Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Scattered showers will fall today in PR and adjacent islands.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST MON JUN 10 2013


.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FIVE DAYS AND WILL MAINTAIN
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK TROUGH WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY BRINGING AND INCREASE OF
SHOWERS. SAHARAN DUST HAZE WILL BEGIN TO REACH THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
EASTERN ONE THIRD OF PUERTO RICO AND THE EASTERN ADJACENT ISLANDS.
MOST THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONCENTRATED OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. MOST OF THESE SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND MOVE OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BEFORE MID
MORNING. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

THE TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AND AWAY FROM OUR LOCAL REGION
TODAY. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN HIGH AS LINGERING MOISTURE FROM THIS TROPICAL
WAVE WILL LINGER OVER THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
EXPECT SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.


BETWEEN TUESDAY AND THURSDAY...WE EXPECT A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN
WITH AFTERNOON CONVECTION AFFECTING MOSTLY THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO BUT A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE INTERIOR. ON FRIDAY...ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION...INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS. A MUCH DRIER AIR
MASS WILL MOVER THE LOCAL REGION NEXT WEEKEND.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
LOCAL FLYING AREA WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE VICINITY OF TJMZ AND TJBQ AFTER 10/17Z AND THROUGH ABOUT 10/21Z.
PASSING SHOWERS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AND AROUND TNCM/TIST/TISX
AND TJSJ AFTER 10/12Z. TJSJ 10/00Z SOUNDING INDICATED AN EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW UP TO 20 KNOTS ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO
AROUND 15K FEET.


&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY...THIS WILL GENERATE CHOPPY
CONDITIONS. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTIONS ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS DUE TO WINDS AND SEAS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 88 77 / 40 10 20 10
STT 88 78 89 79 / 40 20 30 20

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

JAMAICA WEATHER

 LOCAL FORECAST

June 10 2013
 

Significant Feature: High pressure ridge across the northern Caribbean.

Morning:  Mostly sunny.

Afternoon:  Mainly fair and windy with isolated showers mainly over hilly interior areas.

Tonight: Fair.

Winds:  Will reach in excess of 15 knots (18 mph)

Temperatures: High: 33C (92F)     Low: 26C (79F)
 


[cycloneye]

Forecast for Antigua and Barbuda

http://www.antiguamet.com/Climate/7-DAY ... recast.pdf

[cycloneye]

The precipitation forecast for the Caribbean on June,July and August looks rather wet.



http://www.cimh.edu.bb/?p=precipoutlook

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
303 PM AST MON JUN 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN THERE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...CAUSING MODERATE
TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. UPPER TROUGH
NORTH OF HISPANIOLA WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF
OUR LOCAL AREA AS IT WEAKENS BY WEDNESDAY. SOME SAHARAN DUST
EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY AND A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE
AREA ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THE THUNDERSTORMS
WERE MOSTLY LIMITED TO THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF PUERTO RICO AS THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZE
CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE PASSING SHOWERS DID HAVE
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING FOR A FEW MINUTES.

AVAILABLE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS IT SLOWLY MOVES NORTH ON
TUESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SHOWERS ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO ONCE AGAIN. SOME SAHARAN DUST WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY
IN ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...CAUSING SOME HAZY SKIES JUST
BEFORE A TROPICAL WAVE COMES IN ON FRIDAY...INCREASING AVAILABLE
MOISTURE SIGNIFICANTLY AS WELL AS 850MB THETA-E. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS QUITE POSSIBLE AS THIS WAVE PASSES.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES
WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF
TJMZ THROUGH ABOUT 10/21Z. FAST MOVING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
TIME TO TIME AT TNCM/TIST/TISX AND TJSJ. LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE
EAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...MAIN HAZARD WILL BE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
WATERS...SEAS WILL BE UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 88 77 88 / 40 40 40 40
STT 79 88 79 89 / 30 30 30 30

