ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[gatorcane]

All: powerful typhoon Soulik is bearing down on Taiwan.

There is a thread in Asia/WPAC about it in case you are interested in following a real system and not just some remnants...

[SouthFloridawx]

I am seeing an circulation forming around the area I've circled. It also looks like there is a MLC to the North of it.

[AtlanticWind]

I see the circulation closer to where best track had it. About 22.5 and 78 w

[sweetpea]

Ok, thanks Dave!

[jlauderdal]

I see the circulation closer to where best track had it. About 22.5 and 78 w

They will need recon if this continues the rest of today

[jlauderdal]

I see the circulation closer to where best track had it. About 22.5 and 78 w

They will need recon if this continues the rest of today

[northjaxpro]

Yep, SouthFloridawx, I agree. That is the area I am really focusing on too. I referenced a couple of post ago on this page on how convection is beginning to fire up in that general vicinity.

[SouthFloridawx]

[Aric Dunn]

There is a good mid level circ that has developed. cant see anything at the surface yet but with the convection building it may be trying to work to the surface.

[Fego]

Guess what? 12Z CMC sends ex Chantal toward NC. Here is the run at 48 hours.



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[Fego]

Then, at 168 hrs, 12Z CMC develops and sends something toward texas coast.



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[SouthFloridawx]

Go to this site:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Then create a 25 image loop on the suspected center and speed it up really quickly.

There is a good mid level circ that has developed. cant see anything at the surface yet but with the convection building it may be trying to work to the surface.

[Evil Jeremy]

Go to this site:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Then create a 25 image loop on the suspected center and speed it up really quickly.

There is a good mid level circ that has developed. cant see anything at the surface yet but with the convection building it may be trying to work to the surface.

Defiantly rotation there. If that center can stabilize over the next couple hours, I expect a decent increase at the 8pm TWO. Chantal is nothing if not resilient.

[adam0983]

Which direction should the remnants of Chantal move?

[artist]

I see the circulation closer to where best track had it. About 22.5 and 78 w

They will need recon if this continues the rest of today

yeah, Dave posted they are scheduled for this 'invest' if needed for tomorrow now, after having cancelled all recon yesterday.

[Aric Dunn]

Go to this site:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Then create a 25 image loop on the suspected center and speed it up really quickly.

There is a good mid level circ that has developed. cant see anything at the surface yet but with the convection building it may be trying to work to the surface.

there is some broad turning in the general area but I dont see anything developing atm.

[artist]

http://www.insmet.cu/Radar/04Camaguey/cmwMAXw01a.gif

[tolakram]

Air pressure is falling at this buoy

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

[StormTracker]

Could the lower(30%)area draw moisture & convection from the explosion below it between Cuba and Jamaica to help it get going? Has Bones ever lied to us before or maybe it was a Klingon dressed up like Dr. McCoy!

[jhpigott]

I see some turning (lower level?) on the 80W line just north of the Cuban coast

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... height=480