SE Gulf / Florida East Coast

[Dean4Storms]

Check this buoy at 9:20am. Pressure down to 29.72" and gusts to 50mph.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41009

[wxman57]

Currently, the low appears to be frontal rather than tropical. Fairly close to what the models have been predicting for the past week.

[Alyono]

yes there is a low there.

However, it does not appear to be tropical. Notice the linear convection. I have to agree that this is a frontal low.

[Ivanhater]

Regardless if this becomes tropical, things are certainly heating up

[OuterBanker]

Apparently, the GFS and the Euro are in agreement with the system heading into GA then combining with the ULL in the Midwest and exiting the Carolinas then riding the coast north. CMC the outlier with it heading into Ohio then into Canada. Regardless I’m a bit concerned about the prolonged fetch on the east facing beaches from FL to NC. Could cause erosion problems which could leave beaches more vulnerable to damage during hurricane season.

[cycloneye]

No North winds so far in the Florida east coast observations.

[jdray]

Maybe WJXT Channel 4's RPM model was accurate lol.

We've had 4-6 inches of rain in my neck of Clay County as of early this afternoon (looking at local weather stations and NWS data, mine needs to be replaced....). I'm guessing around another 1-2 inches through tonight and tomorrow. 6-8" total would be way beyond a normal May's monthly rainfall. One heck of a start to the month.

[hurricanedude]

hey jdray...where in clay county are you.....I have a home in Middleburg

[USTropics]

Looking like a beautiful mess this morning on visible satellite images. Multiple vortices are apparent (two distinct ones on visible; one along 85W in the northeastern GOM and another over central Florida).

[northjaxpro]

Thankfully, all of this mess will finally get pushed out of this area as the large cut-off Low absorbs the non-tropical Low over my area and bring in cooler and drier air. The cold front extending from the cut-off Low currently currently over Northern Arkansas will finally come through the Jax area sometime early Sunday morning. We can use a respite from the rain after getting at my locale near 5 inches since Thursday.

[ROCK]

it wont make a subtropical run....too early...


http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

although it wont be long....

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

[jdray]

hey jdray...where in clay county are you.....I have a home in Middleburg

Old Jennings and Blanding area. more middle park or orangeburg lol.

my sister lives out off of 218. what part of middleburg is your house in?

[jdray]

looking at the precip estimates from the NWS, I have seen 10"+ from this mess since Thursday. its still just steady raining without stop. black Creek is crested at 19ft and shut down quite a few roads out here.


was an interesting setup, definitely frontal, but that low over north central Florida looked pretty good.

[hurricanedude]

I use to rent an apartment there at Old Jennings and Blanding...I then bought a house up the street Off Knightbox.

[jdray]

I use to rent an apartment there at Old Jennings and Blanding...I then bought a house up the street Off Knightbox.

I'm on the other side of Blanding, know which apartments you are talking about though.
watch for some areas on knightboxx, they don't drain that great. good area though.