TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TORNADO WATCH 170 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-047-049-057-061-063-065-069-073-
075-083-085-087-091-101-105-111-113-117-123-135-137-145-157-161-
165-171-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0170.130518T1945Z-130519T0400Z/
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DAWSON DEUEL
DUNDY FRANKLIN FRONTIER
FURNAS GARDEN GOSPER
GRANT HARLAN HAYES
HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEITH
KIMBALL LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON MORRILL PERKINS
PHELPS RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...CYS...GID...DDC...ICT...BOU...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TORNADO WATCH 170 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
KSC007-009-015-023-025-033-035-039-047-051-053-055-057-063-065-
069-071-077-079-083-095-097-101-105-109-113-115-119-123-135-137-
141-145-147-151-153-155-159-163-165-167-169-171-173-179-181-183-
185-191-193-195-199-203-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0170.130518T1945Z-130519T0400Z/
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHEYENNE CLARK COMANCHE
COWLEY DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRAY GREELEY HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN KINGMAN
KIOWA LANE LINCOLN
LOGAN MARION MCPHERSON
MEADE MITCHELL NESS
NORTON OSBORNE PAWNEE
PHILLIPS PRATT RAWLINS
RENO RICE ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SCOTT SEDGWICK SHERIDAN
SHERMAN SMITH STAFFORD
SUMNER THOMAS TREGO
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TORNADO WATCH 170 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
COC017-063-075-095-115-121-125-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0170.130518T1945Z-130519T0400Z/
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIT CARSON LOGAN
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
Severe Outbreak for May 18-19-20-21 (Watches-Warnings)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Probs are 70/20. Mentioning strong tornadoes yet only a 20% sig-tor probability?
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY
NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CHADRON NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...INITIATION OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...BOTH WITHIN MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW NEAR THE LEE SURFACE
TROUGH ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS. AS
ACTIVITY SPREADS NORTHWARD/NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE
WITH STRONGEST STORMS INTO EARLY EVENING. TORNADIC POTENTIAL MAY BE
A BIT SLOWER TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS KANSAS...THAN IN
THE COOLER UPSLOPE REGIME TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT LOW-LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENING AND INCREASING BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
SUPPORT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ONE OR TWO STRONG TORNADOES
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL KANSAS NEAR/SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...KERR
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY
NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CHADRON NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...INITIATION OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...BOTH WITHIN MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW NEAR THE LEE SURFACE
TROUGH ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS. AS
ACTIVITY SPREADS NORTHWARD/NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE
WITH STRONGEST STORMS INTO EARLY EVENING. TORNADIC POTENTIAL MAY BE
A BIT SLOWER TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS KANSAS...THAN IN
THE COOLER UPSLOPE REGIME TO THE NORTHWEST...BUT LOW-LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENING AND INCREASING BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
SUPPORT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ONE OR TWO STRONG TORNADOES
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL KANSAS NEAR/SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...KERR
0 likes
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
WOUS64 KWNS 182015
WOU1
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TORNADO WATCH 171 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-
125-129-137-141-149-151-153-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0171.130518T2020Z-130519T0400Z/
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MAJOR
MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
TXC009-023-049-059-075-077-081-083-087-101-151-155-197-207-211-
253-269-275-295-353-399-417-433-441-447-483-485-487-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0171.130518T2020Z-130519T0400Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY
COKE COLEMAN COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE FISHER FOARD
HARDEMAN HASKELL HEMPHILL
JONES KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WHEELER WICHITA
WILBARGER
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...SJT...LUB...
WOU1
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TORNADO WATCH 171 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-
125-129-137-141-149-151-153-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0171.130518T2020Z-130519T0400Z/
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MAJOR
MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
TXC009-023-049-059-075-077-081-083-087-101-151-155-197-207-211-
253-269-275-295-353-399-417-433-441-447-483-485-487-190400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0171.130518T2020Z-130519T0400Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY
COKE COLEMAN COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE FISHER FOARD
HARDEMAN HASKELL HEMPHILL
JONES KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB NOLAN RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WHEELER WICHITA
WILBARGER
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...SJT...LUB...
