ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[ObsessedMiami]

Quite an interesting storm. Everyone seems desperate to be the one who called its death but she is full of surprises. And only July?!?!

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 101558
AF301 0503A CHANTAL HDOB 34 20130710
154830 1623N 07134W 9248 00813 0150 +205 +193 152022 022 008 000 00
154900 1622N 07135W 9248 00814 0150 +206 +191 152023 023 012 000 00
154930 1621N 07137W 9250 00811 0147 +210 +186 156023 024 012 000 00
155000 1620N 07138W 9250 00809 0146 +210 +181 155024 024 013 000 00
155030 1619N 07140W 9248 00811 0146 +213 +179 154025 026 011 000 00
155100 1619N 07141W 9248 00811 0146 +209 +183 158023 025 012 000 00
155130 1618N 07142W 9250 00808 0146 +205 +188 158022 023 012 000 00
155200 1617N 07144W 9247 00811 0147 +203 +192 153020 021 011 001 00
155230 1616N 07145W 9248 00810 0146 +204 +193 149020 021 011 000 00
155300 1615N 07146W 9250 00806 0145 +205 +193 149022 023 009 000 00
155330 1615N 07148W 9248 00808 0145 +205 +191 147021 022 009 000 00
155400 1614N 07149W 9249 00806 0144 +205 +192 145020 022 007 000 00
155430 1613N 07151W 9253 00801 0142 +206 +192 141017 018 010 000 00
155500 1612N 07152W 9247 00809 0144 +202 +194 138017 018 010 000 00
155530 1611N 07154W 9250 00807 0145 +200 +196 144017 018 009 000 00
155600 1610N 07155W 9247 00809 0144 +202 +195 152014 015 012 000 00
155630 1609N 07156W 9249 00807 0146 +200 +196 149013 014 012 000 03
155700 1609N 07158W 9246 00810 0146 +200 +199 158013 014 011 001 03
155730 1608N 07159W 9250 00806 0148 +197 +195 142015 015 011 000 00
155800 1607N 07201W 9248 00812 0151 +197 +194 139015 016 016 000 00
$$
;

[artist]

[tolakram]

I will be MIA today, strong storms in western IN now, flood watch just issued and expecting a thunderstorm watch within the next 2 hours for us here as well. Strong system approaching our area so will be on weather here locally. Thanks to all who are covering the recon side of Chantal.

I was just thinking; it's been 12 hours since we had rain, we could use some more.

[floridasun78]

is weak center sw part of storms area that i think i see on Visible Imagery Loop?

[Ntxw]

Latest WV loop

[tolakram]

is weak center sw part of storms area that i think i see on Visible Imagery Loop?

Good question. I think the center is so weak that any sustained convection has a chance to form a center. Recon showed a wind shift under both the top and bottom blob.

[meriland23]

She looks to me to be getting angry again.. look at that insane convection towards the end.. or am I just seeing things..



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[wxman57]

I don't see any need to "board-up" in south Florida. If Chantal does redevelop in the eastern Gulf or off the east coast of Florida we're not expecting anything near hurricane conditions in Florida. It would be mostly a rain threat.

[wxwatcher4405]

I don't see any need to "board-up" in south Florida. If Chantal does redevelop in the eastern Gulf or off the east coast of Florida we're not expecting anything near hurricane conditions in Florida. It would be mostly a rain threat.

Do you think it can make it to the western gulf?

[jhpigott]

Latest WV loop

[img-]http://i42.tinypic.com/rbbdic.gif[/img]

slowing down?

[tolakram]

live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

If you speed this up you can kind of make out the overall circulation, or what's left of it. This might be more mid-level than low level.

[ninel conde]

:uarrow: DT, Danny Thomas, Terrio or Dick Tracy? sorry I couldn't help myself.
I guess we won't get a VDM out of those passes?

the owner of wxrisk.com. dave tolleris.

[wxman57]

I don't see any need to "board-up" in south Florida. If Chantal does redevelop in the eastern Gulf or off the east coast of Florida we're not expecting anything near hurricane conditions in Florida. It would be mostly a rain threat.

Do you think it can make it to the western gulf?

There's a big ridge over southeast Texas that would steer anything moving toward into the Yucatan westward across the BoC and into Mexico.

[Bocadude85]

I don't see any need to "board-up" in south Florida. If Chantal does redevelop in the eastern Gulf or off the east coast of Florida we're not expecting anything near hurricane conditions in Florida. It would be mostly a rain threat.

What are you thinking strength wise?

[artist]

waiting again, no obs for the last 20 minutes

[Senobia]

NAVGEM full loop 0Z- sends whats left of Chantal into the GOM and regenerates it just it time to smash into Galveston at warp 4.....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

Okay, why is this funny? Not to get into a this model is better than the other one tit for tat, but hasn't this come up as a scenario a few times now? If so, why doesn't anybody lend any credence to that theory? Everyone thinks it's funny......

[floridasun78]

is weak center sw part of storms area that i think i see on Visible Imagery Loop?

Good question. I think the center is so weak that any sustained convection has a chance to form a center. Recon showed a wind shift under both the top and bottom blob.

you think hurricane hunter may find other center??

[meriland23]

She is popping serious convection as of the last few hours.. she might not be dead after all..

[AdamFirst]

live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

If you speed this up you can kind of make out the overall circulation, or what's left of it. This might be more mid-level than low level.

Thanks for posting. The rapid scan satellite is a great tool