ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

Macrocane · #841 Postby **Macrocane** » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:52 pm

Sandy is overshadowing Nadine as the most interesting cyclone of the season and if it reaches cat 3 it will dethrone Michael as the strongest storm of the season or at least will share the title with him.

WxEnthus · #842 Postby **WxEnthus** » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:53 pm

brunota2003 wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:Check out SSD ADT:

2012OCT25 041500 6.2 944.2/ +1.4 /119.8 6.2 6.6 7.0 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF -4.96 -75.32 EYE -99 IR 19.66 75.99 COMBO

Holy crap! Raw T at 7.0!!!!

Well, guess this is a learning opportunity that sat estimates aren't always accurate. Now, if it had several more hours over water? Maybe.

Just curious -- what would a 7.0 T# translate to?

#843 Postby **brunota2003** » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:54 pm

Cat 5, roughly 140 knots if I remember right.

#844 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:58 pm

The right-front quadrant is headed into a major city too! Santiago de Cuba is Cuba's second largest city, population nearly 500,000.

bahamaswx · #845 Postby **bahamaswx** » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:59 pm

Recon's turning in very early to make the pass in time. Approaching the eye from the south.

jaxfladude · #846 Postby **jaxfladude** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:04 am

Hurricane Sandy
110 mph-Maxwinds
957 mb
NNE 13 mph
as of 12:30 am 10/25/2012 edt
-----------
Saw that on TWC, did I read/see/watched it right?

:uarrow:

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

WxEnthus · #847 Postby **WxEnthus** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:06 am

That's what the latest update said. Not sure why the pressure is 957. The update was written by Stewart.

Sanibel · #848 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:08 am

A dangerous intensifying hurricane right before landfalling in Santiago right down the pike...

jaxfladude · #849 Postby **jaxfladude** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:10 am

CrazyC83 wrote:The right-front quadrant is headed into a major city too! Santiago de Cuba is Cuba's second largest city, population nearly 500,000.

Prayers just got upped to a higher level...just wow....

#850 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:10 am

SSD ADT CI now at T 6.5 and Raw T at 7.2.... Unreal. Good thing Sandy ran out of water....

2012OCT25 044500 6.5 936.3/ +1.4 /127.0 6.5 6.6 7.2 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF 0.24 -75.87 EYE -99 IR 19.78 75.87 COMBO

bahamaswx · #851 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:14 am

Final pass of the night turned up a 95kt SFMR reading. NHC could go with 115mph at 2am if they were inclined. (again blending FL winds/SFMR readings)

#852 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:15 am

I hope recon samples the eastern eyewall one more time before leaving. Also, the wobbles to the east have stopped according to recon. At least between the last two fixes.

Ptarmigan · #853 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:15 am

WxEnthus wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:Check out SSD ADT:

2012OCT25 041500 6.2 944.2/ +1.4 /119.8 6.2 6.6 7.0 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF -4.96 -75.32 EYE -99 IR 19.66 75.99 COMBO

Holy crap! Raw T at 7.0!!!!

Well, guess this is a learning opportunity that sat estimates aren't always accurate. Now, if it had several more hours over water? Maybe.

Just curious -- what would a 7.0 T# translate to?

7.0 T# translate to 140 knot (160 mph) hurricane with central pressure of 921 millibars. That is Category 5!

Dvorak Intensity Chart
CI Number Maximum Sustained
One Minute Winds
(kts) Central Pressure
(mb)
Atlantic NW Pacific
0.0 <25 ---- ----
0.5 25 ---- ----
1.0 25 ---- ----
1.5 25 ---- ----
2.0 30 1009 1000
2.5 35 1005 997
3.0 45 1000 991
3.5 55 994 984
4.0 65 987 976
4.5 77 979 966
5.0 90 970 954
5.5 102 960 941
6.0 115 948 927
6.5 127 935 914
7.0 140 921 898
7.5 155 906 879
8.0 170 890 858

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/H1.html

jaxfladude · #854 Postby **jaxfladude** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:17 am

Did Sandy under go rapid intensification officially? Sorry if asked/stated earlier just shocked right now.

#855 Postby **AdamFirst** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:20 am

jaxfladude wrote:Did Sandy under go rapid intensification officially? Sorry if asked/stated earlier just shocked right now.

The official NHC wording is that it has gone under rapid intensification.

#856 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:21 am

SouthDadeFish wrote:SSD ADT CI now at T 6.5 and Raw T at 7.2.... Unreal. Good thing Sandy ran out of water....

2012OCT25 044500 6.5 936.3/ +1.4 /127.0 6.5 6.6 7.2 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF 0.24 -75.87 EYE -99 IR 19.78 75.87 COMBO

24/2345 UTC 18.7N 76.3W T5.5/5.5 SANDY -- Atlantic

bahamaswx · #857 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:24 am

Recon going home.

#858 Postby **brunota2003** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:25 am

Recon went westward out of the eye, so no last check of the eastern side. They should be heading home now.

jaxfladude · #859 Postby **jaxfladude** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:28 am

bahamaswx wrote:Recon going home.

Big time thanks to all of the crews of recon, they do the dangerous work, just wanted give some credit personally....much more work to do for them all.

Hurricaneman · #860 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Oct 25, 2012 12:33 am

is it me or are the Mountains of Cuba not doing much disruption to the core, if what I'm seeing is right that could be really bad news for the NEUS in the long run

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