Scary forecast from Wxrisk.com-Direct Fla hit

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mf_dolphin
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#41 Postby mf_dolphin » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:51 pm

The problem with the hurricane shelters here are that a lot of them don't meet the current guidelines. How's that for being prepared? ;-)
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#42 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:00 pm

Everyone here probably thinks I am mad for wanting to experience a hurricane but is that any more mad than chasing tornados (done that three times!!!) I am carefully watching this situation now!
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#43 Postby Colin » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:06 pm

Why am I so nervous? :o :o :o
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#44 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:08 pm

If your in Pa...i am not sure??
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#45 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:14 pm

ChaserUK wrote:Everyone here probably thinks I am mad for wanting to experience a hurricane but is that any more mad than chasing tornados (done that three times!!!) I am carefully watching this situation now!


Tornados are just as frightening, harder to predict, and their wind speeds are usually much faster than a hurricane. However, a hurricane is much larger, last longer, and involves more than just wind speed.

And yes, I think you're mad. :wink:
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#46 Postby Scott_inVA » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:37 pm

rainydaze wrote:Here in WPB, as a result of Floyd, they have many more official hurricane shelters. Also, I think now when there is an official evacuation north, they will open up the southbound highways..95/Turnpike....for northbound travel. Doubling the amount of lanes going north.


that is, until the 4 lanes must merge down into 2. :o :o What a horror show.

That's the ongoing battle in Charleston with 26; on Hilton Head they have a plan to go "4 lanes out" on 278.

These backwards lane scenarios are kooky, IMO. Some ramps are blocked going backwards, some on ramps become off ramps and dump onto 1-way streets. I am yet to see backwards lanes work anywhere.

They've done this in VA on I-64 to clear out NOR/Va Beach. Wrecks every 1/2 mile. Don't know a single upper level ES person who thinks this is ever a good solution.

I've no doubt a TC will sometime come in and drop a TOR into one of these Interstate parking lots. Leave early, leave only if in danger or in a mandatory Evac Zone, or stay put and BE PREPARED (sorry...I'm a Boy Scout leader...that always pops out :wink: )
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#47 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:45 pm

GalvestonDuck - hehehe your right I am!! Thing is ever since I have been nuts about the weather I have always wanted to experience a hurricane! As you say though, these storms are larger and easier to predict - in my mind that makes it easier to chase in some respects. I have been planning this for 5 years and I have been waiting for a few things to come into place. A possible US strike - possible - the funds to do it - got that and time of work - got that!!! So all in all everything pulling together. I am driving my partner mad too - I am spending every evening here and on the net watching everything as it develops! I am so glad I found this forum - keep up the good work!!!!
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#48 Postby JetMaxx » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:52 pm

Shawn....in 1960, hurricane Donna had been over land for 15 hours and still produced 90-100 mph wind gusts in the areas just west and north of Orlando. Orlando was just outside the core where gusts reached 60-70 mph.

In 1928, the great "San Felipe" hurricane made landfall near West Palm Beach and recurved over central Florida....passing just west of Orlando. At landfall this monster hurricane had winds of 145-150 mph and a pressure of 929 mb -- and was still estimated to be a cat-3 hurricane as it passed across central Florida. It's likely peak wind gusts in the greater Orlando area were in the 115-130 mph range....the equivelant of a 40 mile wide F2 tornado across now heavily populated central Florida. :o :o

PW
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#49 Postby Steve H. » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:58 pm

I wouldn't even start wasting energy on this talk cause its still going WNW. The HPC has dismissed the 12Z GFS for lack of continuity of the overall pattern, and went with the 0Z GFS. I'm not saying wxrisk is wrong, it could be that the GFS is finally coming around to a better solution. They did state that the overall 12Z was closer to the ECMWF from 12Z Monday. What will the next run show....hehehehehe
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#50 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:59 pm

Whoa! Thank you, Perry.

I have a friend who moved from Tallahassee to Orlando this past year. She's very calm about hurricanes so I was wondering what she should expect if Isabel does head that way.

And she's pregnant. :o
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#51 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:01 pm

I think I heard that intense areas of low pressure can increase the birth rate???
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#52 Postby Steve H. » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:11 pm

LOL!!! Good one UK!!
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#53 Postby bosag » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:48 pm

When Irene came thru Jupiter in 99, I was 6 mos pregnant and yes I felt intense cramping during that storm, but it was all done as soon as the storm passed-my son was born on time in January. I hear the pressure may induce labor?

Barb in Jupiter
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#54 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 3:48 pm

I think I heard that when watching one of those Discovery programmes on the Storm of the Century!
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#55 Postby Amanzi » Tue Sep 09, 2003 4:04 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:Whoa! Thank you, Perry.

I have a friend who moved from Tallahassee to Orlando this past year. She's very calm about hurricanes so I was wondering what she should expect if Isabel does head that way.

And she's pregnant. :o



UMMM Duck... being pregnant myself.. If Isabel comes in my direction Im going to run like HECK and not look back! Say to like Oregon...lol
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#56 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 4:48 pm

I hope everyone that is not mad enough to experience this do head for safety. However, for me this is 5 years in the planning and all seems to be happening quickly now.
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rainstorm

it has shifted well north

#57 Postby rainstorm » Tue Sep 09, 2003 4:54 pm

fla need not worry
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#58 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 09, 2003 4:56 pm

why not rainstorm? I know the expected turn to the West seems a little delayed but the turn is expected and may be compensated by a slight SW motion for a bit.
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#59 Postby ColdFront77 » Wed Sep 10, 2003 3:32 am

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:BTW...What happened to Bob Sheets??

ameriwx2003 wrote:He had been working at an Orlando news station and they would bring him out during hurricane season.. I am not sure if he is still at that station or not;):)

Josephine96 wrote:Charleston- Bob Sheets retired from the NHC.. then he became Hurricane expert at Channel 9 here in Orlando till a couple years ago..

BOB SHEETS SHOULD UNRETIRE!

Yes, indeed... I watched Bob Sheets here in central Florida (on WFTV-TV 9) a couple times since my move here in June 2000. He wasn't on much because there were only two tropical systems to make a central Florida landfall... one being Edouard, which most of us remember didn't amount to much at all.

It was very nice to see him, too bad he didn't stay for at least a couple more years.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Wed Sep 10, 2003 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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JetMaxx

Re: it has shifted well north

#60 Postby JetMaxx » Wed Sep 10, 2003 8:58 am

rainstorm wrote:fla need not worry


You must have one ferocious appetite for crow :D
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