0 likes
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ABILENE TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE NEAR THE DRYLINE
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLE BORDER
AREA... SOUTHWARD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...TOWARD THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU...DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS INHIBITION WEAKENS IN
PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A RISK FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES...BEFORE ACTIVITY GROWS UPSCALE
THIS EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL PERHAPS BECOMING MORE
PROMINENT. AS LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS BECOME CLOCKWISE CURVED AND
QUITE LARGE THIS EVENING...AND BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
INCREASES WITH DIURNAL COOLING...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY EXIST
FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...BEFORE CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES INTO
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...KERR
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ABILENE TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE NEAR THE DRYLINE
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLE BORDER
AREA... SOUTHWARD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...TOWARD THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU...DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS INHIBITION WEAKENS IN
PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A RISK FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES...BEFORE ACTIVITY GROWS UPSCALE
THIS EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL PERHAPS BECOMING MORE
PROMINENT. AS LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS BECOME CLOCKWISE CURVED AND
QUITE LARGE THIS EVENING...AND BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
INCREASES WITH DIURNAL COOLING...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY EXIST
FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...BEFORE CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES INTO
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...KERR
0 likes
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL SD...NERN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 182031Z - 182130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
DISCUSSION...SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING
FOR THE LAST 1-2 HOURS ACROSS THE BLACK HILLS...WITH MODERATE MLCAPE
OF 1000-2000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 35-45 KTS SUPPORTING A
LARGE HAIL RISK. ADDITIONAL ATTEMPTS AT INITIATION ARE UNDERWAY
NORTH OF THE ONGOING SUPERCELLS...AND ALSO FURTHER EAST NEAR PIR
ALONG A DIFFUSE SLOW-MOVING WARM FRONT. MULTIPLE EMBEDDED VORTICITY
MAXIMA WITHIN BROAD SWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT...WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY/SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORM
STRUCTURES.
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS WILL BE THE PRIMARY MODE FOR THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS...WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY STORMS INTERACTING WITH THE WARM
FRONT. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS IS POSSIBLE EARLY
THIS EVENING...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO INCREASE IN SEVERE WIND RISK. IF
THE UPWARD TREND IN TSTM COVERAGE CONTINUES...WW ISSUANCE WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
..DEAN/KERR.. 05/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...UNR...CYS...BYZ...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL SD...NERN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 182031Z - 182130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
DISCUSSION...SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING
FOR THE LAST 1-2 HOURS ACROSS THE BLACK HILLS...WITH MODERATE MLCAPE
OF 1000-2000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 35-45 KTS SUPPORTING A
LARGE HAIL RISK. ADDITIONAL ATTEMPTS AT INITIATION ARE UNDERWAY
NORTH OF THE ONGOING SUPERCELLS...AND ALSO FURTHER EAST NEAR PIR
ALONG A DIFFUSE SLOW-MOVING WARM FRONT. MULTIPLE EMBEDDED VORTICITY
MAXIMA WITHIN BROAD SWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT...WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY/SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORM
STRUCTURES.
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS WILL BE THE PRIMARY MODE FOR THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS...WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY STORMS INTERACTING WITH THE WARM
FRONT. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS IS POSSIBLE EARLY
THIS EVENING...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO INCREASE IN SEVERE WIND RISK. IF
THE UPWARD TREND IN TSTM COVERAGE CONTINUES...WW ISSUANCE WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
..DEAN/KERR.. 05/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...UNR...CYS...BYZ...
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA TO
75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
DISCUSSION...STORM COVERAGE IS IN THE PROCESS OF INCREASING
NEAR/NORTH AND EAST OF THE BLACK HILLS AREA...WHERE STEEP LAPSE
RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A RISK FOR AT LEAST SEVERE HAIL...AIDED BY
MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 30-40 KT SOUTHERLY 500 MB FLOW.
THIS ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE
WEAKENING/SHIFTING EAST OF REGION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...KERR
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA TO
75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
DISCUSSION...STORM COVERAGE IS IN THE PROCESS OF INCREASING
NEAR/NORTH AND EAST OF THE BLACK HILLS AREA...WHERE STEEP LAPSE
RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A RISK FOR AT LEAST SEVERE HAIL...AIDED BY
MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 30-40 KT SOUTHERLY 500 MB FLOW.
