WPAC: UNALA - Post-Tropical

[cycloneye]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep932013.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201308081837
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 93, 2013, DB, O, 2013080818, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP932013
EP, 93, 2013080818, , BEST, 0, 105N, 1280W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

[gatorcane]

Area of interest shown below:

[Yellow Evan]

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH

[cycloneye]

5 PM PDT.

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.

[Yellow Evan]

Johnston Atoll threat? Also, in both these images, 93E and 92E are the same intensity.



Basin crosser?

[Yellow Evan]

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.

[Yellow Evan]

2. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.

[Yellow Evan]

1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 950
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Kingarabian]

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DELETE_ep932013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201308091853
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[Yellow Evan]

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Yellow Evan]

2. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Yellow Evan]

2. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Yellow Evan]

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

[jaguarjace]

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL
HOURS. HOWEVER...DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[RL3AO]

This system has been designated Invest 90C. While it is a new invest since 93E was inactivated, I think it make sense to just rename the thread.

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_cp902013.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201308120852
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[RL3AO]

[jaguarjace]

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. HOWEVER...DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[jaguarjace]

An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. More than one vorticity
center lies within this area of interest, hindering development around a single
dominant center. If development occurs within this disturbed area, it will be slow as
it moves westward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. This area of
interest has a low chance, 20 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours.

[jaguarjace]

An elongated trough of low pressure located about 775 miles southeast of Hilo
Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and moving west at
about 15 mph. Environmental conditions do not appear favorable for further
development, and this system has a low chance, near 0 percent, of becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

[jaguarjace]

A surface trough located about 410 miles south of South Point on the Big Island
of Hawaii is moving west at 20 to 25 mph. This system has a low chance, near 20
percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.