ATL: SANDY - Models

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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#341 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:37 am

24 Hr ...wind field expanding even before clearing cuba..

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#342 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:38 am

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#343 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:40 am

It starts turning Sandy NNW by 00Z on 26 October...while near Nassau, Bahamas.

Edit: It is much closer to S FL by 42hr!!! Minimum pressures in SE FL are below 990 mb on this run...suggesting sustained TS winds in the Palm Beach area.

GFS 45hr (12Z)
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:43 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#344 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:40 am

36 Hr...dont look like he blinks an eye as he passes Cuba..

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#345 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:42 am

Boom...42 Hrs

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#346 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:44 am

48 Hrs ....Been left sided storm at this point for days now..Bigtime trough interaction..

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#347 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:44 am

it has slowed way down.. between 45 and 54 hours. feeling the tilted trough maybe follow the euro this run..
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#348 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:45 am

54 Hrs....Yikes.

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#349 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:45 am

ridging to the north looks pretty strong.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#350 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:46 am

nearly identical to the euro at 54 hours. also showing 50 to 60 kts aproaching the central florida coast.


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#351 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:47 am

This is the closest operational GFS run to SE FL yet...showing perhaps ~45 kt with gusts to ~55 kt from Palm Beach County northward (and higher winds on the east-central coast) on Friday afternoon...wow! The fetch would suggest major beach erosion all along the FL east coast.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#352 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:47 am

60 Hr...O___O

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#353 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:47 am

60 hours has 60 to 70 kts on the central florida coast.


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#354 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:48 am

This storm seems so weird that the right-front quadrant has never had the strongest winds...a sign of something?
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#355 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:49 am

Oh boy GFS shifts left also...NOGAPS may have this right all along? That GFS track is a good distance west of the current NHC track.
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#356 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:49 am

66 Hrs...

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#357 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:53 am

72 Hrs...Coast gonna take a BEATING

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#358 Postby Vortex » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:54 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:66 Hrs...

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Folks this is possibly an epic and historical event shaping up...12z GFS is downright ominious!
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#359 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:54 am

78 Hrs...

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#360 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:56 am

Looks like the GFS is coming around to the euro idea...**only out to hr 84** but, looks like this should hook back NW into the mean trof over the East. From hour 78-84 it moves NNW
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