Over/Under guess for Lorenzo to form: September 1st?

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RainbowAppleJackDash

Over/Under guess for Lorenzo to form: September 1st?

#1 Postby RainbowAppleJackDash » Tue Jun 18, 2013 3:39 pm

I am probably thinking that Tropical Storm/Hurricane Lorenzo would form on September 1st.
Agreed or will he form later/earlier?
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HurricaneRyan
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#2 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Jun 20, 2013 8:09 pm

Maybe earlier depending on how many storms ramp up in June, July & August.

This season is reminding me of 2005 a little. Andrea affected Florida just like Arlene did and Barry affected Mexico just like Bret.
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TheStormExpert

#3 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Jun 20, 2013 9:33 pm

I'm going to assume Lorenzo would form after September 1st, most likely late September/early October. In 2010 the "L" storm formed on Sep. 20th, in 2011 it formed on Sep. 1st, and in 2012 it formed on Aug. 30th. Of course the last 3 seasons had 19 storms. This year I'm going with 15-17 storms. And in 2004 the "L" storm formed on Sep. 19. Of course 2004 is one of the analog years for this season and fits the best with the potential number of storms we could have.
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#4 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Thu Jun 20, 2013 10:44 pm

Gonna go on a limb and say AFTER.
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#5 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Fri Jun 21, 2013 7:00 am

after
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