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
914 PM AST MON JUN 10 2013

.UPDATE...THE 11/00Z SOUNDING CAME IN WITH SIMILAR MOISTURE TO THE
10/12Z SOUNDING AND WAS WETTER THAN 24 HOURS AGO WITH 1.93 INCHES
OF PRECIPITABLE WATER. HIGH CLOUDS HAVE DOMINATED THE SKIES OVER
THE LOCAL AREA AS A SOUTHWEST JET CONTINUES OVER THE AREA WITH 50
KNOT PLUS WINDS AT 46 KFT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS COMPLETELY DIED
OUT OVER LAND AND A FEW NARROW BANDS OF SHOWERS ARE MOVING WEST
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT THESE WILL MAKE IT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF PUERTO RICO WITH MUCH STRENGTH
ESPECIALLY SINCE BUOY 42085 AND OTHER LAND STATIONS SHOW SOME
OFFSHORE COMPONENT. LATEST GFS FORECAST OF PRECIPITABLE WATER
SUGGESTS AN INCREASE TO OVER 2 INCHES AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WAS SUPPOSED TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT
THEREFORE HAVE BUMPED POPS UP SOMEWHAT OVER PUERTO RICO...AS LAST
SEVERAL DAYS HAVE SEEN HEAVY SHOWERS...THOUGH LITTLE FLOODING AND
LITTLE HAS CHANGED. OTHERWISE DISCUSSION BELOW HOLDS UP WELL.
LOOKING AHEAD TO THE WEEKEND...THE NAAPS FORECAST IS SHOWING ONE
OF THE MORE SIGNIFICANT DUST EVENTS OF THIS YEAR SHAPING UP FOR
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS MODEL SOMETIMES OVER-FORECASTS BUT DO
EXPECT MORE THAN TODAY OR YESTERDAY THEN.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. A few showers will move thru PR and adjacent islands today. A Tropical Wave will move thru the area on Friday increasing the showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
551 AM AST TUE JUN 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
LOCAL WATERS IS BRINGING AN INCREASE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. SAHARAN
DUST HAZE WILL BEGIN TO REACH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AND A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS
WITH A FEW AFFECTING THE EASTERN COASTAL PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE EASTERN ADJACENT ISLANDS.

THIS AFTERNOON...LINGERING MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS WILL PRODUCE AFTERNOON CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS THE
WESTERN INTERIOR SECTIONS. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
DECREASE LATER TODAY...THEREFORE EXPECT LESS SHOWER COVERAGE FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. STILL EXPECTING THE EFFECT OF A TROPICAL
WAVE NOW LOCATED AT AROUND 45 W. MODELS ARE SLIGHTLY SLOWER.
TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FACTOR FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPMENT ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD...WITH VICINITY SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
OR TWO NEAR TJMZ AND TJBQ BETWEEN 11/18Z AND 11/22Z. LOW LEVEL WINDS
FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS..


&&

.MARINE...CHOPPY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO DECREASE UNTIL AT LEAST THURSDAY. MARINERS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 88 78 / 40 40 40 30
STT 88 79 89 79 / 30 30 30 20

[cycloneye]

Jamaica forecast

Code: Select all

JAMAICA WEATHER

 LOCAL FORECAST

June 11 2013
 

Significant Feature: High pressure ridge across the northern Caribbean.

Morning:  Mostly sunny.

Afternoon:  Mainly fair and windy with isolated showers mainly over hilly interior areas.

Tonight: Fair.

Winds:  Will reach in excess of 15 knots (18 mph)

Temperatures: High: 33C (92F)     Low: 26C (79F)
 


[cycloneye]

Cayman Islands forecast

SYNOPSIS:



Light to moderate easterly winds and seas will continue across the Cayman area for the next 24 hours in association with a high pressure system over the central Atlantic Ocean.



THE FORECAST:



Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers. Temperatures will fall to the upper 70’s. Winds will be east 5 to 10 knots. Seas will be moderate with wave heights of 3 to 5 feet.



Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80’s. Winds will be east to northeast 10 to 15 knots. Seas will be moderate with wave heights of 3 to 5 feet.



TIDES:

Today: Low 4:28 p.m. High 11:22 p.m.

Tomorrow: Low 5:32 a.m. High 10:50 a.m. Low 5:02 p.m. High 11:54 p.m.



SUNSET: 7:03 p.m. Today. SUNRISE: 5:47 a.m. Tomorrow.



OUTLOOK: is for similar weather condition through Wednesday evening.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
305 PM AST TUE JUN 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS TUTT TO THE WEST OF LOCAL ISLANDS WEAKENS.
A SECOND TUTT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. SURFACE HIGH ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE FRESH TO MODERATE
TRADES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND
USVI THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS
SECTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO/USVI FROM TIME TO TIME. SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO NOTED IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF PR.

A RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AS TUTT TO THE WEST OF LOCAL ISLANDS WEAKENS.
AS THIS PATTERN EVOLVES...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN PASSING SHOWERS
DURING THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO...USVI AND REGIONAL WATERS FOLLOWED BY AFTERNOON CONVECTION
ACROSS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO. THIS
WEATHER PATTERN WILL CHANGE ON THURSDAY AS A DRIER AIR MASS
MOVES IN...AHEAD OF NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL REACH THE AREA
ON FRIDAY. AS TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES...SHOWER COVERAGE AND
THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
AS SOON AS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK AS
A DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS PREVAILS OVER THE AREA. THEREAFTER...
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO POOL ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK AS TUTT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.AVIATION...AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT TJMZ
THRU AT LEAST 21Z...RESULTING IN MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS. OTHER
TAF SITES SUCH AS TJSJ...TJPS AND TJBQ WILL EXPERIENCE VCSH/VCTS
THRU 21Z. ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL WITH BKN CLOUDS AT
FL250. LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE E TO ESE AT 10-20 KT.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS
LOCAL WATERS DUE TO SEAS UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS 20 KNOTS OR
LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 88 78 88 / 30 30 20 20
STT 79 89 79 89 / 40 40 30 20

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
956 PM AST TUE JUN 11 2013

.UPDATE...DENSE CIRRUS CONTINUE TO STREAM FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER
THE LOCAL AREA KEEPING SKIES CLOUDY. NEVERTHELESS THIS DID NOT
PREVENT CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE ACTION IN HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
OF NEARLY 2 INCHES AGAIN IN THE 12/00Z SOUNDING. MIMIC PRODUCT
SHOWS GOOD MOISTURE GROWING JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AS IT
FLOW INTO THE LOCAL AREA AND EXPECT THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. THE GFS INDICATES THAT THE HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL
ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 13/00Z. THE NAAPS PRODUCT ALSO
INDICATES THAT SAHARAN DUST WILL ENTER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND
INCREASE PRETTY MUCH EACH DAY THROUGH SUNDAY. IT ALSO SHOWS THAT
DUST WILL REACH LEVELS NOT REACHED THIS YEAR SO FAR BY SATURDAY OR
SUNDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...THE DISCUSSION BELOW IS HOLDING FAIRLY WELL. LATEST
11/18Z MODEL RUN DID NOT SHOW MOISTURE ABATING AFTER THE TROPICAL
WAVE PASSAGE ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER. THIS MEANS THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY
MAY CONTINUE DESPITE HIGHER DUST CONTENT OF LOWER LAYERS. MID
LEVELS ARE SOMEWHAT DRY IN ANY EVENT THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS EVEN
AS THE WAVE PASSES...THEREFORE THE EFFECTS OF THE WAVE MAY BE
MUTED. MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN...THAT IS PRECIPITABLE WATER...SEEMS
TO HOLD FAIRLY WELL AND IS LIKELY TO SUSTAIN SOME CONVECTION IN
THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOONS EVERY DAY THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
UNFORTUNATELY THE ECMWF REACHES A MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 850
MB ON MONDAY MORNING JUST AS THE GFS REACHES A MAXIMUM FOR THE
WEEK. THEREFORE ANY CHANGES IN THE LONG RANGE FORECAST SHOULD WAIT
FOR CONFIRMATION FROM THE 00Z RUN. FORECAST DOES SEEM TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS ALREADY...NEVERTHELESS. MEANWHILE FLOW FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BEARING HIGH MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE A MORE
OR LESS SOLID OVERCAST AND CLOUDY OR MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS OVER
THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A FEW BREAKS ON THURSDAY.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Scattered showers will move thru PR today subside on Thursday but increase on Friday as a Tropical Wave moves thru on that day.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
558 AM AST WED JUN 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A TUTT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC INTO
THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. SURFACE HIGH
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE FRESH TO
MODERATE TRADES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING SHOWER COVERAGE HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST
FEW HOURS OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THESE SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING MAINLY AFFECTING
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN
METROPOLITAN AREA.

AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK A DRIER AIR MASS WAS FORECAST TO
PREVAILED OVER THE REGION FROM WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE MODELS
HAVE BACK OFF THE DRY SLOT FOR THESE TWO DAYS. THE NEW MODELS RUNS
ARE STILL SUGGESTING FOR THIS DRIER AIR MASS TO MOVE OVER THE AREA
ON THURSDAY BUT IT WILL NOT BE AS DRY AS EXPECTED...THEREFORE
EXPECT MORNING SHOWERS AFFECTING THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE CORDILLERA
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTION OF PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY...SHOWER COVERAGE
AND THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS
A DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS PREVAILS OVER THE AREA. THEREAFTER...
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO POOL ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN BY MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK AS TUTT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.AVIATION...MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST OF THE
LOCAL FLYING AREA THIS MORNING. SOME PASSING SHOWERS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT TIST...TISX AND TJSJ FROM TIME TO TIME UNTIL AT LEAST 12/15Z.
VICINITY SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO NEAR TJMZ AND
TJBQ BETWEEN 12/18Z AND 12/22Z. LATEST 12/00Z TJSJ SOUNDING
INDICATED MAINLY EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KTS FROM THE
SURFACE UP TO 10K FEET.

