North / Northeastern GOM

[ronjon]

There's a definite rotation about 100 miles west of TPA on RADAR. Probably at the mid-levels but something to watch that is removed from the ULL and shear.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=TBW&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[wxman57]

There's a definite rotation about 100 miles west of TPA on RADAR. Probably at the mid-levels but something to watch that is removed from the ULL and shear.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=TBW&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Surface pressures there are quite high - 1018mb to 1019mb. No surface trof. The surface trof extends from the mid MS coast to near the mouth of the MS River and out into the central Gulf. No development likely in the eastern Gulf. Just a rain event for the northern Gulf coast states as the upper low lifts out tomorrow and the squalls move inland.

[Big_Stevo29]

There's a definite rotation about 100 miles west of TPA on RADAR. Probably at the mid-levels but something to watch that is removed from the ULL and shear.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=TBW&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Surface pressures there are quite high - 1018mb to 1019mb. No surface trof. The surface trof extends from the mid MS coast to near the mouth of the MS River and out into the central Gulf. No development likely in the eastern Gulf. Just a rain event for the northern Gulf coast states as the upper low lifts out tomorrow and the squalls move inland.

Is there a chance that some of the rain from that system could make it to the MS coast; SE LA or will it move inland into FL?

[RL3AO]

[ROCK]

finally a pretty yellow circle!! I was expecting 0% but this will work for now...

[gigabite]

There is a big upper level circulation moving from east to west over the area now.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA AND A SURFACE TROUGH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[cycloneye]

8 AM down to 0%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 20 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
DIMINISHED AS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH MOVES INLAND OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[lester]

RIP:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 20 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.