ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[artist]

I need someone to take over the images for the next hour or two, please.

I can for about an hour. Dave, want a break, too? I can take both.

[Dave]

I need someone to take over the images for the next hour or two, please.

I can for about an hour. Dave, want a break, too? I can take both.

I'm good for a couple more hours...

[artist]

I need someone to take over the images for the next hour or two, please.

I can for about an hour. Dave, want a break, too? I can take both.

I'm good for a couple more hours...

ok, got the images then.

[SouthFloridawx]

Sorry about the crude drawing, and I could be wrong here. I am seeing a possibility of a much broader area of low pressure. Maybe we will end up seeing that.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100128
AF306 0303A CHANTAL HDOB 17 20130710
011800 1524N 06453W 8428 01624 0156 +175 +101 141040 041 027 000 00
011830 1526N 06453W 8425 01625 0155 +175 +103 142041 041 028 001 00
011900 1528N 06453W 8433 01618 0156 +175 +100 144040 040 030 000 00
011930 1530N 06453W 8433 01617 0156 +175 +098 145040 040 031 000 03
012000 1532N 06453W 8432 01619 0157 +174 +104 144040 040 031 000 00
012030 1534N 06453W 8430 01621 0160 +170 +117 143040 041 031 000 00
012100 1536N 06453W 8431 01622 0161 +166 +123 143040 041 032 000 00
012130 1538N 06453W 8426 01625 0158 +173 +111 143041 042 031 000 00
012200 1540N 06453W 8433 01618 0158 +173 +108 145042 042 030 000 00
012230 1542N 06453W 8428 01626 0159 +173 +107 145044 044 030 000 00
012300 1544N 06454W 8432 01621 0162 +170 +112 141046 046 031 000 00
012330 1545N 06454W 8430 01623 0160 +173 +109 140047 047 031 000 00
012400 1547N 06454W 8429 01624 0161 +172 +116 139046 047 031 000 00
012430 1549N 06454W 8430 01625 0162 +169 +121 136045 045 031 000 00
012500 1551N 06454W 8429 01625 0164 +166 +126 138046 046 029 000 00
012530 1553N 06454W 8429 01625 0165 +163 +132 139047 048 029 000 00
012600 1555N 06454W 8429 01625 0166 +165 +127 141047 048 028 000 00
012630 1557N 06454W 8433 01620 0165 +165 +128 142047 048 028 000 00
012700 1559N 06454W 8430 01625 0163 +168 +131 139047 048 028 000 00
012730 1601N 06454W 8429 01625 0164 +170 +125 140046 047 029 000 00
$$
;

[Aric Dunn]

notice all the members are all now turning west again .. pretty much back the solutions from the past 3 days.. darn good consistency for me.. throw out the 12z today

[ozonepete]

Aric... have you tried using the Flash Floater?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03L/flash-rgb-long.html

(Thanks SFL) yeah Aric I was just gonna say... That's what I'm using.

no i dont like the flash .. to choppy and does not loop fast enough .. lol

Lol then you have to take your cake and eat it that way

[Dave]

waiting...waiting...waiting... where oh where did the center go? where oh where could it beeee.

99 TC centers on the wall, 99 TC centers...you take one down, hide it from recon...98 TC centers on the wall.

Chantal's center's falling down, falling down, falling down. Chantal's center's falling down, my fair recon plane.

TC, TC, have you any centers? Yes sir, yes sir, 2 [wind] shifts full. One shift for S2K, one shift for Satellite, and no shifts for recon, who's flying down the lane!

CONGRATULATIONS Mr Poet! You just bought a recon mission for your poetry!

[artist]

thru 16

[ozonepete]

so is surface center here? Time: 00:44:00Z Coordinates: 15.9N 65.8667W?

They're not done examining it yet. We'll have to wait...

[GTStorm]

So now she's moving due W or is she still moving wnw?

officially WNW

yeah, hard to see the center...looks to me like the blob is moving west. seems to be a tad south of forecasted points as well. Maybe she'll keep going west and just dissolve. That's my story and I'm sticking to it.

>> The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products <<

[SFLcane]

I've yet to see a westerly wind component

[Kingarabian]

For a storm with such a pretty name she sure does look ugly.

[brunota2003]

Noooo...I'll probably be asleep soon, and I have things to do!

[Gustywind]

Hi Aric and co, Guadeloupe has back off the orange alert due to Chantal, and now is on yellow alert. Things have calm down and weather continues to improve . Residuals moderate showers and occasionnal line of showers could spread erracticly tonight and tommorow. Important fact, no report of death or damages in the butterfly island.
Recap of the day:

Here are some observations from our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe today when Chantal came closer to us :

Rainfall: 10 to 50 millimeters of water have fallen in 12 hours on Basse-Terre. The eastern part of the island has been really spared, except for the locality of Anse-Bertrand ( 6 millimeters during the last 24h).
Between 4AM and 4PM, Meteo-France reported 20 to 40 mm of rain at Marie-Galante, les Saintes, La Grande-Vigie and on Basse-Terre.


Winds: Between 12AM and 1PM, gusts reached speeds nearing 100 km/hour at Marie-Galante and la Désirade.

For info in the Northern Leewards and given Meteo-France, average winds reached 35 to 45 km/h from an east direction. Gusts have reached values between 54 to 72 km/h.


Sea: No report from Meteo-France Guadeloupe for Guadeloupe... while in Martinica, Meteo-France Martinica reported averaged waves nearing 4meters30, with a maxima reaching 6m90 :eek: during mid-day at Basse-Pointe ( Martinica).


As a conclusion, Chantal was pretty kind and compassionate in Guadeloupe... but much more furious in Martinica, bringing numerous damages in the South of the island ( trees down, roofs damaged, impressive power outages, 5000 citizens without power, canceled and delayed fligths).
The season is long and continue with maybe another episodes in store?! Time will tell.
Thanks for all, the support, ( Cycloneye, Artist, Aric, Msbee, etc.) the nice anaysis of all the members (Aric, Ozonepete, etc).
Carib islanders are glad and appreciate the professionnalism of many here. Let's hope that our friends of Martinica will step up strong after Chantal.

Regards

Gustywind

[artist]

17

[Kingarabian]

waiting...waiting...waiting... where oh where did the center go? where oh where could it beeee.

99 TC centers on the wall, 99 TC centers...you take one down, hide it from recon...98 TC centers on the wall.

Chantal's center's falling down, falling down, falling down. Chantal's center's falling down, my fair recon plane.

TC, TC, have you any centers? Yes sir, yes sir, 2 [wind] shifts full. One shift for S2K, one shift for Satellite, and no shifts for recon, who's flying down the lane!

Don't listen to a word I say...
The screams all sound the same...
Though the truth will carry us..

[artist]

brunota, had few on that wall tonight?

[Aric Dunn]

I've yet to see a westerly wind component

because they have not sampled that side lol..

[cycloneye]

Great news from the butterfly island Gusty.