&&

.MARINE...CHOPPY MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS THROUGH THE INCOMING WEEKEND...FOR THIS REASON MARINERS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 88 78 / 30 20 30 30
STT 89 79 89 79 / 40 30 20 30

[cycloneye]

Jamaica June 12 forecast

Code: Select all

JAMAICA WEATHER

 LOCAL FORECAST

June 12 2013
 

Significant Feature: High pressure ridge across the northern Caribbean.

Morning:  Mostly sunny.

Afternoon:  Mainly fair and windy with isolated showers mainly over hilly interior areas.

Tonight: Fair.

Winds:  Will reach in excess of 15 knots (18 mph)

Temperatures: High: 33C (92F)     Low: 26C (79F)
 


[cycloneye]

Barbados Weather forecast


Today's Forecast Valid From 1000Z Wednesday 2013-06-12 To 2200Z Wednesday 2013-06-12

Synopsis: A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature.

Wx : Fair to partly cloudy,hazy and breezy with a few brief showers.

Winds: E - ENE at 20 - 40 km/h.

Seas: Moderate in open water swells 2.0 - 2.5 metres. Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution.






Tonight's Forecast Valid From 2200Z Wednesday 2013-06-12 To 1000Z Thursday 2013-06-13

Synopsis: A tropical wave will be approaching the island.

Wx : Fair to partly cloudy and breezy with some scattered showers.

Winds: E - ENE at 20 - 40 km/h.

Seas: Moderate in open water swells 2.0 - 2.5 metres. Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to exercise caution.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
320 PM AST WED JUN 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS TUTT TO THE NORTHWEST OF LOCAL
ISLANDS WEAKENS. A SECOND TUTT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 52W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VARIABLY TO CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND USVI THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS ACROSS SECTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO/USVI THIS MORNING...
AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE
CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SLOPES...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE
SAN JUAN METRO AREA.

A RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...AS TUTT TO THE NORTHWEST OF LOCAL ISLANDS WEAKENS. AS
THIS PATTERN EVOLVES...A RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA...AHEAD OF NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE OVER PR/USVI ON FRIDAY. AS A RESULT...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE TONIGHT/OVERNIGHT...WITH A FEW
PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND USVI
THURSDAY MORNING. AFTERNOON CONVECTION THURSDAY AFTERNOON CANT BE
RULED OUT DUE TO LOCAL EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING. AS TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHES...SHOWER COVERAGE AND THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AS SOON AS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK AS A DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS
ESTABLISHES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
PR THRU 21Z. THIS WILL RESULT IN POSSIBLE MVFR/IFR CONDS IN AND
AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ. THE REST OF THE TAF SITES...VFR CONDS EXPECTED
WITH OCCASIONAL VCSH/VCTS. AFT 21Z...VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL
TAF SITES. LLVL WINDS WILL CONTINUE FM THE E TO ESE AT 10-20 KT WITH
HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS
LOCAL WATERS DUE TO SEAS OF UP TO 6 FEET AND WINDS 20 KNOTS
OR LESS.

&&

.CLIMATE...A RECORD RAINFALL OF 3.17 INCHES WAS SET AT THE SAN
JUAN AREA TODAY. THIS BROKE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 2.95 SET IN BACK
IN 2011.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 87 78 87 / 20 30 40 40
STT 79 89 79 90 / 30 20 50 50

[cycloneye]

OFFICIAL PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST PREPARED BY

THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.


Valid for The evening of JUNE 12th 2013

through the evening of JUNE 13th 2013.


SYNOPSIS:

Light easterly winds and slight seas will continue across the Cayman area for the next 24 hours in association with a high pressure system over the central Atlantic Ocean.

THE FORECAST:

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers. Temperatures will fall to the upper 70’s. Winds will be east to northeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas will be slight with wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80’s. Winds will be east to northeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas will be slight with wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

TIDES:

Today: Low 5:42 p.m.

Tomorrow: High 12:28 a.m. Low 5:10 a.m. High 12:32 p.m. Low 6:32 p.m.


SUNSET: 7:04 p.m. Today. SUNRISE: 5:47 a.m. Tomorrow. SUNSET: 7:04 p.m. Tomorrow.



OUTLOOK: is for similar weather condition through Friday evening.



