ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

I don't see a special advisory coming soon but possibly an Update Statement saying it is a cat 2 just before landfall...unless RECON finds 100 kt SFMR winds that would deserve a special.

Agreed. They mentioned it could become a Cat 2 before landfall, so a TCU would suffice. Beyond that then a Special Advisory would be warranted.

[Weatherguy173]

this has been one (you know what i want to say) insane hurricane season so far.

[bahamaswx]

I can't believe they went with 80kts.

[ozonepete]

Well if we remember that in a rapidly intensifying hurricane the pressure drops first and then the winds catch up to it we should see even higher wind speeds before this hits Cuba. But just look at the satellite images. Like an ice skater spinning with their arms pulled inward, the more perfectly circular it is the faster the winds will increase. And Sandy has an almost perfectly circular inner core going.

[bahamaswx]

Well if we remember that in a rapidly intensifying hurricane the pressure drops first and then the winds catch up to it we should see even higher wind speeds before this hits Cuba. But just look at the satellite images. Like an ice skater spinning with their arms pulled inward, the more perfectly circular it is the faster the winds will increase. And Sandy has an almost perfectly circular inner core going.

Won't have time for another recon mission before she's over Cuba, no?

[Evil Jeremy]

Well if we remember that in a rapidly intensifying hurricane the pressure drops first and then the winds catch up to it we should see even higher wind speeds before this hits Cuba. But just look at the satellite images. Like an ice skater spinning with their arms pulled inward, the more perfectly circular it is the faster the winds will increase. And Sandy has an almost perfectly circular inner core going.

Won't have time for another recon mission before she's over Cuba, no?

Recon is currently in the system and should be in there for another 1-2 hours.

[ozonepete]

Well if we remember that in a rapidly intensifying hurricane the pressure drops first and then the winds catch up to it we should see even higher wind speeds before this hits Cuba. But just look at the satellite images. Like an ice skater spinning with their arms pulled inward, the more perfectly circular it is the faster the winds will increase. And Sandy has an almost perfectly circular inner core going.

Won't have time for another recon mission before she's over Cuba, no?

Can't see how outside of what they're doing now. But it won't be over Cuba for more than 6 or 7 hours at the most I think. Then they can go back in. At least we have really good satellite including microwave to keep an eye on it. But I sure hope the Cuban landscape can put a dent in the circulation better than Jamaica did!

[bahamaswx]

But it won't be over Cuba for more than 6 or 7 hours at the most I think.

Really so long? Doesn't look to be more than ~30-40 miles off the coast right now.

[Sanibel]

Sandy has impressive form considering how lopsided it was. This is no Issac struggler.

[ozonepete]

But it won't be over Cuba for more than 6 or 7 hours at the most I think.

Really so long? Doesn't look to be more than ~30-40 miles off the coast right now.

I was saying it will take 6 or 7 hours to cross over Cuba.

[bahamaswx]

But it won't be over Cuba for more than 6 or 7 hours at the most I think.

Really so long? Doesn't look to be more than ~30-40 miles off the coast right now.

I was saying it will take 6 or 7 hours to cross over Cuba.

Sigh. I misread.

[ozonepete]

Sigh. I misread.

Heh heh we're all tired. At least I am so I'm going to bed. Best of luck to you there and please stay safe. Btw, where are you in the Bahamas? I hope you can check in with us tomorrow as time and safety allows.

[ROCK]

RECON is heading back into the eye to get a fix....probably the last fix before it gets to Cuba IMO

[Buck]

Wow, just got home from work to see the lowest pressure of the season! Hope Cuba fares well.

[brunota2003]

It is interesting to see the difference between the 10s and 30s wind samples from recon. One showed 69 knots for 30s winds, and 84 knots for 10s winds. A couple others had big differences too, when usually it is only 3 or 4 knots. Pretty cool to see, though.

[bahamaswx]

Sigh. I misread.

Heh heh we're all tired. At least I am so I'm going to bed. Best of luck to you there and please stay safe. Btw, where are you in the Bahamas? I hope you can check in with us tomorrow as time and safety allows.

Georgetown is on Great Exuma island (near the middle of the map).



I'm not at home right now (grad school in florida), but my family is. Appreciate your concern.

[Evil Jeremy]

117kts flight level winds

951.6mb pressure

[artist]

040800 1937N 07545W 6966 02906 9765 +100 +100 168105 108 071 011 01
040830 1936N 07547W 6970 02882 //// +086 //// 168113 116 076 018 01
040900 1936N 07548W 6963 02861 //// +083 //// 170113 117 081 030 01
040930 1936N 07550W 6965 02842 //// +094 //// 175104 109 091 015 01
041000 1935N 07551W 6977 02807 9633 +120 +120 181098 101 091 012

[CrazyC83]

Latest data suggests at least 95 kt for an intensity. TCU or Special around 1 am?

[Ptarmigan]

Pressure of a Cat 3...wind speed of a Cat 1

irene was like that at a Cat 2, with a pressure of 942

Ike was a Category 2 with 100 mph winds and central pressure of 944 millibars.