Isabel Getting Stronger

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abajan
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Isabel Getting Stronger

#1 Postby abajan » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:25 pm

This IR shot clearly shows a well developed system:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG

IMHO the Bahamas are in trouble :( .
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#2 Postby zoeyann » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:29 pm

I hope not. Fabian was more than enough storm for the year over there!
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Re: Isabel Getting Stronger

#3 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:41 pm

abajan wrote:This IR shot clearly shows a well developed system:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG

IMHO the Bahamas are in trouble :( .


Yeah, I agree it is gradually strengthening, although not too quickly, yet it has a rather large "eye". Also, it appears to have veered more westerly per the latest satellite loops. Well, it that's the case, then it appears the marked NW jog that took place today is just about over. I would expect a more WNW tonight. It probably won't reach 16.0N until tomorrow.

Meanwhile, the wave behind Isabel appears to have developed a convective cluster just to the SE of the "center". It looks like it is very well developed and TD 14 at 11pm is a good bet, IMO.
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#4 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:45 pm

If TD #14 forms soon what, if any, impact would it have on Isabel?
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#5 Postby chadtm80 » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:47 pm

Well im not sure what kind of impact it would have on izzy, but i dont think its a question of "if it forms" becuase I think it already has.. (TD 14 that is)
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#6 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:51 pm

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:If TD #14 forms soon what, if any, impact would it have on Isabel?


I'm not really sure, what, if any impact will have on Isabel? I think they are rather far apart and any impact should be minimal. It appears the wave behind Isabel is moving slower than Isabel is because the steering currents are even weaker over the E. Atlantic, so that would increase the distance between the two.

What appears more likely is that if Isabel develops some VERY impressive outflow and LARGE envelope, it could affect Juan with some shear just like Gustav in 1996.
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 07, 2003 6:55 pm

Isabel and the system off africa are apart some 900 miles so no big impact will happen between the 2 systems.
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