ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[psyclone]

since the center is farther east and the direction of motion would likely bring it in farther south more cedar key the panhandle

But from cedar key to where? Punta Gorda? Ft Myers?

i bet englewood or bonita beach. they like to work cwa boundaries and the latter represents the southern terminus of tampa's cwa.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Just a note, mine doesn't always update that often. Not sure why.

[Stormcenter]

Nothing to get too excited about IMO. The upper level conditions will still be a major issue with the soon to be TS. It still very elongated and fighting shear.

[Evil Jeremy]

Let's see if the plane can find any significant NE or NW winds as they fly farther west. Still not convinced it will be upgraded. We knew it had those kind of winds based on buoy reports, but is the LLC well-defined enough?

It doesn't have to be well defned. We have had plenty of tropical storms with poorly defined and even questionablly existing LLCs in recent years.

[Dave]

Just a note, mine doesn't always update that often. Not sure why.

It's ok I'll be running as your shadow on graphics just not posting them.

[Hurricane Andrew]

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[Aric Dunn]

speaking of severe weather ... ssw of tampa few cells showing decent rotation

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 052024
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 20 20130605
201600 2600N 08703W 9879 00177 0081 +230 +212 078033 033 032 001 00
201630 2600N 08706W 9879 00177 0082 +231 +214 077032 035 032 000 03
201700 2600N 08708W 9880 00177 0083 +231 +218 078030 032 028 002 03
201730 2600N 08710W 9878 00180 0083 +233 +219 075030 031 028 000 00
201800 2600N 08712W 9877 00182 0084 +232 +218 073029 030 027 001 03
201830 2600N 08714W 9875 00183 0083 +233 +217 071029 030 028 000 00
201900 2600N 08716W 9877 00180 0083 +234 +215 073028 029 028 002 00
201930 2600N 08718W 9878 00181 0084 +234 +214 076029 030 026 001 03
202000 2600N 08720W 9871 00187 0084 +235 +213 076029 030 029 001 03
202030 2600N 08722W 9877 00180 0082 +235 +213 078028 030 031 000 00
202100 2600N 08724W 9877 00181 0083 +235 +213 076029 030 029 000 03
202130 2600N 08726W 9872 00185 0083 +235 +214 076029 029 029 001 03
202200 2600N 08728W 9873 00183 0082 +235 +213 077028 029 /// /// 03
202230 2558N 08728W 9878 00178 0083 +235 +213 081026 028 025 001 00
202300 2557N 08727W 9878 00180 0082 +235 +214 079025 026 025 000 00
202330 2556N 08726W 9876 00177 0081 +235 +216 076023 025 024 000 03
202400 2555N 08725W 9859 00183 0072 +233 +217 077023 024 024 002 03
202430 2553N 08724W 9633 00381 0059 +218 +207 080027 029 021 000 03
202500 2552N 08724W 9278 00698 0053 +206 +180 080030 030 /// /// 03
202530 2551N 08725W 8894 01064 0056 +197 +148 074032 033 /// /// 03
$$
;

[robbielyn]

Updated 18z Best Track

More to the east towards new LLC.

AL, 91, 2013060518, , BEST, 0, 253N, 866W, 35, 1006, DB

Nertz. There goes the seeding of the yard. Here comes driving to Ft Myers in a monsoon tomororw.

I just wonder if it will have time to make it to TS Andrea to verify my suspicion that this will be a highly active season with numerous TS and subtropical storms this year. The only positive is that it might wake some folks up around the West Coast of FL who haven't been paying attention to the hurricane season since 2006.l

wake up to what? debby was stronger last year. if people not wake up last year they wont now either

[OuterBanker]

Let's see if the plane can find any significant NE or NW winds as they fly farther west. Still not convinced it will be upgraded. We knew it had those kind of winds based on buoy reports, but is the LLC well-defined enough?

It doesn't have to be well defned. We have had plenty of tropical storms with poorly defined and even questionablly existing LLCs in recent years.

Jeremy, most of the questionable storms were in the middle of nowhere. For some odd reason the tpc has a tougher time naming storms close to the us mainland.

[Aric Dunn]

pressure looks about 1005mb

[Aric Dunn]

Let's see if the plane can find any significant NE or NW winds as they fly farther west. Still not convinced it will be upgraded. We knew it had those kind of winds based on buoy reports, but is the LLC well-defined enough?

It doesn't have to be well defned. We have had plenty of tropical storms with poorly defined and even questionablly existing LLCs in recent years.

Jeremy, most of the questionable storms were in the middle of nowhere. For some odd reason the tpc has a tougher time naming storms close to the us mainland.

funny though the first system is likely out in the atlantic right now lol

[Hurricane Andrew]

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[stormhunter7]

The dominate low level center that recon found is clearly taken over now… large storms are firing near coc now, especially ne and east side of coc. See the towers? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html 86.5 25.5 area

[Dave]

Youve got it Andrew...i've got all the rest. Thanks, cutting pictures with 1.5 mins before the next set of hdobs came in was getting to be a trick.

[CrazyC83]

Plane looks like it is rising to 850mb level.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 052034
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 21 20130605
202600 2551N 08727W 8738 01243 0079 +187 +143 074032 032 018 000 00
202630 2552N 08729W 8761 01222 0081 +185 +150 078032 032 021 000 00
202700 2554N 08730W 8749 01234 0082 +185 +154 080029 031 019 000 00
202730 2555N 08731W 8750 01234 0083 +184 +157 079028 028 022 000 00
202800 2557N 08733W 8754 01230 0086 +184 +158 080027 028 021 001 03
202830 2558N 08732W 9032 00981 0105 +200 +163 083026 027 /// /// 03
202900 2558N 08730W 9498 00545 0108 +210 +190 084024 027 /// /// 03
202930 2557N 08729W 9785 00277 0096 +228 +208 079023 024 /// /// 03
203000 2556N 08728W 9882 00172 0083 +235 +215 078023 024 024 000 00
203030 2555N 08726W 9885 00168 0080 +236 +216 080023 024 022 002 00
203100 2554N 08725W 9879 00175 0079 +235 +215 079024 024 025 001 00
203130 2553N 08724W 9881 00172 0079 +235 +214 077023 024 026 002 03
203200 2552N 08722W 9876 00177 0079 +233 +215 076024 024 025 002 03
203230 2551N 08721W 9877 00175 0078 +230 +213 069025 026 026 000 03
203300 2550N 08720W 9876 00176 0078 +230 +214 064025 026 026 000 03
203330 2549N 08719W 9880 00174 0078 +230 +213 061025 026 025 000 00
203400 2548N 08718W 9880 00171 0077 +230 +213 060026 027 023 000 03
203430 2547N 08716W 9880 00170 0075 +232 +212 059024 025 024 000 00
203500 2545N 08715W 9878 00171 0074 +231 +212 060024 026 024 001 03
203530 2544N 08714W 9872 00175 0072 +231 +212 058025 025 022 001 00
$$
;

[cycloneye]

If they don't decided on a upgrade before 5 PM,then a special advisory would come.

[NDG]

Looks like the recon is going back to confirm we have the LLC.

[Hurricane Andrew]

I can almost clearly see it on sat. I think we have it.