Multi-day outbreak of May 25-31
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TwisterFanatic
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If the storms hold together, one or two will have a chance to drop a large tornado this evening as the LLJ kicks in.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week
In this shot a storm forms right on top of Moore OK but it isn't there anymore:
Duel supercells are beside each other down way east of Lawton OK, like conjoined twins. They are/were both tornado warned.
Duel supercells are beside each other down way east of Lawton OK, like conjoined twins. They are/were both tornado warned.
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wx247
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Surprised Tulsa hasn't pulled a Tornado Warning on the cell NE of town near Langley.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week
Looking at the KFOR chopper pics, that storm near Guthrie should be warned for Tornadoes especially with that wall cloud
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Re:
RL3AO wrote:Worth watching. SPC issued a SVR watch for Chicagoland area.
So what's your take on it? Is it just a severe squall line or a derecho in the making? At first I didn't think much of it but when it started bowing hugely and then picked up speed suddenly, and strengthening at the bow it reminded me of one. Major wind reports are also suddenly coming from that area that is significant.
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WeatherGuesser
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13 Flash Flood Warnings in effect.
Gauges along the Mississippi forecast to go to Moderate or Major flood stages by next week:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah
Gauges along the Mississippi forecast to go to Moderate or Major flood stages by next week:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah
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TwisterFanatic
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Broken Arrow storm produced a large cone that cause damage in Broken Arrow.
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Texas Snowman
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How severe is the damage in Broken Arrow?
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Re:
Texas Snowman wrote:How severe is the damage in Broken Arrow?
Some images from the weather channel Mike Bettes looks like EF1 or less. Roofs, panels, signs etc damaged.
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TwisterFanatic
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Local news showed some pictures of homes that was had major damaged, probably EF2 damage.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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TwisterFanatic
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Tomorrow will be interesting to see how it evolves, extreme instability forecast by the RAP(CAPE approaching 6000 in North Oklahoma)
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TwisterFanatic
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Initial Day 1 Outlook has a 15% hatched area for Tornadoes, stretching from about Fort Sill, OK to about Miami, Oklahoma.
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wx247
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Generally speaking it usually appears to me as if the initial Day One Outlook is usually pretty conservative. If that is the case, then it will be interesting to see what they do during the update that should be out in the next couple of hours. Meanwhile, the NWS offices in TSA and OKC are really hitting the threat hard for their region. Tulsa's Decision Support Page has some extremely high probabilities and the graphic below is from OKC's office.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Low level shear/wind profiles aren't that great over Oklahoma and adjacent areas today. Models aren't bullish with storms firing there either. If I had to pick a region it would be Ohio valley and mid Miss to continue the gradual eastward shift since Monday.
Sweeping cold front will be coming through southern plains later tonight and tomorrow which could bring an additional linear mode of storms.
Sweeping cold front will be coming through southern plains later tonight and tomorrow which could bring an additional linear mode of storms.
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