ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Remnants - Discussion

#3241 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:56 pm

remember somone say that llc move over Hisponola
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#3242 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:57 pm

maybe now want off north of Hisponola
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Re: Re:

#3243 Postby robbielyn » Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:57 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:
robbielyn wrote:What about the westerly sheer nhc just talked about? :uarrow: dont think so.


That's is caused by the ULL which is moving west and weakening and if it gets far west enough it'll create an outflow channel

Yeah but ull moving much slower than chantal.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3244 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:02 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:If you look at this loop, you can see a circulation run into Hispaniola and that's where it is now.

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this someone put early today their show llc move over Hisponola
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#3245 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:04 pm

so maybe llc now north of Hisponola and east of bahamas
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#3246 Postby robbielyn » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:07 pm

If there was an llc they wouldnt have called it a remnants. Anyways thst was an mlc.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Remnants - Discussion

#3247 Postby meriland23 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:09 pm

In your guyses opinions.. what do you think the chances are of it regaining tropical storm status past hisp?
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#3248 Postby robbielyn » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:09 pm

Im not saying impossible but 20 percent not good odds u have to admit that. There is no sign of an llc. But hey things happen.
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#3249 Postby robbielyn » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:10 pm

20 percent
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#3250 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:11 pm

I'll give it a 50 percent chance. Best chances will probably be Fridayish when the ULL is gone and the bulk energy is in the Florida Straits/Central-NW Bahamas near the Gulf Stream

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Remnants - Discussion

#3251 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:17 pm

30 percent chance IMO. Chantal is a fighter.
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#3252 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:39 pm

keep an eye on that convection... the low mid level vorticity is migrating north..
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#3253 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:41 pm

It has gotten seriously large. It covers about 500 miles which is a lot even for a hurricane.
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Re: Re:

#3254 Postby hurricanekid416 » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:44 pm

robbielyn wrote:
hurricanekid416 wrote:
robbielyn wrote:What about the westerly sheer nhc just talked about? :uarrow: dont think so.


That's is caused by the ULL which is moving west and weakening and if it gets far west enough it'll create an outflow channel

Yeah but ull moving much slower than chantal.


I thought it was forecast to be out of the way soon and it's weakening quick
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#3255 Postby boca » Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:46 pm

Will the remnants of Chantal effect South Florida or miss us to the east?
Last edited by boca on Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Remnants - Discussion

#3256 Postby blp » Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:10 pm

Northern vorticity is ready to exit over water. My money is on that vorticity taking over.

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Remnants - Discussion

#3257 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:10 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:30 percent chance IMO. Chantal is a fighter.


She certainly has been an extremely good fighter given all the conditions she has been through. I would put the percentage at 30-40% of it regenerating in the next 24-48 hours.
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Re:

#3258 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:11 pm

boca wrote:Will the tenants of Chantal effect South Florida or miss us to the east?


You can look forward to Tropical Remnants Drencho over Friday and Saturday. At this point this isn't missing us to the east. Maybe to the west but I doubt it.
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Re:

#3259 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:16 pm

AdamFirst wrote:I'll give it a 50 percent chance. Best chances will probably be Fridayish when the ULL is gone and the bulk energy is in the Florida Straits/Central-NW Bahamas near the Gulf Stream

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I agree. Also, for the first time, it looks as if the ULL over extreme South Florida is beginning to pull to the northwest and fill in just a bit.
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Re: Re:

#3260 Postby boca » Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:19 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
boca wrote:Will the tenants of Chantal effect South Florida or miss us to the east?


You can look forward to Tropical Remnants Drencho over Friday and Saturday. At this point this isn't missing us to the east. Maybe to the west but I doubt it.

Thanks I've been working so much it's hard to keep up
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