Florida Weather

[Hurricane Alexis]

The forecasted temperatures are fine here. Just really hoping it actually rains a good amount.

[AdamFirst]

The forecasted temperatures are fine here. Just really hoping it actually rains a good amount.

HPC is calling for at least a half inch of rain across most of the southern peninsula on Day 3 (Friday)

half-inch rains are also possible across south-central Florida on Thursday.

[northjaxpro]

It feels like a June morning as I just measured 71.4 degrees. The unbelievable warm and dry winter continues on through today, before we finally see a brief cool down this weekend.

Also, after days of seeing heavy rainfall stay across Georgia this week, the upper shortwave today will move across the Ohio Valley and eventually to off the Northeast U.S coast by tomorrow morning. This will finally give that stalled front across South Central GA the "kick" to finally push south and east beginning tonight into Thursday. Hopefully, this will finally bring some much needed rain to the peninsula. I have only measured less than an 1/2 inch of rain total since the beginning of January.

Looks like we may see a light freeze at my location on Sunday morning and again Monday as a drier, moisture starved secondary front pushes into North Florida during the day Saturday. This will snap us all back to reality temporarily that it is actually February with the arrival of a polar air mass. A upper level trough axis sharpens across the Eastern United States this weekend and this is the pattern that we just have not seen this winter here in this region. However, the cold will be very brief. The pattern stays progressive and will become zonal by Monday as the High Pressure area bringing down the chill this weekend will move off into the Atlantic. This will moderate temps rapidly as the southeast flow returns and temps will warm back well into the 70s by Tuesday. There will be another chance of rain Tuesday-Wednesday of next week as another shortwave trough approaches the Southeast U.S.

[FireRat]

The Cold is coming!

I found this really cool site from the NWS, check it out if you want to see exactly what your area may see:

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=26.122767693778187&lon=-80.33683776855469

So far, it's calling for a low of 38 on Saturday night in my Western Broward location!

To see yours, simply move around the little map that appears on the right of their site and click over your location to pull up the latest 'cast. This site's really cool!

[gsytch]

Also calling for 38F here in New Port Richey, 40F in Holiday/Tarpon Springs, and 31F in N Brooksville. Chilly. Not a record breaker by any means but I am sure it will be a shock. GREAT SITE!

[FireRat]

Glad you liked it gsytch!

Now the forecast upped the low for Sat. night, but dropped the high for Sunday significantly. It looks like they're trying to figure out exactly when the core of the cold air will make its crossing here. 45 for a low, I have a feeling they'll swing it back down to the upper 30s if the front speeds up a bit. Will definitely be an interesting time weatherwise, the most interesting IMO so far this year! First the near-record warmth, then the storms on Thu-Fri, and then the 40+ degree drop (85 down to at least 45) by late Saturday and Sunday.

A shocker indeed if it plays out!

[NDG]

Upper 30s for south FL this weekend? I doubt that, MOS guidance is not that low for your area and they are usually cold bias to begin with.
Winds will stay up too strong for the perfect radiational cooling Saturday night, so mid to upper 40s in suburban areas of south FL sound more reasonable and by Sunday night winds will be switching from the east above the surface bringing in possible cloud cover to start the warming trend.

[FireRat]

Thanks for the input NDG.
Yeah, I guess mid-upper 40s sounds more reasonable, especially for the main metro area, with perhaps near 50 right on the beaches, esp. around Miami. Where I live it's a bit of a cold spot, where I've noticed 10-degree differences between readings from Miami and temps in my area on most cold-episode nights.

Low 40s wouldn't surprise me in my far-west suburb that borders the Everglades (Near Alligator alley), especially if Miami itself makes it down to 50 or slightly below. It seems that once you get within 10 miles from the beach, every little mile closer begins making a noticeable difference in nighttime lows around here!

[Patrick99]

Wow, dewpoint is at 72 with a little sun out. Hope this can lend enough instability to squeeze out a thunderstorm or two!

[Sanibel]

Nice downpour and thunder here. 66*

[northjaxpro]

Wow, talk about a difference in 24 hours. Yesterday at this hour, the temp was in the upper 70s.

