ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[robbielyn]

Classic GOM dry slot should regulate the storm all the way in. Blustery here, no rain. Heavy rain that was forecast missed us to the west and north.

I remember being in the dry slot in hernando county for gordon and charley

Gordon (y2k) yes. Charley didn't touch hernando county but you're about to get bombed from this one

technically yes charley went s and e of hernando county. but it was supposed to tampabay area and i went to orlando to escape to run right into it they had us do evacs if live in trailer. and so I went to orlando then turned back home where it was safer lol.

[GCANE]

Developing: Tornado was reported on the ground 12 miles NW of Markham Park in Broward Co., Florida (8:10 am EDT)-TS Andrea-related

http://twitter.com/stormchaser4850

[artist]

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
818 AM EDT THU JUN 06 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 AM TORNADO 12 NW MARKHAM PARK 26.27N 80.47W
06/06/2013 BROWARD FL BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORTS ONGOING TORNADO NORTHEAST OF HIGHWAY 27.

[JonathanBelles]

looks like the tornadoes are starting to happen. Was worried about that.

Tornadoes started around 3am

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

got up about 7:30 to take the dogs out. was shocked at how much water was in the pool after last night's band went through (now about 1/4 filled up from empty! -getting refinished) we must have had quite teh deluge.

I also was surprised at how windy it was. Like VERY windy! And my first thought was that the path must have been a bust and it was comng directly into Tampa after all. But at least we were in a little dry slot so I coudl take them out. The dogs didn't want to go out because they were afraid of the howling wind though. I finally got them out...big babies. It died right down a few minutes later while we were out there.

Show's what I know....I then came in and turned on the tv to find that a tornado had just gone through my area! Probably about 2 blocks over towards the water and heading north towards Dunedin/Palm Harbor/Tarpon Springs.

[Hurricane Andrew]

This could be more than Florida bargained for.

My updated Forecast is Below
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA
SVRWXWARN ADVISORY TWO

Strength: Andrea is currently a strong tropical storm at 60mph. Convection is wrapping around the COC. Some additional strengthening is possible, perhaps to 65mph.

Track: Between Big Bend and Sarasota.

Effects
This advisory will just focus on the FL effects.
—Gusty Winds, possible strong near the coast.
—Very Heavy Rain
—Severe Weather
—A small tidal surge

Next Advisory: Later Today

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

pouring rain again now and looks liek another big band will be spinning in. nice big rain maker. should fill up the well so we can water our lawn again.

[HurricaneBelle]

Here's an excellent 7-hour radar loop showing the evolution of Andrea and how things developed overnight:

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... 2_anim.gif

[KBBOCA]

NWS has a new experimental product: Tropical Cyclone Potential Impact Graphics. You can find them here:

http://w1.weather.gov/tcig/

example: here's the current impact for the Tampa WFO area (TBW):

http://w1.weather.gov/tcig/php/tcig_index.php?sid=TBW

there are different pages for projected wind impact (low for TBW); tornado impact (moderate for TBW),

Coastal flooding low to high (high for rainbow springs area).

I REALLY REALLY like this product and am thrilled to see the NWS testing it out!

[adam0983]

I can see Tropical Storm Andrea making it up to 70 mph winds before landfall. An eye wall is starting to develop.

[wzrgirl1]

Developing: Tornado was reported on the ground 12 miles NW of Markham Park in Broward Co., Florida (8:10 am EDT)-TS Andrea-related

http://twitter.com/stormchaser4850

Hope the children are safe. I know they can't cancel the last day of school. I don't think this was expected here was it?

[Janie2006]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
828 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 900 AM EDT

* AT 826 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH AN OBSERVED TORNADO OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
PALM BEACH COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
RURAL CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE MEDIA REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR EAST OF HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE PALM
BEACH COUNTY LINE AT 825 AM EDT.

[Janie2006]

Another rather large band is just off the gulf coast of Florida, should be moving in shortly.

[gatorcane]

Next strong band about ready to approach the Tampa Bay area. Look at those strong squalls off to the southwest:

[gatorcane]

Just released by NWS. Check out how fast the squall is moving:

Special Marine Warning
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ853-856-873-876-061400-
/O.NEW.KTBW.MA.W.0056.130606T1236Z-130606T1400Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
836 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM...
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EDT

* AT 831 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS FROM 12 NM SOUTHWEST
OF D1 REEF TO 44 NM SOUTHWEST OF M13 REEF...OR FROM 43 NM SOUTHWEST
OF LONGBOAT PASS TO 68 NM WEST OF CAPTIVA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 2649 8317 2724 8359 2744 8277 2627 8214
2602 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 1236Z 224DEG 50KT 2716 8335 2675 8330
2637 8337

$$

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... bCD_tJeZ6w

[Janie2006]

If those squalls hold together they can expect some gusty winds, heavy rain and possibly rotation. In fact, given what we've seen so far this morning at least weak rotation in those storms is a probability. It goes without saying that nobody should be on a small boat today.

Edited to add: I never get over just how fast those squalls can move in tropical cyclones.

[GCANE]

200mb PV really clearing out ahead of Andrea and shear dropping.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... g8vor1.GIF

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... wg8sht.GIF


Could spin up some more before landfall.

[GCANE]

UL Outflow improving on the northern half of the system

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[Bocadude85]

Tornado on the ground in Palm Beach County

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
828 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 900 AM EDT

* AT 826 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH AN OBSERVED TORNADO OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
PALM BEACH COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
RURAL CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE MEDIA REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR EAST OF HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE PALM
BEACH COUNTY LINE AT 825 AM EDT.

[NDG]

As if Andrea is heading more east than the official track. Might be heading towards Cedar Key if not a little further south.