THIS ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE
WEAKENING/SHIFTING EAST OF REGION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...KERR
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
First TOR of the day:
322
WFUS55 KCYS 182212
TORCYS
NEC045-182245-
/O.NEW.KCYS.TO.W.0005.130518T2212Z-130518T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
412 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DAWES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 445 PM MDT
* AT 410 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOX BUTTE CAMPGROUND...AND
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHADRON CAMPGROUND...RED CLOUD CAMPGROUND AND CHADRON ST PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
CHEYENNE.
322
WFUS55 KCYS 182212
TORCYS
NEC045-182245-
/O.NEW.KCYS.TO.W.0005.130518T2212Z-130518T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
412 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DAWES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 445 PM MDT
* AT 410 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOX BUTTE CAMPGROUND...AND
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHADRON CAMPGROUND...RED CLOUD CAMPGROUND AND CHADRON ST PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
CHEYENNE.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
523 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BOX BUTTE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL MORRILL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF
NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 520 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF
ANGORA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLIANCE...ALLIANCE AIRPORT...BEREA...WILD HORSE BUTTE AND
HEMINGFORD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
&&
LAT...LON 4239 10326 4241 10283 4200 10276 4199 10325
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 206DEG 11KT 4202 10305
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
523 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BOX BUTTE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL MORRILL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF
NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 520 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF
ANGORA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLIANCE...ALLIANCE AIRPORT...BEREA...WILD HORSE BUTTE AND
HEMINGFORD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
&&
LAT...LON 4239 10326 4241 10283 4200 10276 4199 10325
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 206DEG 11KT 4202 10305
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFITH
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
WYC045-190015-
/O.NEW.KUNR.SV.W.0034.130518T2325Z-130519T0015Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
525 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL WESTON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 521 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 31 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SUNDANCE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTH
CENTRAL WESTON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 4418 10457 4394 10450 4399 10487 4417 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 264DEG 14KT 4408 10477
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
POJORLIE
WYC045-190015-
/O.NEW.KUNR.SV.W.0034.130518T2325Z-130519T0015Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
525 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL WESTON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 521 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 31 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SUNDANCE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTH
CENTRAL WESTON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 4418 10457 4394 10450 4399 10487 4417 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 264DEG 14KT 4408 10477
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
POJORLIE
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
630 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN ROOKS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 715 PM CDT
* AT 628 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
KIRWIN....OR 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KIRWIN AND AGRA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
&&
LAT...LON 3946 9939 3978 9947 3977 9907 3957 9907
3957 9905 3939 9905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 221DEG 38KT 3964 9910
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
HALBLAUB
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SDC103-190000-
/O.NEW.KUNR.SV.W.0035.130518T2330Z-130519T0000Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
530 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PENNINGTON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...
* UNTIL 600 PM MDT
* AT 526 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...VEHICLES AND CROPS.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY AROUND 545 PM MDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...RAPID VALLEY AND BOX ELDER.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN SOUTH DAKOTA MILE MARKERS 54 AND
68...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 4393 10326 4405 10345 4414 10337 4414 10299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 226DEG 15KT 4404 10330
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH
$$
CARSTENS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
630 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN ROOKS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 715 PM CDT
* AT 628 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
KIRWIN....OR 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KIRWIN AND AGRA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
&&
LAT...LON 3946 9939 3978 9947 3977 9907 3957 9907
3957 9905 3939 9905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 221DEG 38KT 3964 9910
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
HALBLAUB
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SDC103-190000-
/O.NEW.KUNR.SV.W.0035.130518T2330Z-130519T0000Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
530 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PENNINGTON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...
* UNTIL 600 PM MDT
* AT 526 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...VEHICLES AND CROPS.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY AROUND 545 PM MDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...RAPID VALLEY AND BOX ELDER.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN SOUTH DAKOTA MILE MARKERS 54 AND
68...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 4393 10326 4405 10345 4414 10337 4414 10299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 226DEG 15KT 4404 10330
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH
$$
CARSTENS
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
TORNADO WARNING
KSC051-195-190000-
/O.NEW.KDDC.TO.W.0007.130518T2330Z-130519T0000Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
630 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ELLIS COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 700 PM CDT
* AT 627 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ELLIS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MUNJOR...HAYS...TOULON...CATHARINE...VICTORIA AND EMMERAM.
THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF BRIEF TORNADOES AND
NUMEROSU FUNNELS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3913 9903 3889 9904 3870 9941 3870 9983
3894 9978 3914 9967 3914 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 240DEG 38KT 3899 9950
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...2.50IN
$$
RUSSELL
KSC051-195-190000-
/O.NEW.KDDC.TO.W.0007.130518T2330Z-130519T0000Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
630 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ELLIS COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 700 PM CDT
* AT 627 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ELLIS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MUNJOR...HAYS...TOULON...CATHARINE...VICTORIA AND EMMERAM.
THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF BRIEF TORNADOES AND
NUMEROSU FUNNELS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3913 9903 3889 9904 3870 9941 3870 9983
3894 9978 3914 9967 3914 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 240DEG 38KT 3899 9950
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...2.50IN
$$
RUSSELL
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-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
538 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SIOUX COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 630 PM MDT
* AT 534 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF
AGATE BED NATIONAL MONUMENT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL SIOUX COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
&&
LAT...LON 4230 10377 4264 10378 4264 10348 4244 10348
4243 10345 4230 10344 4227 10345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 187DEG 9KT 4238 10364
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFITH
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NEC161-190015-
/O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0042.130518T2337Z-130519T0015Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
537 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SHERIDAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 533 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHWAY 250
CROSSING THE NIOBRARA RIVER...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSHVILLE...CLINTON AND MOUNT MARIA.
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 85 AND 101.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 10260 4290 10227 4250 10233 4251 10257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 182DEG 15KT 4260 10245
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
$$
POWER
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
538 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SIOUX COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 630 PM MDT
* AT 534 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF
AGATE BED NATIONAL MONUMENT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL SIOUX COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
&&
LAT...LON 4230 10377 4264 10378 4264 10348 4244 10348
4243 10345 4230 10344 4227 10345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 187DEG 9KT 4238 10364
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFITH
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NEC161-190015-
/O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0042.130518T2337Z-130519T0015Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
537 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SHERIDAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 615 PM MDT
* AT 533 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHWAY 250
CROSSING THE NIOBRARA RIVER...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSHVILLE...CLINTON AND MOUNT MARIA.
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 85 AND 101.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 10260 4290 10227 4250 10233 4251 10257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 182DEG 15KT 4260 10245
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
$$
POWER
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
538 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...
NORTHEASTERN SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...
* UNTIL 630 PM MDT
* AT 535 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 34 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARTIN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN
SHANNON AND WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...POTATO CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA.
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 4352 10241 4369 10219 4370 10216 4354 10184
4337 10227
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 244DEG 20KT 4348 10224
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...2.50IN
$$
CARSTENS
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
538 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...
NORTHEASTERN SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...
* UNTIL 630 PM MDT
* AT 535 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 34 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARTIN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN
SHANNON AND WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...POTATO CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA.
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 4352 10241 4369 10219 4370 10216 4354 10184
4337 10227
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 244DEG 20KT 4348 10224
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...2.50IN
$$
CARSTENS
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 182342Z - 190015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A DMGG WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO THREAT
WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OUT OF WW 170 AND INTO PORTIONS OF CNTRL NE SWD
INTO FAR N-CNTRL KS. EITHER A WATCH EXTENSION-IN-AREA OR AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH WILL BE NEEDED TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.
DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A CLUSTER OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS
NEAR THE N-CNTRL KS/S-CNTRL NE STATE LINE AND THESE STORMS ARE
MOVING NEWD AND EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO NE CURRENTLY OUTSIDE OF TORNADO
WATCH 170. THE ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF DMGG WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO...GIVEN THE ADEQUATE SHEAR PROFILES AND AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. AS SUCH...EXPECTING AT LEAST
A LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUST THREAT TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SW.
..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 05/18/2013
VALID 182342Z - 190015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A DMGG WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO THREAT
WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OUT OF WW 170 AND INTO PORTIONS OF CNTRL NE SWD
INTO FAR N-CNTRL KS. EITHER A WATCH EXTENSION-IN-AREA OR AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH WILL BE NEEDED TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.
DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A CLUSTER OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS
NEAR THE N-CNTRL KS/S-CNTRL NE STATE LINE AND THESE STORMS ARE
MOVING NEWD AND EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO NE CURRENTLY OUTSIDE OF TORNADO
WATCH 170. THE ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF DMGG WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO...GIVEN THE ADEQUATE SHEAR PROFILES AND AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. AS SUCH...EXPECTING AT LEAST
A LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUST THREAT TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SW.
..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 05/18/2013
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
New Tornado Watch. Probs are 70/40.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AINSWORTH NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW
172...WW 173...
DISCUSSION...ARC OF STRONG/SVR TSTMS NOW IN S CNTRL NEB THROUGH
CNTRL KS EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP BOTH NNE THROUGH CNTRL NEB...AND
ENE ACROSS N CNTRL/NE KS THROUGH LATE EVE. AREA VWP AND SFC DATA
TRENDS SUGGEST THAT SOME DEGREE OF UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO BROKEN
LINE SEGMENTS MAY OCCUR...WITH EMBEDDED BOWS/SUPERCELLS/LEWPS POSING
A THREAT FOR DMGG WIND...SVR HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. THE
LATTER POTENTIAL WILL BE FOSTERED BY CONTINUED INFLUX OF RICH
LOW-LVL MOISTURE AS SELY SFC WINDS PERSIST BENEATH A
NOCTURNALLY-STRENGTHENED SSWLY LLJ.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...CORFIDI
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AINSWORTH NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW
172...WW 173...
DISCUSSION...ARC OF STRONG/SVR TSTMS NOW IN S CNTRL NEB THROUGH
CNTRL KS EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP BOTH NNE THROUGH CNTRL NEB...AND
ENE ACROSS N CNTRL/NE KS THROUGH LATE EVE. AREA VWP AND SFC DATA
TRENDS SUGGEST THAT SOME DEGREE OF UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO BROKEN
LINE SEGMENTS MAY OCCUR...WITH EMBEDDED BOWS/SUPERCELLS/LEWPS POSING
A THREAT FOR DMGG WIND...SVR HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. THE
LATTER POTENTIAL WILL BE FOSTERED BY CONTINUED INFLUX OF RICH
LOW-LVL MOISTURE AS SELY SFC WINDS PERSIST BENEATH A
NOCTURNALLY-STRENGTHENED SSWLY LLJ.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...CORFIDI
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
VALID 190100Z - 191200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF OK/KS/NEB...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS...
...PLAINS...
IN ACCORDANCE WITH A STRONG ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND A GENERAL
PREVALENCE OF 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS /WITH SOME LOWER 70S ACROSS OK
INTO EAST-CENTRAL KS/...00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SAMPLE A VERY
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR CONTINUED SEVERE TSTMS
THROUGH TONIGHT. A MIXED CONVECTIVE MODE INCLUDING INTENSE
SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST ESPECIALLY THROUGH MID-EVENING...WITH
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS REMAINING A DISTINCT CONCERN WITH THE MOST
PROBABLE AREA FOR A STRONG TORNADO BEING IN CENTRAL KS.
HOWEVER...A READILY APPARENT TREND IS TOWARD SEVERAL GROUPINGS OF
UPSCALE INTENSIFY/CONGEALING STORMS FROM SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL OK
INTO CENTRAL KS/WESTERN NEB EARLY THIS EVENING. IN GENERAL...THIS IS
LIKELY A FACTOR OF BACKED /SOUTHWESTERLY/ MID-LEVEL WINDS AND
SOMEWHAT WEAK HIGH LEVEL FLOW PER 00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS.
ACCORDINGLY...UPSCALE QUASI-LINEAR GROWTH IS LIKELY THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. ALREADY NOTED IN DERIVED WIND DATA...THIS WILL BE AIDED
BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS OK/KS INTO
SOUTHEAST NEB AND OTHER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY. DAMAGING
WINDS SHOULD EVOLVE TO BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PARTS OF OK INTO CENTRAL/PARTS EASTERN KS AND SOUTHEAST
NEB...WITH STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SHEAR/INTENSE LAPSE RATES
SUPPORTING BOW ECHO MATURATION/POSSIBLE MESOVORTICES CAPABLE OF A
FEW TORNADOES ASIDE FROM A DISTINCT WIND THREAT/SOME HAIL.
