Texas Winter 2012-2013
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.Re:
SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Remember you folks did say you wanted my snow.............![]()
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Yes we did ma'am! Feel free to post snow pictures anytime
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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SaskatchewanScreamer
Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013
SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Remember you folks did say you wanted my snow.............![]()
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Bring it!!!
Sent from my Samsung galaxy S3 via tapatalk
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- Tireman4
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Re:
SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Wait until tonight's showing then ...... the snow has started here and we expect to have a whole lot more.
Free A/C for you folks I imagine just looking at it.
Trust me it is even colder than it looks......
For this edition of the Holiday Snow 2012, we ( Houston) will have to miss it. Now, January 2013...who knows....oh the high today, 75...sigh....
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SaskatchewanScreamer
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SaskatchewanScreamer
Re: Re:
Tireman4 wrote:SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Wait until tonight's showing then ...... the snow has started here and we expect to have a whole lot more.
Free A/C for you folks I imagine just looking at it.
Trust me it is even colder than it looks......
For this edition of the Holiday Snow 2012, we ( Houston) will have to miss it. Now, January 2013...who knows....oh the high today, 75...sigh....
We are working on fixing that Houston.....you may live to regret it however.
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Re: Re:
Tireman4 wrote:For this edition of the Holiday Snow 2012, we ( Houston) will have to miss it. Now, January 2013...who knows....oh the high today, 75...sigh....
There will plenty of action in Houston on Christmas, may not be snow but maybe you can get a storm to dump several inches of small hail! Close right? Seriously though, could be some strong thunderstorms that way.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
12z GFS is unwavering at the surface, but again here we see it trying to cut off and go negative tilt over North Texas. If it does the qpf will likely be much more from the trowel than shown.
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- Tireman4
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Re: Re:
Ntxw wrote:Tireman4 wrote:For this edition of the Holiday Snow 2012, we ( Houston) will have to miss it. Now, January 2013...who knows....oh the high today, 75...sigh....
There will plenty of action in Houston on Christmas, may not be snow but maybe you can get a storm to dump several inches of small hail! Close right? Seriously though, could be some strong thunderstorms that way.
I know, I was about to add the severe threat. It could be interesting around here. I will be in Santa Fe at the time of this event. Fun. LOL
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- Portastorm
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Re: Re:
Tireman4 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Tireman4 wrote:For this edition of the Holiday Snow 2012, we ( Houston) will have to miss it. Now, January 2013...who knows....oh the high today, 75...sigh....
There will plenty of action in Houston on Christmas, may not be snow but maybe you can get a storm to dump several inches of small hail! Close right? Seriously though, could be some strong thunderstorms that way.
I know, I was about to add the severe threat. It could be interesting around here. I will be in Santa Fe at the time of this event. Fun. LOL
Concern is definitely growing that a severe weather event will unfold for those of us south and southeast of whatever winter "fun" occurs closer to the Red River. Looks like we'll be dealing with a squall line, Tiremen4, and the further east it goes the greater risk for severe weather and possibly tornadoes. I want the rain badly but could do without the tornadoes.
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BlueIce
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013
Since the Oklahoma Winter thread is absolutely dead I am going to tag along here for now.
When I went to bed last night I thought to myself I wonder if this thing could really bomb out over OKC the long range GFS had a big storm and then it flopped back towards a dusting. Now we are seeing the NAM move into December 2009 range on multiple runs. This will shut Oklahoma down if it verifies. I haven't seen any maps on the 12z GFS yet its only out to 30 hours on Twister Data but you can see the cold air marching down the central plains. My gut feeling is good on this one.

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When I went to bed last night I thought to myself I wonder if this thing could really bomb out over OKC the long range GFS had a big storm and then it flopped back towards a dusting. Now we are seeing the NAM move into December 2009 range on multiple runs. This will shut Oklahoma down if it verifies. I haven't seen any maps on the 12z GFS yet its only out to 30 hours on Twister Data but you can see the cold air marching down the central plains. My gut feeling is good on this one.

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- Tireman4
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Re: Re:
Portastorm wrote:Concern is definitely growing that a severe weather event will unfold for those of us south and southeast of whatever winter "fun" occurs closer to the Red River. Looks like we'll be dealing with a squall line, Tiremen4, and the further east it goes the greater risk for severe weather and possibly tornadoes. I want the rain badly but could do without the tornadoes.
Agreed Porta. There will be rotation in some of those storms....especially east.
Last edited by Portastorm on Sun Dec 23, 2012 11:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Fixed quote
Reason: Fixed quote
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BlueIce
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Re: Re:
Tireman4 wrote:Portastorm wrote:Concern is definitely growing that a severe weather event will unfold for those of us south and southeast of whatever winter "fun" occurs closer to the Red River. Looks like we'll be dealing with a squall line, Tiremen4, and the further east it goes the greater risk for severe weather and possibly tornadoes. I want the rain badly but could do without the tornadoes.
Agreed Porta. There will be rotation in some of those storms....especially east.
Looks like the SPC is thinking the same thing.
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CST SUN DEC 23 2012
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE HOUSTON AREA AT 09Z TO 12Z TUESDAY MORNING
SHOW MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 60 KT. THIS
ENVIRONMENT COULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IF CELLS CAN REMAIN
DISCRETE AFTER INITIATION. IN ADDITION...SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES OF AROUND 400 M2/S2 SHOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR A TORNADO THREAT. IF A SQUALL-LINE QUICKLY ORGANIZES
ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND MOVES QUICKLY EWD ACROSS EAST
TX...THEN THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD BE THE GREATER THREAT LATE
MONDAY NIGHT. UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS CONCERNING THE TIMING OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM. IN SPITE OF THIS...AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK
APPEARS WARRANTED DUE TO THE POTENT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS
FORECAST TO COINCIDE WITH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND AN UNSTABLE
AIRMASS.
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SaskatchewanScreamer
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013
This is always an interesting graphic when we're dealing with dynamic storm systems such as what will be impacting Texas in a few days. Below is the latest thinking from the HPC on surface low tracks.

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- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013
Bring that nasty looking thing to Houston! 

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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Check out the Canadian. This tight baroclinic zone is really coming to fruition, somebody is going to get clocked with near blizzard snows. 1040hp over the Dakotas

Edit: Ukmet is just as far south if not further

Edit: Ukmet is just as far south if not further
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Here's the graphic for the Ukmet


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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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SaskatchewanScreamer
Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Bring that nasty looking thing to Houston!
Soon my pretty one soon
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