FORECASTER MILLER


http://www.weather.ky/

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
922 PM AST WED JUN 12 2013

.UPDATE...SHOWER ACTIVITY DISSIPATED AFTER SUNSET...WITH ONLY SOME
PASSING SHOWERS NOTED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
SURROUNDING WATERS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED LIGHT TO
MODERATE PASSING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY THE EAST
SECTION OF PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...LITTLE SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. A DRIER AIR MASS IS STARTING TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION FROM THE EAST. A SLOT OF DRY AIR AT 700MB IS EXPECTED
TO APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA TOMORROW MORNING...LIMITING THE SHOWER
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION. WEATHER GRIDS WERE ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECTS THIS SCENARIO. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES WERE
NEEDED.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Tropical Wave will increase the showers for the Eastern Caribbean starting late today and continue thru Friday.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
445 AM AST THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS TUTT TO THE NORTHWEST OF LOCAL
ISLANDS WEAKENS. A SECOND TUTT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A MUCH DRIER WEATHER SCENARIO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS IF WE COMPARE THEM TO THE LAST TWO PREVIOUS NIGHTS. THE
DOPPLER RADAR IS ONLY SHOWING PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS WITH A FEW AFFECTING THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN COMBINATIONS WITH LOCAL EFFECT WILL TRIGGER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND WEST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THE
PREVAILING WIND FROM EAST SOUTHEAST COULD ALSO HELP FOR A CU LINE
TO DEVELOP FROM EL YUNQUE TOWARD THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED NEAR 55W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND
IS FORECAST TO INCREASE THE SHOWER COVERAGE AND THUNDERSTORM
INTENSITY AS SOON AS FRIDAY MORNING. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WORK
WEEK AS A DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS ESTABLISHES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR ALMOST ALL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFT 18Z...VCSH ARE POSSIBLE FOR TJMZ
AND TJBQ CAUSING TEMPORARY REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY. LLVL WINDS WILL CONTINUE
FM THE E TO ESE FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 2 KFT.

&&

.MARINE...ALHOUGH A SLIGHT VARIATIONS ON WIND SPEED WILL
OCCURRED...MODERATE TOTO FRESH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS OUR
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 89 79 / 30 40 40 20
STT 89 79 90 80 / 20 50 50 30

[cycloneye]

Jamaica forecast

Code: Select all

JAMAICA WEATHER

 LOCAL FORECAST

June 13 2013
 

Significant Feature: Surface trough across the central Caribbean.

Morning:  Mostly sunny.

Afternoon:    Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over central and western parishes.

Tonight: Fair.

Winds:  Will reach in excess of 15 knots (18 mph)

Temperatures: High: 32C (89F)     Low: 25C (77F)
 


[Gustywind]

ST. LUCIA FORECAST

:00 AM....DATE...JUNE 13TH 2013....FORECASTER...GLEN ALBERT

PRESENT WEATHER AT HEWANORRA......CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS SHOWERS.
AT GFL CHARLES....CLOUDY WITH RAIN.
PRESENT TEMPERATURE AT HEWANORRA...........27 C OR 80 F.
LAST NIGHT’S MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT HEWANORRA...25 C OR 78 F.
WIND AT HEWANORRA IS BLOWING FROM THE EAST AT 21 MPH OR 33 KM/H.
24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDED AT 2:00 AM AT HEWANORRA.........0.4 MM.
TOTAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH THUS FAR AT HEWANORRA.....91.2 MM.

WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHTS RECORDED 4 MILES OR 6 KM NORTH OF ST. LUCIA.
AVERAGE WAVE HEIGHT IN THE PAST 3 HOURS....6.6 FEET OR 2.0 METRES.
MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT IN THE PAST 6 HOURS...10.5 FEET OR 3.2 METRES.

SUNSET TODAY...6:34 PM......SUNRISE TOMORROW...5:39 AM.

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS.....EASTERLY NEAR 20 MPH OR 31 KM/H, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS.
WEATHER...FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, BREEZY AND HAZY WITH A FEW SHOWERS
AT FIRST, BECOMING INCREASINGLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM ST. LUCIA.
TIDES FOR CASTRIES HARBOUR...LOW AT 11:50 AM...HIGH AT 6:27 PM.
TIDES FOR VIEUX FORT BAY.....LOW AT 1:17 PM....HIGH AT 7:34 PM.
SEAS...MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH WITH WAVES 6 TO 9 FEET OR 1.8 TO 2.7
METRES. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS AND SEA BATHERS ARE ADVISED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION, DUE TO GUSTY WINDS, ABOVE NORMAL SEAS AND
REDUCED VISIBILITY.

OUTLOOK FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES.
FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, BREEZY AND HAZY WITH A FEW SHOWERS AT FIRST,
BECOMING INCREASINGLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE WILL AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.