ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[ROCK]

0Z HWRF....takes whats left into NE FL then shunts it sw into the GOM....I dont think it realizes it is poofing right now....lol

[Hurricane Alexis]

ATCF has it as a 40kt TS still.

AL, 03, 2013071006, , BEST, 0, 160N, 685W, 40, 1011, TS

[Hurricane Alexis]

Models shifted fairly to the west now over eastern FL and just offshore....Doesn't mean much anyway.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Great job Jeremy. Mission 4 has ended and the results are below. With 11pm NHC position, satellite, recon from mission 4 and image of Venezuela's air space.

Unless she reforms around the blob... she currently has no west winds. Flight level was around 1,000 meters at around 910mb level.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Mission 4 has ended and the results are below. With 11pm NHC position, satellite, recon from mission 4 and image of Venezuela's air space.

Unless she reforms around the blob... she currently has no west winds. Flight level was around 1,000 meters at around 910mb level.

[chaser1]

For the heck of it...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/rb-l.jpg

Find A tropical storm in this picture and win a prize

Chantal - Fatal

Looks to be around 17N & 68W from looking at the Shortwave IR loop. I've seen stuff circulating in my toilet that looked more impressive than this . Well, was a good "practice run".

[hurricaneCW]

Well at least with Chantal falling apart, all of that track speculation could be put to rest for now, especially since many really seemed to want it to impact Florida. I would consider myself lucky to avoid even a TS if I lived in Florida as well as the major hurricane drought for the state.

Unless she's resurrected, were going to have to wait a little bit longer for a legitimate threat and given the vast ridging throughout the Atlantic going forward, any big hurricane that develops has a very good chance of impacting the US.

[JtSmarts]

She looks gone for now, but I'm not sure she won't try to regenerate in the next few days. It'll be interesting to see if the NHC pulls the plug at 5.

[ROCK]

She doesn't qualify as even a TD now...just a wave...interesting

[Hurricane Alexis]

She doesn't qualify as even a TD now...just a wave...interesting

Well it still has TS winds in the blob near the "center".

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Wide view:

[LaBreeze]

150hr



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Is this totally out of the question or what? I just don't understand how this would be possible.

[LaBreeze]

Should "Taps" be playing on the trumpet for Chantal at this time?

[Cyclenall]

You can't have a hurricane watch in effect with this coming (why its dropped) . It would be gut-bustingly funny to have the watch still with some clouds heading towards or west of the area. This image also signals my time to stop watching, how many more deep tropic systems all season long will behave this way? It didn't matter if it was in the middle of September, same story. My stance 24 hours ago was 24 hours too early, a wave moving westwards.

...CHANTAL BECOMING DISORGANIZED WHILE IT PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE THAT CHANTAL IS LOSING ORGANIZATION.

These are never good statements from the NHC, when its blunt its a death-bringer.

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H

A new record for the deep tropics again? Its missing the forecast points to the south quick, how will it hit Hispaniola?

yeah, hard to see the center...looks to me like the blob is moving west. seems to be a tad south of forecasted points as well. Maybe she'll keep going west and just dissolve. That's my story and I'm sticking to it.

There is a higher chance of me meeting Max Mayfield in my living room tonight than that solution verifying. That is it going due west and dissipating.

You might want to put some coffee or tea on, recon has yet to find a closed circulation. Not saying that means anything, but.

Maybe I'll end up having tea and coffee with Max afterall .

[bahamaswx]

Refiring.

[Hurricane Alexis]

SINCE THE CYCLONE MAY BE OPENING UP INTO A WAVE...ADVISORIES MAY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

Well there you have it. That sums up the night.

[Airboy]

Refiring.

yeah, in the last three sat pictures, going to be interesting to see if it can hold on to it.

[southerngale]

She wants to live another day.

[Hurricane Alexis]

Even if it did hold convection it will have to restrengthen to what it was 24-36 hours ago to have a chance of crossing the islands intact.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Hurricane Alexis]

She wants to live another day.

http://i.imgur.com/x2OU5iP.jpg

Um what sat are you looking at? In mine it still looks like a wave.