ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[adam0983]

I think Andrea will be a hurricane by the time it hits land. It keep looking better and better truly a remarkable storm for this time of year going against all odds.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[tolakram]

Please don't forget the disclaimer when making a prediction. You can put it in your signature if you like. Thanks.

[AdamFirst]

It certainly feels tropical here in Fort Lauderdale - the current DP at FXE is 78 (about how the bathroom feels after you take a hot shower), but that's what happens when a tropical system is nearby...

Ugh - I'm moving to Montana (lol)...

Frank

Here on the Treasure Coast it is certainly heavy and soupy...has been for the past couple days.

I slept through this morning's round of severe weather that hit the Acreage...

[ronjon]

I think she's weakening now..dry air has eroded the convection and the COC is starting to open up. She's also hiting cooler GOM sea temps now - Andrea probably peaked a few hrs ago.

[AdamFirst]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1111 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHWESTERN LEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
SARASOTA COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL NOON EDT

* AT 1106 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LAND-FALLING WATERSPOUTS
EXTENDING FROM LAUREL TO ENGLEWOOD TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PALM
ISLAND TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOCA GRANDE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM VENICE TO ENGLEWOOD TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD
TO 18 MILES SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE WATERSPOUTS WILL BE NEAR...
LAUREL...VENICE.
OSPREY...VAMO.
BEE RIDGE...ROTONDA.
WARM MINERAL SPRINGS...BOKEELIA.
MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...GULF COVE.
NORTH PORT...BURNT STORE MARINA.

[Bizzles]

Hey are you guys seeing a merge of post-tropical Andrea and the low that is currently over LA/Arkansas in about 48hrs over the MD/VA area according to the GFS runs?

[floridasun78]

ty you all with city report ,warring and good post about ANDREA this best one stop for every thing about ANDREA

[Steve H.]

I agree. The cooler NE GOM and the dry air entrained is taking it's toll. However the deep tropical moisture is creating some bands that are on the south and east side of the storm that could be quite severe. Stay safe all.

[Stormcenter]

I'm not so sure she would be upgraded. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

[robbielyn]

dry air slot made it in there looks like

[Bocadude85]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1025 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

FLC103-061830-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0019.130606T1425Z-130606T1830Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PINELLAS FL-
1025 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TARPON SPRINGS...PALM HARBOR...
CLEARWATER...LARGO...PINELLAS PARK...SEMINOLE...DOWNTOWN SAINT
PETERSBURG...SAINT PETERSBURG...SAINT PETE BEACH...FORT DESOTO
PARK...DUNEDIN


* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 1025 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH
HEAVY RAINSTORMS FROM TROPICAL STORM ANDREA OVER PINELLAS COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 275 BETWEEN EXITS 6 AND 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

KEEP CHILDREN FROM BEING SWEPT AWAY IN FLOODED DITCHES AND DRAINS.
FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR AND MAY STALL YOUR
VEHICLE. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP
VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

[Bocadude85]

TORNADO WARNING
FLC081-115-061600-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0012.130606T1534Z-130606T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1134 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHWESTERN SARASOTA COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL NOON EDT

* AT 1129 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR FRUITVILLE...OR 7 MILES EAST OF SARASOTA...MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKEWOOD RANCH...DESOTO LAKES.
PARRISH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 210 AND 220.

[Jevo]

Now that Andrea is on radar the models are a little less important, but here is the 12z GFS +6 hours depicting initial landfall in FL for posterity sake.

[OuterBanker]

Wow, Florida is really going through the wringer right now, hope it’s not a precursor of what will happen tomorrow here.

Morning all, first chance at a post. Had to take nephew to court (people in the court were far more scary than any hurricane I've been through). Couldn't believe how much Andrea ramped up. Looks like tpc had an east shift between the 8am an 11am. Present path will put us in the worse possible position. Hoping it will shift even more east. Very hard to believe it's going to happen. Tourists just can't understand. Possibly one of the most beautiful days here you could imagine. Sunny, 76 degrees, gentle breeze off the ocean. A perfect day. I think things will be different tomorrow at this time though.

[tolakram]

latest

[Janie2006]

TORNADO WARNING
FLC081-115-061615-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0013.130606T1538Z-130606T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1138 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
CENTRAL SARASOTA COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1215 PM EDT

* AT 1134 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF
VENICE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK.
MYAKKA CITY.
MYAKKA HEAD.
DUETTE.

[Janie2006]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1131 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

FLZ063-066-061615-
GLADES FL HENDRY FL
1131 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL GLADES
COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN HENDRY COUNTY...FOR GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH AND POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUDS...

* UNTIL 1215 PM EDT

* AT 1124 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FELDA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
LA BELLE...
ORTONA...
PALMDALE...
LAKEPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

[caneman]

Wow - just saw the surf at Venice Beach. Very high surf and washing over the jetty. Looks like it is coming in much further South - maybe Crystal River.

[Bocadude85]

FLC001-007-023-041-121-125-071517-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FL.W.0016.130608T0936Z-130611T0000Z/
/FWHF1.1.ER.130608T0936Z.130609T0600Z.130610T1800Z.NO/
1117 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE SANTA FE RIVER AT FORT WHITE.
* FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...MINOR DAMAGE TO DWELLINGS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO
BOAT WASH.

[Janie2006]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1144 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

FLC115-061600-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130606T1600Z/
SARASOTA FL-
1144 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR SARASOTA
COUNTY...

AT 1138 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADOES
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NORTH PORT TO WARM MINERAL
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NORTH PORT.
GATOR CREEK ESTATE.
HIDDEN RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR WESTERN FLORIDA.