WPAC: BOPHA - Remnants

[yulou]

Bopha is still picking up its strength... its eye rounded in last few hours

[euro6208]

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 911.3mb/155.0kt



blacks completely surrounding a well defined eye...it is still intensifying!

[Meow]

LOL i'm glad you know

You always ignore all information from the JMA. I have tolerated you for long time.

[yulou]

It will made landfall in 3~6hrs... First Category 5 of Mindanao island ever since World War II is now coming

[phwxenthusiast]

eye slowly approaching from the east...!!

[Tyler Penland]

Not sure if this has been posted but here's a link to Doppler Radar in the area. Just click on "doppler radar" at the top. The eye is creeping into the frame.

http://climatex.ph/

Edit: Ha, he beat me to it lol.

[CrazyC83]

Landfall looks to be near Lingig - population 30,000.

Bislig Bay is somewhat protected but I wonder if it still could bring a storm surge in? Inside that bay is Bislig - population 115,000.

[ozonepete]

blacks completely surrounding a well defined eye...it is still intensifying!

Actually from these latest images you can see some weakening starting since the thunderstorms in the intense solid core (ring of black color) are starting to weaken (less back colors in the core ring.) Clearly the thunderstorm tops in the core are starting to warm due to land interaction. This is some small good fortune but not nearly enough since it will still come onshore as an extremely powerful typhoon.

[supercane4867]

ADT agrees with the weakening trend too, but it will not come onshore as anything weaker than a strong CAT4

[phwxenthusiast]

Baganga (just google it to know the exact location) now down to 998mb--it also reported 20mm of rain in the past hour... conditions starting to go downhill!!

[Meow]

It will severely affect millions of people, as Davao is the third largest city of the Philippines.

[euro6208]

landfall likely in southern Surigao Del Sur...

[Meow]

landfall likely in southern Surigao Del Sur...

From the latest track, it has more possibility to make landfall over Davao Oriental.

[CrazyC83]

It may be tiny compared to, say, Sandy, but the size has definitely increased - tropical storm-force winds cover all of Mindanao based on that yellow circle.

[euro6208]

It will severely affect millions of people, as Davao is the third largest city of the Philippines.

actually 4th largest city in the philippines and third largest metropolitan area= that's about 2.3 million people alone!

[Meow]

It may not be 140 knots anymore, because the JTWC analysed that the T-number of Bopha has reached 7.5 just now.

TPPN10 PGTW 031810

A. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA)

B. 03/1730Z

C. 7.6N

D. 127.2E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T7.5/7.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. A SMALL WMG EYE SURROUNDED
AND EMBEDDED IN CMG YIELDS A DT OF 7.5. PT AGREES AND MET IS
7.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


NEWCOMER

[RobWESTPACWX]

Earlier tonight we ran a several hour live cast on this storm, myself and 3 other people that commonly post here. Thanks for everyone that joined as well. Lets hope we helped some people.

This video below though is that long cast condensed down in about 5 minutes. I hope its useful..

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opcQDKoXgQ0[/youtube]

[RobWESTPACWX]

Thats almost sickening to think this may still get stronger.

[supercane4867]

CI# has not dropped and RAW# is up again although the weakening flag is on, a CAT5 landfall seems almost certainly at this point

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 911.3mb/155.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.4 7.4 7.4

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 15 km

Center Temp : +11.2C Cloud Region Temp : -78.9C

[phwxenthusiast]

latest shot of Hinatuan Radar... the eye becoming much clearer now...



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