Global model runs discussion

[Hurricaneman]

The 6zGFS show a wave coming off of Africa at 90hrs and developing by 108hrs and not really dissipating so this also needs to be watched the next week to 10 days for possible development

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[cycloneye]

The 6zGFS show a wave coming off of Africa at 90hrs and developing by 108hrs and not really dissipating so this also needs to be watched the next week to 10 days for possible development

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[tropicwatch]

12Z CMC; 150hr

https://imageshack.com/scaled/large/827/3stj.png

The low depicted in the GOM on the 13th might be valid. Current radar in the panhandle appears to show a low in the Pensacola are with storms east of Pensacola moving north and showers west of Pensacola moving south. Here we go again, maybe

[cycloneye]

12z GFS once again develops wave about to emerge Africa right now.

[bamajammer4eva]

Isn't the storm in the gulf, @ 150 on the canadian the upper low in the bahamas? Can't see a loop right now.

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[cycloneye]

GFS ensembles are on board with the operational on CV development.

[Cyclenall]

Considering what the GFS and maybe a few of the others are indicating, this is amazing. Everyone must be paying attention to Chantal because that level of CV activity flying off like that and not just a fluke on one run is very exciting for those that are not anxious about tropical cyclones. My prediction of a very active mid-July looks good.

The 12z HWRF is garbage but shows two CV closed isobars (maybe TDs?) in the MDR moving west. It starts in 80 hours or so.

[Scorpion]

Very impressive, looks like a great CV season ahead

[cycloneye]

More ahead in time has a hurricane approaching the Lesser Antilles.

[Gustywind]

More ahead in time has a hurricane approaching the Lesser Antilles.

http://oi39.tinypic.com/2u89ftk.jpg

ho ho?!

[cycloneye]

GFS at 00z continues to develop wave now emerging West Africa.

[Scorpion]

I'll be in Puerto Rico around then, things definitely would get interesting if this consistency continues!

[SFLcane]

Goes through SFL luis then into the gulf as a large hurricane heading for the gulfcoast.

[Riptide]

Looks like a possibly unprecedented period of hurricane activity for Florida, especially compared to recent years.

[SFLcane]

Looks like a possibly unprecedented period of hurricane activity for Florida, especially compared to recent years.

Unreal!

[cycloneye]

In my many many years of tracking Cyclones,I have never seen this kind of pattern in July that looks like a late August/early September one.

[Blinhart]

I'm not liking that the Cape Verde season is already starting, it's a whole month early. That could mean a very long and worrisome season for us folks on the Gulf Coast, as well as the people in Florida and all the Caribbean islands. I really hope these models are way off. I have doctor appointments in New Orleans multiple times in the next month, not good.

[Cyclenall]

In my many many years of tracking Cyclones,I have never seen this kind of pattern in July that looks like a late August/early September one.

How many years Luis? Also, how was the wave train in July of 2005 compared to this one?

[Gustywind]

In my many many years of tracking Cyclones,I have never seen this kind of pattern in July that looks like a late August/early September one.

How many years Luis? Also, how was the wave train in July of 2005 compared to this one?

Very pertinent question . I will be glad too to have Cycloneye's answer

[Caribwxgirl]

In my many many years of tracking Cyclones,I have never seen this kind of pattern in July that looks like a late August/early September one.

How many years Luis? Also, how was the wave train in July of 2005 compared to this one?

I was about to reference 2005 too because that year the TC's started rolling off in June by July 22 of that year we were up to Harvey the 8th storm of the season.