ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

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ROCK
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Re:

#1601 Postby ROCK » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:04 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:to me this looks like it barely has any thunderstorms


true but its got some shear over it. It will re-strengthen as soon as it feels that front though.
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Re: Re:

#1602 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:24 pm

ROCK wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:to me this looks like it barely has any thunderstorms


true but its got some shear over it. It will re-strengthen as soon as it feels that front though.

It is also fighting off a big infusion of dry air. More than likely it will spit all that out and as the pahaisng with the incoming trough begins, start to strengthen again. Most forecasters, private and public are predicting up to 80 mph winds at landfall.
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Re:

#1603 Postby capepoint » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:34 pm

StormingB81 wrote:Kind of an off topic question so I have been overseas for.three years I have a weather radio we are now.on a.tropical storm.warning and it hasn't gone off at all bit it still gives me the correct weather is there something I have do?


may need to program the county code. check the owners manual for instruction.

Also, if you have a smart phone there are several aps that do the same function. Simple Weather Alert is a free one, several tv stations have weather free radar aps that also include this function. Does not need to be one near you, any one of them can be programmed to your home area.

back on topic....
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#1604 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:35 pm

About 30 knots of shear is over Sandy, the further north it gose the stronger the shear gets.
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Re:

#1605 Postby UpTheCreek » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:36 pm

StormingB81 wrote:Kind of an off topic question so I have been overseas for.three years I have a weather radio we are now.on a.tropical storm.warning and it hasn't gone off at all bit it still gives me the correct weather is there something I have do?


Are you asking how to operate your radio or are you asking what you should do if the weather-alert should go off? If the first, then read the instruction manual. If the latter, listen to the NOAA warning and take whatever measures you need to do to keep you and your property safe. Looking at your post count, you're obviously not a newbie. For what it's worth, I am just due north of you in New Bern, and I'm not expecting much from this as it's going to be a good bit offshore. We gave prepared for a hurricane nonetheless, meaning we got fuel for the generator, water, batteries. Cleaned up the yard of anything not tied down, lifted up the boat well into the boathouse, etc. Good luck but unless the storm takes a turn towards us, I just expect it to be breezy and rainy here.
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Re: Re:

#1606 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:38 pm

UpTheCreek wrote:
StormingB81 wrote:Kind of an off topic question so I have been overseas for.three years I have a weather radio we are now.on a.tropical storm.warning and it hasn't gone off at all bit it still gives me the correct weather is there something I have do?


Are you asking how to operate your radio or are you asking what you should do if the weather-alert should go off? If the first, then read the instruction manual. If the latter, listen to the NOAA warning and take whatever measures you need to do to keep you and your property safe. Looking at your post count, you're obviously not a newbie. For what it's worth, I am just due north of you in New Bern, and I'm not expecting much from this as it's going to be a good bit offshore. We gave prepared for a hurricane nonetheless, meaning we got fuel for the generator, water, batteries. Cleaned up the yard of anything not tied down, lifted up the boat well into the boathouse, etc. Good luck but unless the storm takes a turn towards us, I just expect it to be breezy and rainy here.

I think Storming meant that the weather radio tone didn't sound when the tropical storm warning was issued, like it should have.

And in that case, I would verify that the tropical storm warning is turned on (I believe that is one of the products you can turn on/off), and make sure the S.A.M.E. code is the proper one for Onslow.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1607 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:41 pm

hope all safe in area i bet obama will leave dc for storm
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#1608 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:59 pm

Yes Bruno that's what I meant thanked..it goes off for all others just didn't go off first for tropical storm warning like the guy from new Bern said I am doing the same been through plenty of storms brought sheeting in that can go flying just in case
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1609 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:07 pm

Is it just me or is this currently going through baroclinic processes right now, losing its tropical characteristics or is it really that badly sheared
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1610 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:10 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Is it just me or is this currently going through baroclinic processes right now, losing its tropical characteristics or is it really that badly sheared


All of the above.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1611 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:16 pm

Also Matt Noyes, a met at NECN said that if they get any kind of thunderstorm with this storm, the gust could be 115kts, I think hes being WAY too bullish, I could possibly see isolated gust to 85kts at the shore but hes going way out on a limb going as high as 115kts and will not happen
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Re: Re:

#1612 Postby mitchell » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:27 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
galaxy401 wrote:When was the last time a storm actually made "landfall" on Delaware?