Right now, it is only 52 degrees with overcast conditions, a big difference for sure with the frontal passage here late last night. I did pick up about 2/3 of an inch of rain which ended this morning. Any amount will help, but definitely we need more for sure.

Temps may drop into the upper 20s for inland locales in my region of North Florida on Sunday morning. There is a possibility that some of the coldest temps of this winter may be seen here this weekend in spots of Duval, Nassau, Baker, Columbia and Union counties of the peninsula. Will keep a close watch on that as we head into the weekend.

[NDG]

Mostly light rain here in Orlando so far today, no luck here as we are in between two heavier bands and it looks like that the drying trend has begun west of Tampa in the GOM so we may not get as much rain a forecasted.
Relatively cold day for Sunday but by Tuesday temps are forecasted to be in the mid to upper 70s here in Orlando, thanks to the positive NAO it will be a quick shot of cold air.

[AdamFirst]

Moderate rain most of the day here on the Treasure Coast. It's supposed to continue through the night into tomorrow afternoon.

Low of 40 for Sunday morning - and I get to feel it too, since I have to get up for work at 4 AM.

[gsytch]

WHOPPING 1 1/2" since Wed afternoon, some in heavy showers and storms! MUCH appreciated rainfall, and it is still raining steadily if lightly. Looks like the cold is just a glance, although chilly. Still it appears 38F or so as the lowest MOn AM. That is cold but nothing special. Still cold! I hate cold. Quick warmup next week, but this is my 3 day weekend. Figures!

[FireRat]

Low of 40 also being forecast right now for Sunday morning in my locale, with 45 for Pompano Beach.
What a raw night it's been, with low 60s and bouts of heavy rain!!
It began furiously around 6:30 pm, downed some tree branches and knocked out some streetlights lol, after such a balmy morning, now 62 degs w/ rain. How fun!

[northjaxpro]

Models have trended colder this morning with the arctic blast coming in this weekend. Looks like areas of interior North Florida may see a potential hard freeze on Sunday morning with low temps in the mid 20s possible in the normally colder spots such as Lake City, Live Oak, Starke and areas west of the St. Johns River in north and western Jax area.

Also, the models have suddenly bought in moisture into the North Florida region during the day Saturday as a vigorous vort max swings down the base of a deepening upper level trough into the Southeast U.S. This may bring rain showers across the Big Bend and areas all along I-10 east from Tallahassee to Jacksonville, then clearing Saturday evening as the cold dome of High Pressure builds down into the region and an area of Low Pressure develops off the SC/NC coast and pulls away to the northeast.

I will watch this closely on Saturday. Strong cold air advection will ensue during the day as the arctic boundary moves through the region during the day. As a matter of fact, the Tallahassee NWS office mets in their early morning AFD indeed is recognizing the possibility that partial thicknesses may support a light rain-snow mix to occur beginning sunrise Saturday in areas all across South GA and close to the FL- GA state line spreading quickly east as the day progresses.

[dizzyfish]

Forecast (as of this morning) for me Sunday night is 30*.

[NDG]

MLB NWS office has pretty much placed every county west of I-95 it covers under a freeze watch for Sunday morning, but the weird thing is that the MOS guidance which is most times cold bias does not show not one city in the area to have freezing temps Sunday morning.
I guess they are being cautous just in case the MOS is too warm at this time but all this is going to do is make every TV station in my area over react that a freeze is possibly coming and that is all we are going to hear annoucing over the next 24 hrs, lol.

[gsytch]

Dizzyfish- I have 35F forecasted. I do not believe we will see a freeze but it will be cold, and possible frost in open areas MOn morning. It depends on how Sunday warms and what the temp is at sunset. FAWN has a tool that tells you expected minimum based on sunset temp and dewpoint. However, the closer to the GOM the warmer you can be. It will still be cold. And I have a 3 day weekend to whine about the cold RATHER than get yard work done! Argh..

[FireRat]

Yup, NWS puts me back to the 38 for saturday nite at my location, local news has now stated that a freeze watch has been issued for Western Broward County, principally areas west of the Sawgrass expwy and west of US 27. I'm right next door to the Sawgrass, so I'll let ya'll know how it goes lol