15kts
1010mb
at 7.7 N 129.5 E
![Image](http://img266.imageshack.us/img266/3509/201306060101mtsat2xvis1.jpg)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
This could be the area the models were showing...after the previous 2 invests failed to become anything..
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Code: Select all
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.1N 129.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOROR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION,
PRIMARILY LOCATED EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LLCC. A 052311Z SSMIS IMAGE
SHOWS FRAGMENTED BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE LLCC
WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF 130 EAST LONGITUDE. A 060057Z
ASCAT IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE LLCC AND SHOWS 10
TO 15 KNOT WINDS AROUND THE PERIPHERY WITH STRONGER WINDS DISPLACED
WELL NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE, EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OFFSET BY STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
TO THE NORTH AND A WEAK TUTT CELL NEAR 20N 135E. DYNAMIC MODELS
INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTH OF 20N AND
INTENSIFIES AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
Meow wrote:It looks better than some storm in Atlantic.
I agree, we aren't blessed with C-130s to fly in to storms out here
Initialization I have noticed lacks though.
Meow wrote:It looks better than some storm in Atlantic.
Meow wrote:euro6208 wrote:Not some but mostly many
Actually I meant Andrea, but it looks better now. I doubt if 98W can really intensify so soon, as JTWC even does not support.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest