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SouthFloridawx wrote:If you look at this loop, you can see a circulation run into Hispaniola and that's where it is now.
[img]http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tpw/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif[img]
artist wrote:floridasun78 wrote:what hightest wind report by plane?
36 knots by SFMR in the last hour or so.
Aric Dunn wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:If you look at this loop, you can see a circulation run into Hispaniola and that's where it is now.
[img]http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tpw/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif[img]
I was wondering it that had occurred. may have to watch the north of Hispaniola over the next couple days as the energy splits..
Janie2006 wrote:Yah, heading west at nearly 30 mph, no wonder she can't keep anything going, it's like having a guillotine following her around.
, and that's already an outstanding performance from Chantal ( July TS) being able to maintained a such fast speed average of 40km/h at least 4 days 
. Lowest was 41 km/h , Monday 2PM near the 53W: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2013/CHANTAL.shtml?ozonepete wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:If you look at this loop, you can see a circulation run into Hispaniola and that's where it is now.
[img]http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tpw/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif[img]
I was wondering it that had occurred. may have to watch the north of Hispaniola over the next couple days as the energy splits..
I'm more and more thinking this split last night just as RECON was leaving. The low level center ripped westward and the mid-level went more wnw. The low level center disintegrated in the fast westerlies this morning and the main energy at mid-levels (the nose of the wave) is going to go right over Haiti and then eastern Cuba. If it redevelops the new LLC could quite possibly put down a little further east of the NHC track - between Haiti and Cuba or just north of eastern Cuba tonight. I'm thinking that because I think the models are in a classic problem area where they try to follow mid-levels and low-levels that have split. They don't do well in this area. Actually we don't either, lol. It's just wait and see. But I can't see any low-level LLC redeveloping so far west given that screaming easterly low-level environment.
Gustywind wrote:Janie2006 wrote:Yah, heading west at nearly 30 mph, no wonder she can't keep anything going, it's like having a guillotine following her around.
Agree
Difficult to have always energy that this speed!
That's what my untrained eyes have particulary seen especially with this one.
It is pretty amazing that Chantal stayed together as long as it did. I haven't looked at the numbers yet but I guess the mid-level winds were a little fast themselves and blowing wnw as well - this allowed the low and mid-levels to stay pretty close together even at the screaming low-level pace. Now the mid-level circulation is feeling the tug of that ULL over Florida and is moving more northerly while the low-level trades keep going west at a fast pace. In hindsight the mid-level flow would have to split off. I'm just wondering what will happen when the MLC gets back over water and the low-level winds slow down a little near Cuba. I'd only give it a 50/50 chance of regenerating.Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest
