ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

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#1381 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:34 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061730
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 06 20130606
172230 2952N 08501W 7898 02069 0054 +119 +076 033038 039 /// /// 03
172300 2952N 08459W 8108 01846 0059 +120 +090 027034 037 /// /// 03
172330 2952N 08458W 8325 01625 0061 +129 +112 024033 034 /// /// 03
172400 2951N 08456W 8424 01512 0052 +129 +117 028035 036 /// /// 03
172430 2951N 08454W 8432 01500 0047 +130 +114 035037 037 /// /// 03
172500 2950N 08452W 8430 01502 0042 +137 +110 036036 037 /// /// 03
172530 2950N 08451W 8429 01502 0043 +133 +114 037035 035 /// /// 03
172600 2950N 08449W 8432 01498 0041 +136 +113 035035 036 /// /// 03
172630 2949N 08447W 8433 01498 0040 +140 +112 037035 036 /// /// 03
172700 2949N 08446W 8429 01502 0039 +138 +113 039036 037 /// /// 03
172730 2948N 08444W 8430 01499 0037 +140 +112 038036 037 /// /// 03
172800 2948N 08442W 8429 01499 0035 +144 +107 034036 036 038 000 03
172830 2948N 08441W 8428 01500 0031 +147 +103 032037 038 /// /// 03
172900 2947N 08439W 8433 01494 0026 +159 +096 029038 039 /// /// 03
172930 2946N 08437W 8421 01505 0028 +154 +103 025034 037 /// /// 03
173000 2945N 08436W 8432 01494 0023 +158 +105 015033 034 043 005 03
173030 2944N 08434W 8436 01491 0020 +165 +105 009029 033 045 003 00
173100 2943N 08433W 8434 01492 0021 +161 +107 005029 030 045 003 00
173130 2942N 08431W 8424 01500 0024 +154 +111 001028 029 044 005 00
173200 2940N 08430W 8431 01494 0031 +143 +111 357029 029 044 007 00
$$
;
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#1382 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:37 pm

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#1383 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:37 pm

It kinda looks frontal to me now! Pressure guess based on that buoy is 993mb.
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#1384 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:40 pm

TORNADO WARNING
FLC015-071-061800-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0023.130606T1738Z-130606T1800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
138 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FORT MYERS...

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 138 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO NEAR FORT MYERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
TICE...SUNCOAST ESTATES.
FORT MYERS SHORES.
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Re:

#1385 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:41 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:It kinda looks frontal to me now! Pressure guess based on that buoy is 993mb.


Yeah, it's looking less tropical. Center is weakening but still appears to have 40kt-45kt winds north and east of the center. Stronger winds may be in the squalls streaming into SW Florida 150+ miles SE of the center.
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#1386 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:41 pm

Indeed recon is going to make it in well before Andrea makes landfall, recon is very close to Andrea's LLC now.
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#1387 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:43 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061740
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 07 20130606
173230 2939N 08428W 8434 01492 0030 +147 +112 358029 030 044 006 00
173300 2938N 08427W 8425 01501 0032 +143 +116 352030 031 045 005 00
173330 2937N 08425W 8429 01494 0043 +123 +122 354032 032 041 004 00
173400 2935N 08424W 8430 01497 0053 +117 //// 003033 034 041 006 01
173430 2934N 08422W 8431 01494 0052 +124 +124 012032 033 042 007 00
173500 2933N 08421W 8429 01498 0046 +137 +137 043031 033 043 006 00
173530 2932N 08420W 8427 01499 0041 +137 //// 064027 031 043 006 01
173600 2931N 08418W 8433 01489 //// +139 //// 079022 025 041 004 01
173630 2930N 08417W 8421 01498 0035 +140 //// 071020 022 040 008 01
173700 2929N 08416W 8420 01495 0036 +143 +143 063016 018 046 010 00
173730 2928N 08414W 8437 01482 0031 +149 //// 069018 020 049 009 01
173800 2927N 08413W 8443 01475 //// +144 //// 096016 018 044 007 01
173830 2926N 08412W 8435 01486 0022 +146 +138 088014 016 040 003 00
173900 2924N 08410W 8425 01493 0018 +149 +128 089018 019 039 001 00
173930 2923N 08409W 8436 01481 0015 +154 +120 082018 019 033 002 00
174000 2922N 08408W 8427 01489 0013 +152 +123 081018 019 030 000 00
174030 2921N 08407W 8431 01482 0012 +150 +123 078020 020 030 001 00
174100 2920N 08405W 8432 01480 0012 +149 +125 074020 022 030 001 00
174130 2919N 08404W 8433 01478 0011 +148 +125 072021 023 030 000 00
174200 2918N 08403W 8433 01477 0008 +145 +129 077024 026 031 000 00
$$
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Re: Re:

#1388 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:43 pm

wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:It kinda looks frontal to me now! Pressure guess based on that buoy is 993mb.


Yeah, it's looking less tropical. Center is weakening but still appears to have 40kt-45kt winds north and east of the center. Stronger winds may be in the squalls streaming into SW Florida 150+ miles SE of the center.


Still looks to me that it still has a well defined LLC based off of the the buoy's report.
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Re: Re:

#1389 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:44 pm

wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:It kinda looks frontal to me now! Pressure guess based on that buoy is 993mb.


Yeah, it's looking less tropical. Center is weakening but still appears to have 40kt-45kt winds north and east of the center. Stronger winds may be in the squalls streaming into SW Florida 150+ miles SE of the center.


