ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

00z=Complete dissipation...

[Riptide]

00z=Complete dissipation...

Another victim for the carribean graveyard.

[ROCK]

0Z NAVGEM 66hr.....waiting for that SW dive to death.....lol

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[meriland23]

this is going further and further south, if it doesn't hit those islands next run I would expect it not to fade away..

[ROCK]

NAVGEM at 120hr further north and no SW dive but kills it near north cuba coast...

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Annie Oakley]

Jonathon Belles-my (computer's) bad!

I went back to your site and the pop-up thing wasn't there..thus allowing me to read all your blog without distraction. Sorry for the misleading observation/comment.

Anyway-thanks again for including us on your journeys.... etc...you know what I mean lol.

Meanwhile, back to a developing storm-story....

[blp]

It appears to have made the turn to a hair above due West.

[LaBreeze]

If Dorian can hang around for the next few days, than things look to get "jiggy" for those in the Western and Northern Gulf. Surprisingly the GFS 200mb indicates that Dorian might have a more centered upper anticyclone parked over itself in 96-102 hours

Chaser, don't even joke about that - No "jiggy" over here please.

Well if it makes you feel any better..., I wouldn't be betting on a N. Gulf Coast shot; Not unless there were a digging Plains trough around that time. More than likely I would guess Dorian to remain well south of bridging mid level high pressure cells and possibly just keep on headin' west. That's too downstream to really look at though. I'm personally in the camp that doesn't believe that Dorian will remain a viable tropical cyclone by the time it reaches 60W.

Thanks - I'm also on board with you on the idea that Dorian will be a ghost by 60W.

[meriland23]

If she makes it to 60w.. she is already in purgatory kind of lol ... look at her...

[ROCK]

If she makes it to 60w.. she is already in purgatory kind of lol ... look at her...

He's not that bad for a TS....still firing convection over the fast moving LLC....not dead yet...lol

[bahamaswx]

Looks to have completed separated from the ITCZ. Waiting to see if he can fire some deep convection on his own now.

[meriland23]

If she makes it to 60w.. she is already in purgatory kind of lol ... look at her...

He's not that bad for a TS....still firing convection over the fast moving LLC....not dead yet...lol

Hheh, true... still reminds me of something like.. a person trying to stay afloat in ice cold waters.. eventually you are going to get hypothermia and just sink ...

[meriland23]

This is random, but I was just thinking (and subsequently made a map of what it would look like) could you imagine what would happen during hurricane season if these islands were missing?

[RL3AO]

This is random, but I was just thinking (and subsequently made a map of what it would look like) could you imagine what would happen during hurricane season if these islands were missing?

[img]http://i42.tinypic.com/2uf6amw.jpg[/img ]

We would get to see what Taiwan and the Philippines go through?

[meriland23]

Euro is running

[Aric Dunn]

center exposed

yeah it was pretty clear from the convective pattern that the llc was out running the mlc

[meriland23]

00z Euro



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[fci]

This is random, but I was just thinking (and subsequently made a map of what it would look like) could you imagine what would happen during hurricane season if these islands were missing?

You're right.
The people who live in those missing islands would be pissed.
Not to mention the cruise lines in Florida that would have nowhere to go.

[fci]

this is going further and further south, if it doesn't hit those islands next run I would expect it not to fade away..

Not sure that the Islands are the only reason some models see this going away.

[Riptide]

Euro is up in the Central Bahamas with a open-wave/TD.