ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: Re:

#1621 Postby Fego » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:52 pm

mitchell wrote:
WeatherGuesser wrote:On other boards, I'm seeing people say they're tired of the hype and stressed out by it and are just going to sit back and wait it out.
Probably not a real good idea depending on where they live.

I spoke to many of my friends who live near the coast in Ocean City Maryland or Coastal Delaware today. The level of concern today is NOTHING like Irene last year. I'm not really sure why, but most of them were pretty scared and evacuated prior to Irene coming through. Most of them were not nearly as worried about this one...worried but not "i'm outta here" mode.

I live about 10 miles from the ocean and the mood is totally different this time around. 48 hours before Irene there were gas outages, evacuation notices for coastal locations, and panic. Not so this time. I'm really curious if the Irene hype is to blame. It shouldnt be, but might be.

My sisters told me that authorities in Atlantic City are talking about an evacuation scenario, like something that could be implemented.
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#1622 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:55 pm

Still a hurricane as of the latest advisory.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1623 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:59 pm

Something that changed on the 8 PM advisory is this:

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO DEERFIELD BEACH.
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#1624 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 26, 2012 7:51 pm

the 20 miles buoy of canaveral is reporting 47 sustained. gust to 58. the 120 miles buoy is 54 sustained gusting to 72 ! and a ship about 60 miles out is sustained at 60mph.
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Re:

#1625 Postby Terry » Fri Oct 26, 2012 7:54 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:the 20 miles buoy of canaveral is reporting 47 sustained. gust to 58. the 120 miles buoy is 54 sustained gusting to 72 ! and a ship about 60 miles out is sustained at 60mph.


And wave heights over 30' out there!
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Re:

#1626 Postby ozonepete » Fri Oct 26, 2012 7:56 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:the 20 miles buoy of canaveral is reporting 47 sustained. gust to 58. the 120 miles buoy is 54 sustained gusting to 72 ! and a ship about 60 miles out is sustained at 60mph.


Wow! Wind field really expanding.
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Re: Re:

#1627 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 26, 2012 7:56 pm

Terry wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:the 20 miles buoy of canaveral is reporting 47 sustained. gust to 58. the 120 miles buoy is 54 sustained gusting to 72 ! and a ship about 60 miles out is sustained at 60mph.


And wave heights over 30' out there!


yep I leave in melbourne area and was all around today some decent gust upper 50's and probably 60 in the heavy squalls. the ocean is quite rough and beach erosion is bad no over wash I could except on the causeways.
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#1628 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 26, 2012 7:58 pm

interesting report out of the sanford orlando airport. gusting to 71 ! big squall just went through there.


Orlando / Sanford Airport 19:53 Overcast 72 67 84 SE 13 G 71 29.64
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1629 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:02 pm

00z Best Track remains as Hurricane at 65kts.

AL, 18, 2012102700, , BEST, 0, 274N, 772W, 65, 969, HU

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
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Re: Re:

#1630 Postby Terry » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:06 pm

I'm on Juno Beach right now and they are saying that our highest coastal flooding will be tomorrow morning's high tide. It appears to me that at least 4 ft. of beach is is gone so far. Big surf is seriously eroding the beach.

Aric Dunn wrote:
Terry wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:the 20 miles buoy of canaveral is reporting 47 sustained. gust to 58. the 120 miles buoy is 54 sustained gusting to 72 ! and a ship about 60 miles out is sustained at 60mph.


And wave heights over 30' out there!


yep I leave in melbourne area and was all around today some decent gust upper 50's and probably 60 in the heavy squalls. the ocean is quite rough and beach erosion is bad no over wash I could except on the causeways.
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#1631 Postby capepoint » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:23 pm

man it's quiet in here....you wouldn't know that there is a monster of a storm about to rack-up millions of dollars in damage and probably take several more lives...... :roll:
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Re:

#1632 Postby KBBOCA » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:27 pm

capepoint wrote:man it's quiet in here....you wouldn't know that there is a monster of a storm about to rack-up millions of dollars in damage and probably take several more lives...... :roll:


Yes, I too have been surprised by the slow activity here. I know a large percentage of posters on the board are from FL and TX which are not threatened (though of course FL had watches...). But the quiet here is eerie.

I've been wondering, maybe it's because October is a busier time of year for many people than August, and that people have less time to track storms, but Wilma was in October, and had much more activity here. What's the deal?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1633 Postby hurricanedude » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:29 pm

you said it...if this was in the GOM it would be nuts in here
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Re: Re:

#1634 Postby pgoss11 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:31 pm

KBBOCA wrote:
capepoint wrote:man it's quiet in here....you wouldn't know that there is a monster of a storm about to rack-up millions of dollars in damage and probably take several more lives...... :roll:


Yes, I too have been surprised by the slow activity here. I know a large percentage of posters on the board are from FL and TX which are not threatened (though of course FL had watches...). But the quiet here is eerie.

I've been wondering, maybe it's because October is a busier time of year for many people than August, and that people have less time to track storms, but Wilma was in October, and had much more activity here. What's the deal?


I think all the Florida people are just not as interested because it's not going to affect them.. and there are a lot of Florida people in this forum. I, personally am not going to be affected but I am fascinated to see this storm come together.
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#1635 Postby OzCycloneChaserTrav » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:33 pm

Check out the windfield here from the two model outputs today. Australian time.

Image

Taken from our Facebook Page Oz Cyclone Chasers
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1636 Postby WeatherLovingDoc » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:37 pm

I've been checking in most of the day as I live near Washington D.C. I thought it was so slow because of the shear today, slow movement and difficulty with five day models in terms. I see some Pros post about DelMarVa, others about NYC/LI. Tomorrow I hope more light will be shed for all of us up here. Got my storm prep done today. We always loose electricity. Longest time was 10 days with two toddlers in the 90's. Good luck. Get prepared. Don't let down your guard.

See NHC for official weather forecast.
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Re: Re:

#1637 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:39 pm

KBBOCA wrote:
capepoint wrote:man it's quiet in here....you wouldn't know that there is a monster of a storm about to rack-up millions of dollars in damage and probably take several more lives...... :roll:


Yes, I too have been surprised by the slow activity here. I know a large percentage of posters on the board are from FL and TX which are not threatened (though of course FL had watches...). But the quiet here is eerie.

I've been wondering, maybe it's because October is a busier time of year for many people than August, and that people have less time to track storms, but Wilma was in October, and had much more activity here. What's the deal?


That and maybe some people just lost interest in the season after Isaac.

I'm sure it'll get very active in a couple of days.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1638 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:45 pm

WeatherLovingDoc wrote:I've been checking in most of the day as I live near Washington D.C. I thought it was so slow because of the shear today, slow movement and difficulty with five day models in terms. I see some Pros post about DelMarVa, others about NYC/LI. Tomorrow I hope more light will be shed for all of us up here. Got my storm prep done today. We always loose electricity. Longest time was 10 days with two toddlers in the 90's. Good luck. Get prepared. Don't let down your guard.

See NHC for official weather forecast.


Honestly I don't see much difference where it hits in terms of your impact given the huge size. Expect to lose power regardless then.
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#1639 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:54 pm

The ECMWF hit is worse for NYC in terms of surge, too. The winds will be primed to funnel water straight down the Long Island Sound, as well as from the south straight into the bottleneck of NYC.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#1640 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:54 pm

i here in miami i interest in system even after pass my area because going affect alot people this type storm we dont see that many time going affect few big city last one was prefect storm 1991
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