Probably peaked at about 1200 UTC (guessing 55 kt). Radar still shows winds of about 55-60 kt in the remnant eyewall at 12,000 feet...which would typically support a 50 kt intensity.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1390 Postby AdamFirst » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:46 pm

New tornado warning for Lee & Charlotte County (Fort Myers)

Leading edge of the big band in the Gulf
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#1391 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:46 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
143 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

FLC015-071-061800-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130606T1800Z/
LEE FL-CHARLOTTE FL-
143 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE AND NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTIES...

AT 140 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. LOCATED NEAR SUNCOAST ESTATES...OR NEAR FORT
MYERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SUNCOAST ESTATES.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 136 AND 143.
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#1392 Postby psyclone » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:50 pm

now that the mega band has moved through, the weather in the tampa bay area is quite nice...breezy and overcast. this was a typical, early season appetizer...what I call a SLOPical storm.
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#1393 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:53 pm

Looks like the recon though that the LLC was further north and east, they head to head straight south in the last few minutes before making the pass.
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#1394 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:54 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061750
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 08 20130606
174230 2917N 08401W 8429 01475 0004 +147 +129 078025 026 032 000 00
174300 2916N 08400W 8432 01472 0000 +150 +126 081027 028 032 000 00
174330 2915N 08359W 8428 01471 9997 +148 +133 081028 029 033 000 00
174400 2914N 08358W 8436 01461 9996 +146 +131 079028 029 033 001 00
174430 2913N 08356W 8438 01459 9995 +143 +134 081029 031 035 000 00
174500 2912N 08355W 8437 01455 9992 +140 +138 079030 031 036 000 00
174530 2911N 08354W 8425 01466 //// +131 //// 081029 032 040 003 01
174600 2910N 08353W 8429 01456 9993 +143 //// 083027 029 044 009 01
174630 2909N 08351W 8429 01454 9988 +150 +150 087033 036 045 010 00
174700 2908N 08350W 8433 01442 9979 +156 +156 098038 040 046 010 00
174730 2907N 08349W 8431 01438 9972 +159 +159 106038 041 046 010 00
174800 2906N 08348W 8416 01450 9967 +153 //// 117031 037 046 009 01
174830 2905N 08347W 8440 01426 9944 +163 //// 125027 029 042 002 05
174900 2904N 08346W 8428 01434 9942 +163 +161 129030 032 039 001 03
174930 2902N 08346W 8426 01431 9932 +170 +156 128030 031 040 001 00
175000 2901N 08346W 8432 01421 9924 +180 +151 126026 027 037 001 00
175030 2859N 08347W 8431 01419 9919 +188 +149 122021 025 032 001 00
175100 2858N 08348W 8431 01420 9918 +190 +148 126013 018 030 000 00
175130 2856N 08349W 8434 01416 9915 +194 +147 145010 012 031 001 00
175200 2855N 08350W 8428 01425 9915 +199 +141 181014 015 031 001 03
$$
;

991.5 mbs
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#1395 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:54 pm

Looks like a pressure of 992-993mb or so.
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#1396 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:55 pm

Recon finding pressure as low as 991.5mb
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Re:

#1397 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 12:58 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:Recon finding pressure as low as 991.5mb


It probably has to be adjusted, they are flying at 5K feet.
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#1398 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:03 pm

TORNADO WARNING
FLC015-071-061815-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0024.130606T1757Z-130606T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
157 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...FORT MYERS...CAPE CORAL...

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT

* AT 157 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO NEAR CAPE CORAL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WHISKEY CREEK...CAPE CORAL.
FORT MYERS...PAGE FIELD AIRPORT.
SUNCOAST ESTATES...TICE.
FORT MYERS SHORES.
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#1399 Postby Dave » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:04 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061800
AF302 0301A ANDREA HDOB 09 20130606
175230 2854N 08351W 8430 01421 9918 +194 +142 181011 013 029 000 00
175300 2854N 08353W 8429 01426 9916 +200 +143 219004 009 026 000 00
175330 2854N 08355W 8430 01426 9915 +207 +141 285006 007 024 000 00
175400 2854N 08357W 8433 01427 9926 +192 +151 347005 006 024 000 00
175430 2854N 08358W 8397 01462 9923 +197 +148 336007 008 025 000 03
175500 2853N 08400W 8419 01447 9927 +202 +146 332011 011 /// /// 03
175530 2852N 08359W 8432 01432 9922 +208 +143 326010 012 023 001 03
175600 2851N 08357W 8425 01437 9915 +218 +140 306007 009 024 000 00
175630 2852N 08355W 8432 01428 9911 +225 +133 292009 010 024 001 03
175700 2852N 08353W 8429 01431 9913 +218 +139 250013 016 025 000 00
175730 2852N 08351W 8435 01423 9916 +207 +142 227019 021 029 001 00
175800 2852N 08349W 8429 01427 9918 +202 +145 220023 026 035 001 03
175830 2853N 08347W 8435 01420 9919 +197 +150 216029 032 041 000 03
175900 2853N 08345W 8425 01428 9909 +211 +146 213036 038 051 000 03
175930 2853N 08343W 8441 01415 9912 +210 +144 208042 044 055 001 03
180000 2854N 08340W 8426 01436 9920 +204 +140 206047 049 055 000 00
180030 2854N 08338W 8432 01431 9934 +184 +153 205053 059 054 000 03
180100 2854N 08336W 8427 01441 9952 +162 +156 200064 067 051 001 03
180130 2854N 08334W 8425 01449 9960 +162 +128 196070 070 047 000 00
180200 2855N 08332W 8433 01447 9965 +164 +131 191067 069 042 000 00
$$
;

991.3 mb; 70 kts flt; 55 kts sfmr
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#1400 Postby Alyono » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:05 pm

still intensifying. Based upon recon, winds are now 65 mph
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