the map above?

It takes a little bit of time for the graphic to update but eventually it changes.

#52 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 4:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:
WeatherGuesser wrote:Uhhhhh, why is 19 missing from the map above?

It takes a little bit of time for the graphic to update but eventually it changes.

Yea, it's up there now.

#53 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 4:42 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Interesting we have this storm that is sneaking on past us while we focus on 18. Should stay at sea but I got a feeling this could pull a Michael.

Probably doesn't have enough time, but we thought that about Michael. :wink:

#54 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 7:19 pm

SSD dvorak remains as TD.

22/2345 UTC 22.3N 51.8W T2.0/2.0 19L -- Atlantic

#55 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 7:29 pm

And 00z Best Track also remains as TD.

AL, 19, 2012102300, , BEST, 0, 225N, 518W, 30, 1006, TD

#56 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 9:22 pm

CIMSS has TD 19 as a TS now.

#57 Postby **Buck** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 9:38 pm

Wow, if this is named Tony, 2012 ties 1995 in named storms. That was the first year I started tracking (I turned nine that December), and what a first year it was!

#58 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 9:56 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012
1100 PM AST MON OCT 22 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 51.8W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

#59 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Oct 22, 2012 10:34 pm

Buck wrote:Wow, if this is named Tony, 2012 ties 1995 in named storms. That was the first year I started tracking (I turned nine that December), and what a first year it was!

Ha ha, good for you. My first year was 1969, another incredible year. I'm sure you know you're addicted for life and that's a great thing. I'm also sure you know that Tony is a pretty sure bet and there's a high chance there will be one or two more. Enjoy the chase.

Hurricane_Luis · #60 Postby **Hurricane_Luis** » Tue Oct 23, 2012 1:56 pm

Tropical Deppresion 19

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