Texas Winter 2012-2013

[ndale]

Very grateful for our rain here, the gauge says 4/10 of an inch, since Portastorm says his side of town only got .08 inches I can't complain about our total.

[wxman57]

I see that the 12Z Euro dropped all snow in Texas next weekend, GFS, too. The Euro still has snow in the Panhandle on Tuesday.

[weatherguy425]

Wxman57, how much did the 12z lay down for the southern panhandle and South Plains (Lubbock)?

[wxman57]

Wxman57, how much did the 12z lay down for the southern panhandle and South Plains (Lubbock)?

Lubbock is on the southern edge of Tuesday's snow. None indicated there by the Euro. Euro has 15mm (0.60") liquid, so about 5-6 inches up around Amarillo.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

You guys hoping for cold shouldnt be surprised at all. Pretty much all season,or lack thereof, the models have been showing winter weather for the south 10-14 days out only to flip to mild/warm weather days later. Which is what we have had around here since mid January and no reason to believe things will change or be any different. Heck they can't even get the weather correct for our area in the 24 hr timeframe. We were forecast to have heavy rains and strong/severe storms with a flood watch issued at 4 this morning. One thin band of rain in sw LA to show right now and have only received .04 " of rain today.

[LaBreeze]

You guys hoping for cold shouldnt be surprised at all. Pretty much all season,or lack thereof, the models have been showing winter weather for the south 10-14 days out only to flip to mild/warm weather days later. Which is what we have had around here since mid January and no reason to believe things will change or be any different. Heck they can't even get the weather correct for our area in the 24 hr timeframe. We were forecast to have heavy rains and strong/severe storms with a flood watch issued at 4 this morning. One thin band of rain in sw LA to show right now and have only received .04 " of rain today.

Not a drop here Cyclone Mike - Happy Mardi Gras!

[Ntxw]

You guys hoping for cold shouldnt be surprised at all. Pretty much all season,or lack thereof, the models have been showing winter weather for the south 10-14 days out only to flip to mild/warm weather days later. Which is what we have had around here since mid January and no reason to believe things will change or be any different. Heck they can't even get the weather correct for our area in the 24 hr timeframe. We were forecast to have heavy rains and strong/severe storms with a flood watch issued at 4 this morning. One thin band of rain in sw LA to show right now and have only received .04 " of rain today.

It's going to get colder in Texas for the next 1-2 weeks, that's not the problem. The difference is seasonably cold or very cold and parts of the state will get snow (right now obviously the panhandle and maybe Red River) but we're trying to see if it will attempt to do so further south.

Clock is ticking though by the end of Feb any kind of cold will not last very long at all and just gets less and less come March.

[ravyrn]

Wxman57, will you please free the models from your heat mising voodoo? Just let us up in NTX have another two weeks of cold weather w/ a little wintry precip. And to be fair, let those around the PWC have a week, and then just a few days of cold weather for those in your neck of the woods. Then you can do what your worst for the rest of the year until November. Pleeeaassseeee?

[Dean4Storms]

Wxman57 keeps throwing his Bicycle Speedo's over the model runs whenever they hint at cold and snow for you guys in Texas. The Cold runs away from that, wouldn't you?

[Portastorm]

Wxman57, will you please free the models from your heat mising voodoo? Just let us up in NTX have another two weeks of cold weather w/ a little wintry precip. And to be fair, let those around the PWC have a week, and then just a few days of cold weather for those in your neck of the woods. Then you can do what your worst for the rest of the year until November. Pleeeaassseeee?

That seems like a very reasonable request to me. C'mon wxman57 ... it's the month of Valentines ... have a heart, will ya?!

[orangeblood]

Well at least the CFSv2 is seeing something of winter weather significance for a fairly big portion of Texas between the 15th and 20th of Feb....

[Ntxw]

Well at least the CFSv2 is seeing something of winter weather significance for a fairly big portion of Texas between the 15th and 20th of Feb...

Yeah I remember you saying that when all 4 of those runs agree on something it's a decent chance a storm may happen, maybe not the extent. Maybe it's seeing the post frontal stuff next weekend.

[Portastorm]

Hey two of the four runs show snow for the Portastorm Weather Center! Should I get excited?

If nothing else, next weekend looks fairly chilly for most of us in Texas. The 12z Euro ensembles suggest as much.



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[Yukon Cornelius]

Not looking all that great for accumulating snow along the red river on NOAA this evening. It is still a couple days out. Maybe it will go back to to what it was earlier today and yesterday. Fingers crossed!

[DonWrk]

The NAM burying the panhandle with 18"?

[weatherdude1108]

Very grateful for our rain here, the gauge says 4/10 of an inch, since Portastorm says his side of town only got .08 inches I can't complain about our total.

You did better than I did. I got 0.11 inches in my gauges (digital and analog).

[weatherdude1108]

Wxman57, will you please free the models from your heat mising voodoo? Just let us up in NTX have another two weeks of cold weather w/ a little wintry precip. And to be fair, let those around the PWC have a week, and then just a few days of cold weather for those in your neck of the woods. Then you can do what your worst for the rest of the year until November. Pleeeaassseeee?

That seems like a very reasonable request to me. C'mon wxman57 ... it's the month of Valentines ... have a heart, will ya?!

Yeah, wxman57, please be our Wintery Valentine -- just this once -- while there is still time.

[weatherguy425]

The NAM burying the panhandle with 18"?

I'm only seeing a small swatch of 6-10?

[DonWrk]

The NAM burying the panhandle with 18"?

I'm only seeing a small swatch of 6-10?

From Ryan Maue on twitter. http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/3008 ... 40/photo/1

[Kelarie]

From Shreveport NWS...they mentioned the "S" word

OUR RAIN CHANCES ARE PRETTY HIGH FOR TODAY/S GUIDANCE AND TOMORROW
AND THEN SLACK WITH COLD AIR SPILLING BACK INTO THE REGION EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THERE COULD BE A FEW SNOW FLAKES...BUT OUR TEMPS MAY BE
JUST A BIT TOO WARM AT DAYBREAK. ANOTHER SHOT OF THE WHITE STUFF
PERHAPS BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND WE HAVE INTRODUCED SOME POP/WX.
THE GFS AND EURO ARE LOOKING AT A LITTLE CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM
BRINGING SOME SHOWERS EARLY SATURDAY...MAYBE COLD ENOUGH TO CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW...BUT STILL VERY LIGHT QPF. NONE THE LESS WE ARE LOOKING
AT A MID MONTH CHILL DOWN DESPITE LAST SATURDAYS WINTER OUTLOOK AS
THIS 1030+MB MOVES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. /24/