"Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

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chaser1
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"Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#1 Postby chaser1 » Mon May 27, 2013 1:26 pm

:flag: So as we sit here today ticking off the hours until the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season soon begins, eating hot dogs & apple pie, perhaps enjoying a day off with friends or family, and honoring those fallen before us in the name of freedom.........Thought why not have a fun simple Tropical Development "forecast poll".

Simple YES/NO prediction regarding whether the first named Tropical Storm will be named by June 6 (12Z). "Any takers?

Just to start it all off....., for myself am going with a "NO"
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#2 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon May 27, 2013 1:37 pm

No (Hoping for No anyways).
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#3 Postby somethingfunny » Mon May 27, 2013 1:53 pm

NOPE :D
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#4 Postby Siker » Mon May 27, 2013 2:04 pm

Yes.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#5 Postby chaser1 » Mon May 27, 2013 2:16 pm

Simple YES/NO, "Any takers?

:lol: C'mon, "Window-Shoppers", LOL!..it's not like you've got $100,000 riding on this one 8-)
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#6 Postby Nikki » Mon May 27, 2013 2:25 pm

No.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#7 Postby hurricanedude » Mon May 27, 2013 3:18 pm

NOPE
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#8 Postby westwind » Mon May 27, 2013 3:31 pm

No, a few days later perhaps.
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#9 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon May 27, 2013 3:34 pm

I'll go out on a limb here, yes.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#10 Postby Riptide » Mon May 27, 2013 3:34 pm

Definitely yes, a large part of the "no" predictions is because of recent years with under-performing activity in that region.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#11 Postby weatherwindow » Mon May 27, 2013 4:35 pm

No...development out of a monsoonal trough is typically slow
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#12 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Mon May 27, 2013 4:45 pm

Not happening. Maybe by the end if the month, maybe.
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#13 Postby psyclone » Mon May 27, 2013 9:27 pm

no
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#14 Postby rog » Mon May 27, 2013 9:36 pm

definitely not going to happen.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#15 Postby chaser1 » Mon May 27, 2013 9:52 pm

Now under 72 hours from the beginning of 2013 Atlantic Hurricane season

Thus far, 10 forecasts for "NO" development prior to June 6 (12Z), and only 3 forecasts saying "YES" to anticipating development by that date. Let's have a few other S2K Members & Pro Mets "throw down" their guess! Not a member??? Why not sign up? It's free and takes less time than brushing your teeth!
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#16 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Mon May 27, 2013 10:08 pm

I'll say yes, but I'm not too confident with that answer.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#17 Postby Kalrany » Mon May 27, 2013 10:16 pm

I have no idea....so I will go with my personal preference and say "no".
Honestly, the discussion in this overall forum seem like it *should* be a no. Maybe I am understanding it all incorrectly, but it sounds like whatever deveopment is comming up will be slow and further into June (or later?)...
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#18 Postby chaser1 » Mon May 27, 2013 10:48 pm

Hurricane Alexis wrote:I'll say yes, but I'm not too confident with that answer.


Hey Alexis, you know what? 176 others who did not bother to vote, are less confident than you are. :double:
Know what else? I'd be willing to guess that if one had the chance to poll forecasters at NHC or any other Pro Mets, the majority of them might not see the present picture much less "hazy" than yourself. :wink:
There really are many complicated dynamics at play.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#19 Postby TYNI » Tue May 28, 2013 10:17 am

I'm going to say no.
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Re: "Over/Under" guess on named Tropical Storm by 12Z - June 6??

#20 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 28, 2013 10:19 am

Under before 12z on June 6.
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