...OZARKS/MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY/SOUTHEAST...
WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC ASCENT MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TSTMS TO
PERSIST OR DEVELOP ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF A STRONG ELEVATED MIX
LAYER OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. SOME HAIL MIGHT BE POSSIBLE...BUT
GENERAL PRESENCE OF SHORTWAVE RIDING/WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
LIKELY KEEP ANY SUCH POTENTIAL VERY MARGINAL.
..GUYER.. 05/19/2013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
VALID 190100Z - 191200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF OK/KS/NEB...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS...
...PLAINS...
IN ACCORDANCE WITH A STRONG ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND A GENERAL
PREVALENCE OF 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS /WITH SOME LOWER 70S ACROSS OK
INTO EAST-CENTRAL KS/...00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SAMPLE A VERY
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR CONTINUED SEVERE TSTMS
THROUGH TONIGHT. A MIXED CONVECTIVE MODE INCLUDING INTENSE
SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST ESPECIALLY THROUGH MID-EVENING...WITH
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS REMAINING A DISTINCT CONCERN WITH THE MOST
PROBABLE AREA FOR A STRONG TORNADO BEING IN CENTRAL KS.
HOWEVER...A READILY APPARENT TREND IS TOWARD SEVERAL GROUPINGS OF
UPSCALE INTENSIFY/CONGEALING STORMS FROM SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL OK
INTO CENTRAL KS/WESTERN NEB EARLY THIS EVENING. IN GENERAL...THIS IS
LIKELY A FACTOR OF BACKED /SOUTHWESTERLY/ MID-LEVEL WINDS AND
SOMEWHAT WEAK HIGH LEVEL FLOW PER 00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS.
ACCORDINGLY...UPSCALE QUASI-LINEAR GROWTH IS LIKELY THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. ALREADY NOTED IN DERIVED WIND DATA...THIS WILL BE AIDED
BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS OK/KS INTO
SOUTHEAST NEB AND OTHER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY. DAMAGING
WINDS SHOULD EVOLVE TO BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PARTS OF OK INTO CENTRAL/PARTS EASTERN KS AND SOUTHEAST
NEB...WITH STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SHEAR/INTENSE LAPSE RATES
SUPPORTING BOW ECHO MATURATION/POSSIBLE MESOVORTICES CAPABLE OF A
FEW TORNADOES ASIDE FROM A DISTINCT WIND THREAT/SOME HAIL.
...OZARKS/MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY/SOUTHEAST...
WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC ASCENT MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TSTMS TO
PERSIST OR DEVELOP ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF A STRONG ELEVATED MIX
LAYER OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. SOME HAIL MIGHT BE POSSIBLE...BUT
GENERAL PRESENCE OF SHORTWAVE RIDING/WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
LIKELY KEEP ANY SUCH POTENTIAL VERY MARGINAL.
..GUYER.. 05/19/2013
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KSC113-155-190300-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0055.130519T0201Z-130519T0300Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
901 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN MCPHERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 858 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
STERLING...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUTCHINSON...MCPHERSON...SOUTH HUTCHINSON...HAVEN...BUHLER...
WINDOM...INMAN...MARQUETTE...LINDSBORG...CHENEY LAKE...
WILLOWBROOK...YODER...HUTCHINSON AIRPORT AND MCPHERSON AIRPORT.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 76.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 3861 9760 3818 9760 3817 9770 3774 9770
3773 9804 3817 9805 3817 9792 3860 9792
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 240DEG 33KT 3812 9820
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
COOK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
OKC015-031-065-075-141-190230-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0284.130519T0156Z-130519T0230Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT
* AT 850 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES
NORTH OF BOONE TO 7 MILES NORTH OF INDIAHOMA TO WARREN...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAWTON...ALTUS...ANADARKO...CACHE...APACHE...SNYDER...ELGIN...
CYRIL...FLETCHER...BLAIR...STERLING...CEMENT...LONE WOLF...MOUNTAIN
PARK...INDIAHOMA...MEDICINE PARK...ROOSEVELT...HEADRICK...COOPERTON
AND ALTUS AIR FORCE BASE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
&&
LAT...LON 3481 9935 3482 9924 3487 9932 3491 9929
3497 9934 3500 9933 3506 9846 3525 9811
3468 9810 3468 9814 3451 9815 3451 9824
3463 9935
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 260DEG 35KT 3496 9846 3473 9874 3475 9922
$$
..SPEG.
