WPAC: Wukong - Remnants

[RobWESTPACWX]

Shear of to the North as well, at first it was giving it some exhaust but I think its a little to much now its really pulling on the storm.

[RobWESTPACWX]

Serious flooding in Iloilo currently. Here is a link to some photos in the area.

http://icerph.blogspot.jp/

[RobWESTPACWX]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8BrPYFdZIk[/youtube]

[mrbagyo]

3 dead already in eastern Samar, I can't find a link, but that's a flash report from a local media( ABSCBN)

[euro6208]

wukong makes it 5th landfall over the philippines...heavy rains continue to pour...

[supercane4867]

Fallen apart

[supercane4867]

SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WUKONG) WARNING NR 009
WTPN31 PGTW 262100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WUKONG) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 118.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 118.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 10.2N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 9.9N 114.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 118.1E.

THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 11 FEET.
AT 122618 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED 283 NM SSW OF MANILA.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

[dexterlabio]

this is good as dead. it actually looks worse than when it was still an "invest" east of Visayas.

[Grifforzer]

** WTPQ20 RJTD 270000 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1225 WUKONG (1225)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 10.6N 117.8E FAIR
MOVE WSW 13KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 280000UTC 10.2N 112.9E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 290000UTC 09.3N 108.9E 170NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

** WTJP21 RJTD 270000 ***
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1225 WUKONG (1225) 1004 HPA
AT 10.6N 117.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 10.7N 115.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 10.2N 112.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 09.3N 108.9E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 1225 WUKONG (1225)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
POSITION ACCURACY AT 270000 UTC IS FAIR.
TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERATE.
TS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[RobWESTPACWX]

JMA also still keeping it as a weak TS, but shes just about done here.

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

[euro6208]

the formation of wukong brings our season total to 25 named storm, 16 typhoons, 10 major typhoons...including 2 TD = 27 tropical cyclones...

out of 10 major typhoons, three intensified to category 3, four into category 4 and three into category 5!

very active and deadly season

[supercane4867]

the formation of wukong brings our season total to 25 named storm, 16 typhoons, 10 major typhoons...including 2 TD = 27 tropical cyclones...

out of 10 major typhoons, three intensified to category 3, four into category 4 and three into category 5!

very active and deadly season

There's no such thing as major typhoon

[dexterlabio]

^i think what he meant is typhoons of Cat3+ strength. comparative to the major hurricanes on the other side of the world.

[dexterlabio]

we already achieved a normal yearly ACE for WPAC even before Wukong came. Wukong reached about minimal TS strength so I guess the ACE it contributed was not much.

[Meow]

JMA also still keeping it as a weak TS, but shes just about done here.

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

Wukong is absolutely a male.

[Meow]

the formation of wukong brings our season total to 25 named storm, 16 typhoons, 10 major typhoons...including 2 TD = 27 tropical cyclones...

out of 10 major typhoons, three intensified to category 3, four into category 4 and three into category 5!

very active and deadly season

The JMA only upgraded 14 storms to TY in 2012.

[phwxenthusiast]

hmm, there seems to be a new hot tower forming very near the LLCC.. let's see if it can sustain itself into diurnal maximum... wind shear is around 20kt so it may have a hard time, but still..

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Hurricane_Luis]

Its Regenerated



WTPN31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WUKONG) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 10.0N 113.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 113.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 9.6N 110.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.8N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 7.9N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 9.9N 112.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W (WUKONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM
EAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, TD 27W HAS
REGENERATED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP
CONVECTION HAS RE-BUILT OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH AN INCREASE IN DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. ADDITIONALLY,
RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SUPPORTS THE 25-KNOT INITIAL INTENSITY.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
NNNN

[supercane4867]

Wukong is back...but he won't be there for long as shear starts to take its toll again

[Meow]

The JMA finally downgraded Wukong to a tropical depression.



TD
Issued at 06:35 UTC, 28 December 2012

<Analyses at 28/06 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
TD
Center position N9°00'(9.0°)
E111°00'(111.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1004hPa