Texas is all clear.......

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Johnny
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Texas is all clear.......

#1 Postby Johnny » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:26 pm

My opinion of course. Cool front swept through at the end of last week and we have another one that should make it through come this Friday/Saturday morning. A stronger cool front should push through late Sunday/early Monday time frame. Does this mean Texas is in the clear as far as tropical systems is concerned. Not 100% but pretty close. Any thoughts?
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#2 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:40 pm

SE TX - most likely.

S TX, not necessarily.

What if the ridge that is driving her westward (and soon, into a brief SW turn, according to other posts) continues to send her on a westward path after reaching (but hopefully not touching) the islands?

Doubtful, but still possible. I'm not ruling anything out til she's done.
Last edited by GalvestonDuck on Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:45 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#3 Postby JCT777 » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:42 pm

Climatologically speaking, Texas is rarely impacted by tropical storms or hurricanes as we go later into the season. But at this point, I think it would be a little bit early to say Texas is in the clear - regarding either Isabel or any storm that may form in the next few weeks.
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#4 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:45 pm

True, John.

Furthermore, she might impact as only a depression by that time.
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Honestly

#5 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:46 pm

Honestly it's way too early to say anyone is in the clear. A lot of things can change between now and 7 days (estimated time it MAY affect the U.S.)
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#6 Postby southerngale » Mon Sep 08, 2003 2:49 pm

It would be longer than 7 days.
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#7 Postby zoeyann » Mon Sep 08, 2003 3:51 pm

Johnny-I just got home and haven't had time to look anything up, but according to a LA met this morning it should be pretty weak by the time it gets this far south. He said it wouldn't even really drop the temps-too bad it's hotter than Hades.
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Sep 08, 2003 3:59 pm

Yeah this upcoming front will not be nearly as strong as the one that brought us down to 61 degrees a few nights ago. I don't think it will be strong enough to block major hurricane Isabel from affecting the US. The good news is that it's at least 7 days from the gulf if it were to make it here so we have plenty of time to watch and wait. Oh yeah it's hot and humid again! Fall come back!
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#9 Postby zoeyann » Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:11 pm

PT those were 2 really great days. No worries out Isa yet, but I don't see anything that would cause a Fabian type turn, but what do I know. I am putting my complete faith in our pro mets. This lady could really hurt someone!
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#10 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:21 pm

JCT777 wrote:Climatologically speaking, Texas is rarely impacted by tropical storms or hurricanes as we go later into the season. But at this point, I think it would be a little bit early to say Texas is in the clear - regarding either Isabel or any storm that may form in the next few weeks.


We thought so too, then here comes Georges in late September. I will never say never again. lol.
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#11 Postby Johnny » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:45 pm

This is off of the Galveston/Houston Texas Skywarn forecast discussion today. I believe this to be the case.




WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE ISABEL. AS OF
NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE OUR WEEKEND COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER
TROUGH WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP ISABEL FROM ENTERING THE GULF OF
MEXICO NEXT WEEK. BUT AS WE SAID YESTERDAY...THINGS CAN CHANGE!
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#12 Postby JCT777 » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:50 pm

Johnny - I agree that it does not currently appear Isabel will impact any GOM areas west of Florida - but of course things can change.

Lindaloo - Yes, you can never say never. But I know it is very rare for Texas to feel the affects of a tropical storm or hurricane from late September through the end of the hurricane season. Of course, this should not stop TX residents from keeping their eyes on the tropics.
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