Flash in pan? SW of Cape Verde (Is Invest 95L)
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Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
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- Location: Ready for the Chase.
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clearly its very close if not a td.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
ABNT20 KNHC 060532
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
ABNT20 KNHC 060532
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060602
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 19N34W TO 9N34W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF SLIGHTLY INCREASED
MOISTURE PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...A LARGE SAHARAN AIR LAYER SURROUNDS THE WAVE...WHICH
IS INHIBITING ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE AXIS. AN AREA OF
CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR A SURFACE
LOW TO THE EAST THAT MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. THE LOW
WILL BE DISCUSSED WITHIN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION.
...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF MAURITANIA NEAR
19N16W TO A 1012 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 8N28W TO 7N35W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS NEAR 7N35W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N44W 3N51W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WEST OF THE SURFACE LOW CENTER
FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 29W-33W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS FROM 4N-7N
BETWEEN 42W-47W...AND FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 48W-53W.
AXNT20 KNHC 060602
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 19N34W TO 9N34W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF SLIGHTLY INCREASED
MOISTURE PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
HOWEVER...A LARGE SAHARAN AIR LAYER SURROUNDS THE WAVE...WHICH
IS INHIBITING ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE AXIS. AN AREA OF
CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR A SURFACE
LOW TO THE EAST THAT MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. THE LOW
WILL BE DISCUSSED WITHIN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION.
...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF MAURITANIA NEAR
19N16W TO A 1012 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 8N28W TO 7N35W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS NEAR 7N35W AND CONTINUES ALONG 6N44W 3N51W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WEST OF THE SURFACE LOW CENTER
FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 29W-33W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS FROM 4N-7N
BETWEEN 42W-47W...AND FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 48W-53W.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Flash in pan? SW of Cape Verde - Yellow-10%
Still looking good this morning.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145277
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Flash in pan? SW of Cape Verde (Is Invest 95L)
It has been designated as Invest 95L. Go to the 95L discussion thread to continue with the comments about it.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here