KSC113-155-190300-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0055.130519T0201Z-130519T0300Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
901 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN MCPHERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 858 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
STERLING...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUTCHINSON...MCPHERSON...SOUTH HUTCHINSON...HAVEN...BUHLER...
WINDOM...INMAN...MARQUETTE...LINDSBORG...CHENEY LAKE...
WILLOWBROOK...YODER...HUTCHINSON AIRPORT AND MCPHERSON AIRPORT.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 76.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 3861 9760 3818 9760 3817 9770 3774 9770
3773 9804 3817 9805 3817 9792 3860 9792
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 240DEG 33KT 3812 9820
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
COOK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
OKC015-031-065-075-141-190230-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0284.130519T0156Z-130519T0230Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT
* AT 850 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES
NORTH OF BOONE TO 7 MILES NORTH OF INDIAHOMA TO WARREN...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAWTON...ALTUS...ANADARKO...CACHE...APACHE...SNYDER...ELGIN...
CYRIL...FLETCHER...BLAIR...STERLING...CEMENT...LONE WOLF...MOUNTAIN
PARK...INDIAHOMA...MEDICINE PARK...ROOSEVELT...HEADRICK...COOPERTON
AND ALTUS AIR FORCE BASE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
&&
LAT...LON 3481 9935 3482 9924 3487 9932 3491 9929
3497 9934 3500 9933 3506 9846 3525 9811
3468 9810 3468 9814 3451 9815 3451 9824
3463 9935
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 260DEG 35KT 3496 9846 3473 9874 3475 9922
$$
..SPEG.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
TORNADO WARNING
KSC027-029-157-201-190345-
/O.NEW.KTOP.TO.W.0002.130519T0325Z-130519T0345Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1025 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN CLOUD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN REPUBLIC COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
* AT 1021 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR AURORA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLYDE...VINING...CLIFTON AND PALMER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3979 9736 3967 9710 3935 9737 3944 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 217DEG 44KT 3949 9749
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN
$$
BARJENBRUCH
KSC027-029-157-201-190345-
/O.NEW.KTOP.TO.W.0002.130519T0325Z-130519T0345Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1025 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN CLOUD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN REPUBLIC COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
* AT 1021 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR AURORA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLYDE...VINING...CLIFTON AND PALMER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3979 9736 3967 9710 3935 9737 3944 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 217DEG 44KT 3949 9749
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN
$$
BARJENBRUCH
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Severe Weather Outbreak for May 18-19-20 (Watches/Warnings)
There is a 15% chance for Tornadoes today thru tonight.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KS...WESTERN MO...AND CENTRAL/EASTERN OK...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...
...KS/MO/OK...
MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. NEVERTHELESS...CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF TX/OK. THIS
AIR MASS IS POISED TO RETURN RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN KS AND
WESTERN MO BY MID AFTERNOON...SETTING THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ACTIVE
SEVERE WEATHER DAY OVER THE REGION.
A RELATIVELY STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS CAP WILL INHIBIT SURFACE-BASED STORMS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. HOWEVER...STRONG HEATING/MIXING ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER CENTRAL OK ALONG WITH FORCING IN VICINITY OF THE COLD
FRONT OVER EASTERN KS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 20-23Z. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES...BUT A FEW SUBTLE STORM-SCALE DETAILS WILL INFLUENCE THE
OUTCOME. ONE PROBLEM MAY BE THE DEGREE OF HEATING REQUIRED TO BREAK
THE CAP OVER OK AND THE RESULTING LCL HEIGHTS. NEVERTHELESS...VERY
HIGH CAPE VALUES /MLCAPE OVER 4000 J/KG/ MAY OFFSET THE NEGATIVE
INFLUENCES SO HAVE INCREASED TORNADO PROBABILITIES OVER PORTIONS OF
THE MODERATE RISK AREA. IF STORMS CAN REMAIN DISCRETE...RAPIDLY
INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR AFTER 00Z /0-3KM HELICITY VALUES RISING
TO 300-500 M2/S2/ WILL POSE A RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES AS FAR EAST
AS SOUTHWEST MO.
