vbhoutex wrote:Hurricaneman wrote:this has potential to become a 40kt ts before landfall on sunday, but if the shear drops more than expected then it could get as high as 50kts so this indeed needs to be watched for surprises, if nothing else there could be much needed rain for Texas
Why do you think it has that potential?
Also please add the disclaimer when posting "forecasts". I am adding it for you now.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
sorry, brain cramp
As for why, smaller systems in this area tend to spin up fast but as said in the above post 50kts is more if the shear relaxes more than expected
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products