ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[brunota2003]

Actually, crossing over Jamaica may have helped Sandy, by tightening the inner core. Notice how the eye tightened up and became much better defined?

[deltadog03]

Sandy, you are cleared for take off!

[SunnyThoughts]

Hard to believe we are watching this unfold...at the end of October.

[JamesCaneTracker]

Wow!!

001430 1837N 07615W 6969 02856 9655 +156 +096 233090 093 069 001 00
001500 1836N 07614W 6970 02883 9687 +152 +076 230095 096 070 001 00
001530 1835N 07613W 6965 02905 9714 +147 +068 230094 095 068 000 00

that's 'only' in the SE quad apparently

Yes that was in the South-East quad however the South-East quad has consistently been the strongest quad with Sandy for some reason so we shall see.

[Vortex]

Wow!!

001430 1837N 07615W 6969 02856 9655 +156 +096 233090 093 069 001 00
001500 1836N 07614W 6970 02883 9687 +152 +076 230095 096 070 001 00
001530 1835N 07613W 6965 02905 9714 +147 +068 230094 095 068 000 00

that's 'only' in the SE quad apparently

Yes that was in the South-East quad however the South-East quad has consistently been the strongest quad with Sandy for some reason so we shall see.

Wow!!!!

[SunnyThoughts]

[HurrMark]

Man...this thing is getting its act together. And if it crosses at 76W or a tick or so west like it seems like it wobbling towards, it may have relatively smooth sailing across Cuba.

[MiamiensisWx]

Hard to believe we are watching this unfold...at the end of October.

It is not really hard for the people who remember the 1932 Cuba hurricane, Hattie 1961, Mitch 1998, Lenny 1999, and Wilma 2005--all of which peaked at 135 knots / 155 mph or greater in the Caribbean on or after 19 October. (The 1932 hurricane and Lenny actually peaked in November, with the 1932 hurricane intensifying to 150 knots / 175 mph.) There were also 125-knot (145-mph) Paloma in November 2008 and Category-3 Beta in November 2005.

[artist]

000630 1854N 07639W 6966 02875 //// +083 //// 034070 071 071 039 01
000700 1853N 07638W 6948 02881 //// +091 //// 040071 081 079 028 01
000730 1852N 07637W 6984 02814 9635 +130 +130 035039 056 078 021 01
SFMR

[CrazyC83]

Hard to believe we are watching this unfold...at the end of October.

It is not really hard for the people who remember the 1932 Cuba hurricane, Hattie 1961, Mitch 1998, Lenny 1999, and Wilma 2005--all of which peaked at 135 knots / 155 mph or greater in the Caribbean on or after 19 October. (The 1932 hurricane and Lenny actually peaked in November, with the 1932 hurricane intensifying to 150 knots / 175 mph.)

At least, and the pressure of the 1932 hurricane was no higher than 908mb, perhaps near 900. Mitch was 905 and Wilma 882 or lower!

[combellack]

Pressure wise that would make sandy the deepest hurricane of the season unless i overlooked something. Quite impressive

[boca]

Sandy looks to be moving NNE and their closing schools here in South Florida.I think their premature.But I understand the wind might pick up to 30mph.

[CrazyC83]

964mb per the VDM. Frequent lightning in eyewall - a sign of rapid deepening - but not fully closed.

[CrazyC83]

Sandy looks to be moving NNE and their closing schools here in South Florida.I think their premature.But I understand the wind might pick up to 30mph.

What point do they close schools at, 40 mph sustained I thought?

[cycloneye]

Sandy looks to be moving NNE and their closing schools here in South Florida.I think their premature.But I understand the wind might pick up to 30mph.

The 8 PM Miami local statement.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
807 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION SECTION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL COLLIER...INLAND COLLIER...
INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI
DADE...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE
IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7N...LONGITUDE 76.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 560 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 540 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 85 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY AS EARLY
AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF
SANDY EXPANDS, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF MIAMI BEACH AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF
BANDS PERSIST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER
OF THE WEEK.

[ozonepete]

From calculating and extrapolating, I am going to guess the pressure in this pass will be about 955mb.

Nice estimation. I still can't believe the rapid consolidation of its structure. When you see an almost perfect circle with the eye embedded dead center like that the sky's the limit on intensity. And to do it in the small distance between Jamaica and Cuba. I feel bad for the people in Cuba. This is coming in like a bomb.

[CrazyC83]

From calculating and extrapolating, I am going to guess the pressure in this pass will be about 955mb.

Nice estimation. I still can't believe the rapid consolidation of its structure. When you see an almost perfect circle with the eye embedded dead center like that the sky's the limit on intensity. And to do it in the small distance between Jamaica and Cuba. I feel bad for the people in Cuba. This is coming in like a bomb.

962 looks to be the pressure at the moment.

[boca]

Sandy looks to be moving NNE and their closing schools here in South Florida.I think their premature.But I understand the wind might pick up to 30mph.

What point do they close schools at, 40 mph sustained I thought?

I see their reasoning I think its 35 or 40 mph sustained but its moving NNE away from Florida.I think its beach erosion storm for Florida.

[Vortex]

964mb per the VDM. Frequent lightning in eyewall - a sign of rapid deepening - but not fully closed.

very impressive!!

[HurrMark]

I would have pegged the center at 76.3W or so instead of 76.5W...the next half hour or so should be interesting as recon investigates further...