OTHERWISE...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...AND
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.0+ C/KM WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF VERY LARGE
HAIL. STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE AFTER DARK AND SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN MO WITH AN ENHANCED RISK OF WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS.
...UPPER MS VALLEY INTO ND...
A SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER SD THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
MULTIPLE AREAS OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAVE COMPLICATED THE SURFACE
PATTERN OVER THE REGION AND MAKE DESTABILIZATION UNCERTAIN.
HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT PORTIONS OF IA/MN WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO
SEE SOME DAYTIME HEATING AND RETURN OF RICH MOISTURE BEFORE MAIN
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ARRIVES. THIS MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
THE MAIN THREATS. BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS EAST OF THE SURFACE LOW
MAY ALSO ENHANCE SHEAR/CONVERGENCE AND RESULT IN A STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH A TORNADO POSSIBLE.
...TX...
A FEW OF THE OVERNIGHT MESOSCALE MODELS HAVE SHOWN A TREND OF
DEVELOPING ISOLATED STORMS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE DRYLINE AS FAR SOUTH
AS CENTRAL TX. CONFIDENCE IN THIS DEVELOPMENT IS RATHER LOW.
HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PARTS OF GA/TN/AL. WEAK BOUNDARIES FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS MAY
PROVIDE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TODAY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 05/19/2013
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KS...WESTERN MO...AND CENTRAL/EASTERN OK...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...
...KS/MO/OK...
MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. NEVERTHELESS...CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF TX/OK. THIS
AIR MASS IS POISED TO RETURN RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN KS AND
WESTERN MO BY MID AFTERNOON...SETTING THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ACTIVE
SEVERE WEATHER DAY OVER THE REGION.
A RELATIVELY STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS CAP WILL INHIBIT SURFACE-BASED STORMS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. HOWEVER...STRONG HEATING/MIXING ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER CENTRAL OK ALONG WITH FORCING IN VICINITY OF THE COLD
FRONT OVER EASTERN KS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 20-23Z. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES...BUT A FEW SUBTLE STORM-SCALE DETAILS WILL INFLUENCE THE
OUTCOME. ONE PROBLEM MAY BE THE DEGREE OF HEATING REQUIRED TO BREAK
THE CAP OVER OK AND THE RESULTING LCL HEIGHTS. NEVERTHELESS...VERY
HIGH CAPE VALUES /MLCAPE OVER 4000 J/KG/ MAY OFFSET THE NEGATIVE
INFLUENCES SO HAVE INCREASED TORNADO PROBABILITIES OVER PORTIONS OF
THE MODERATE RISK AREA. IF STORMS CAN REMAIN DISCRETE...RAPIDLY
INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR AFTER 00Z /0-3KM HELICITY VALUES RISING
TO 300-500 M2/S2/ WILL POSE A RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES AS FAR EAST
AS SOUTHWEST MO.
OTHERWISE...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...AND
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.0+ C/KM WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF VERY LARGE
HAIL. STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE AFTER DARK AND SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN MO WITH AN ENHANCED RISK OF WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS.
...UPPER MS VALLEY INTO ND...
A SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER SD THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
MULTIPLE AREAS OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAVE COMPLICATED THE SURFACE
PATTERN OVER THE REGION AND MAKE DESTABILIZATION UNCERTAIN.
HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT PORTIONS OF IA/MN WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO
SEE SOME DAYTIME HEATING AND RETURN OF RICH MOISTURE BEFORE MAIN
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ARRIVES. THIS MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
THE MAIN THREATS. BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS EAST OF THE SURFACE LOW
MAY ALSO ENHANCE SHEAR/CONVERGENCE AND RESULT IN A STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH A TORNADO POSSIBLE.
...TX...
A FEW OF THE OVERNIGHT MESOSCALE MODELS HAVE SHOWN A TREND OF
DEVELOPING ISOLATED STORMS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE DRYLINE AS FAR SOUTH
AS CENTRAL TX. CONFIDENCE IN THIS DEVELOPMENT IS RATHER LOW.
HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE DRYLINE WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PARTS OF GA/TN/AL. WEAK BOUNDARIES FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS MAY
PROVIDE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TODAY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 05/19/2013
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