I could be wrong but I think it was Danielle in September 1992


Danielle came ashore south of Delaware in near Wallops Island Virginia as a TS.

Still, with the blocking high the NE winds as it came onshore were quite strong in Delaware....about 40 miles north of Wallops Island. I was on the coast for Danielle and would estimate sustained 30 gusts to 45 in Delaware as it came ashore.
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#1613 Postby KBBOCA » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:28 pm

I saw good advice from a Floridian related to power outages in the comments at Jeff Masters' blog:

It sounds silly, but based on dealing just with garden variety SoFla power outs, I'd like to suggest that people find out now how to report and how to track local power outs on both their computers and on their phones. Make sure you can make things work- some companies want your account number and in this day of ebills, who has that lying around? Some let you text in an outage report, but you have to register in advance, etc. A little time now will cut your stress later, imho. Be safe, all.
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Re:

#1614 Postby mitchell » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:30 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:On other boards, I'm seeing people say they're tired of the hype and stressed out by it and are just going to sit back and wait it out.
Probably not a real good idea depending on where they live.

I spoke to many of my friends who live near the coast in Ocean City Maryland or Coastal Delaware today. The level of concern today is NOTHING like Irene last year. I'm not really sure why, but most of them were pretty scared and evacuated prior to Irene coming through. Most of them were not nearly as worried about this one...worried but not "i'm outta here" mode.

I live about 10 miles from the ocean and the mood is totally different this time around. 48 hours before Irene there were gas outages, evacuation notices for coastal locations, and panic. Not so this time. I'm really curious if the Irene hype is to blame. It shouldnt be, but might be.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1615 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:36 pm

according to recon the pressure has dropped to 966mb which means there is some strengthening going on, but this is more of a hybrid storm right now and baroclinic processes are strengthening this as of now
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1616 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:39 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Also Matt Noyes, a met at NECN said that if they get any kind of thunderstorm with this storm, the gust could be 115kts, I think hes being WAY too bullish, I could possibly see isolated gust to 85kts at the shore but hes going way out on a limb going as high as 115kts and will not happen


NHC says 70kt at landfall, 115kt gusts seems a little aggressive! :roll:
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1617 Postby christchurchguy » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:42 pm

Blown Away wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:Also Matt Noyes, a met at NECN said that if they get any kind of thunderstorm with this storm, the gust could be 115kts, I think hes being WAY too bullish, I could possibly see isolated gust to 85kts at the shore but hes going way out on a limb going as high as 115kts and will not happen


NHC says 70kt at landfall, 115kt gusts seems a little aggressive! :roll:


maybe km not knots ? :?:
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1618 Postby Fego » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:42 pm

Hi everyone. 5:00 pm trajectory puts Sandy near 75 km from my relatives in Atlantic City. Obviously, Sandy's path is not written in stone but I wonder, how different would be its structure if it is an extratropical cyclone when pass near NJ?. The stronger wind and deep rain would be at the north side?. Thanks .
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1619 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:43 pm

Blown Away wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:Also Matt Noyes, a met at NECN said that if they get any kind of thunderstorm with this storm, the gust could be 115kts, I think hes being WAY too bullish, I could possibly see isolated gust to 85kts at the shore but hes going way out on a limb going as high as 115kts and will not happen


NHC says 70kt at landfall, 115kt gusts seems a little aggressive! :roll:



I've seen Matt do this on many a storm and at this point I can't take him seriously. On to the storm I do believe surge is going to be a huge story with this, wouldn't be suprised to see a 10'+ storm surge

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1620 Postby Hey Its Me » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:49 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:according to recon the pressure has dropped to 966mb which means there is some strengthening going on, but this is more of a hybrid storm right now and baroclinic processes are strengthening this as of now



That was extrap, from vortex:

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 966mb (28.53 inHg) - Extrapolated


Next vortex pass had a dropsonde:

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 972mb (28.70 inHg)
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